Just A Bet Outside highlighted Clarke Schmidt as a plus strike-out play against an Angels offense that has been whiffing at a league-worst 27.9% clip versus right-handers over the past three weeks. Schmidt owns 38 Ks in 37.1 innings, has recorded five or more Ks in five of his last six appearances, and has reached six or more in four of those. His strike-out percentage skyrockets on the road (31.8%) compared to Yankee Stadium (18.7%), which lines up perfectly with this West-Coast start. With similar strike-out effectiveness against both handednesses, Steven feels confident backing an over 5.5 or 6.0 K prop.

Kenny G prefers UNDER 9 runs in Anaheim. He trusts Yusei Kikuchi’s recent heater—four straight wins, 1.29 ERA—and has zero faith in an Angels lineup that has scored 0-1-0-2 runs its last four games while ranking 28th in OBP and 26th in average. Even if Clark Schmidt wobbles, New York’s top-five bullpen can bail him out. The Yankees are 13-11-2 to the under on the road, and Angel Stadium totals have split 11-11-1, so Kenny calls nine runs "a gift" given how one-sided the offenses are and how well both starting pitchers are throwing right now.

Malcolm Bamford told listeners he is sprinkling the Angels moneyline at +140 against the Yankees, even though he already bet the full-game over. Bamford’s main angle is fading Clark Schmidt’s ugly road profile—6.75 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and a 10% walk rate that turns every inning into traffic—and a New York bullpen that has thrown 110 high-leverage pitches the last two nights. He expects Yusei Kikuchi to work bulk innings behind an opener, giving Los Angeles a left-handed look that has kept the Yankee lineup near league average versus southpaws. The Halos, meanwhile, own a .760 OPS in Anaheim and will hit nine full innings as the underdog. Bamford projected a 6-5 type game and personally made the Angels +120, calling the available +140 ‘too big to pass up.’

Malcolm Bamford went the opposite route of a side and simply bet the full-game over 9. He reminded listeners that the Yankees mash left-handers (top-3 in wRC+ vs LHP) and every Kikuchi outing has finished above the total. Meanwhile, Schmidt’s 6.75 road ERA gives the Angels a clear path to four or five runs. With both starters averaging fewer than six innings, Bamford does not trust either bullpen: New York’s leverage relievers have thrown 110 pitches the past two nights, and L.A. ranks 25th in bullpen xFIP. He projected a 10.4 combined run expectation and is happy grabbing 8.5 or 9 at standard juice.

Rockford likes Los Angeles in the first five and is betting the Angels’ team total over 4.5 thanks to Clark Schmidt’s road blow-ups. Schmidt carries a ghastly 6.75 ERA away from Yankee Stadium, while his 1.54 WHIP leads to constant traffic. Rockford pointed out that every Yusei Kikuchi start has flown over the closing total, so he is comfortable playing offense on both sides but prefers isolating the Halos because they own a .760 home OPS and should bat nine full innings as the underdog. His model spit out 5.3 projected runs for L.A. against Schmidt plus New York’s middle relief.

Eric Lindquist flagged Zach Neto OVER 1.5 total bases as a value prop against Yankees right-hander Clarke Schmidt. Neto is quietly mashing atop the Angels order with a 50.5 % hard-hit rate, absurd 543 xwOBAcon and 606 expected slugging, yet books keep pricing him like the rest of L.A.’s sputtering lineup. Schmidt’s 27 % K rate is legit, but he leans heavily on a sweeper that lefties have handled (190 ISO allowed) and he owns just a 36 % ground-ball rate overall, giving Neto multiple paths to a double or pair of singles. Lindquist expects the market to shade the Angels roster downward, so anything (+125) or better on Neto 2+ bases is a "like" for Wednesday.

Jordan Cooper predicted the Yankees would be noticeably under-owned because most DFS players will spend up at pitcher and then flock to the salary-relief Astros or the trendy Diamondbacks. He plans to run at least one five-man Yankees stack—Judge, Soto, Lindor one-off example—as leverage. Cooper believes New York’s raw power plus depressed ownership provides tournament-winning upside, especially if the Astros chalk underperforms.

Labeling him his "Beast of the Night," Prince loves Paul Goldschmidt leading off for a loaded Yankees lineup against left-hander Tyler Anderson. Goldy sports video-game numbers versus southpaws — .658 wOBA and .436 ISO — while riding an eight multi-hit game month that also includes stolen-base upside. Anderson has allowed homers in 7 of 10 starts, posts just a 19% strikeout rate to righties, and benefits from an unsustainably low .179 BABIP, indicating regression is due. Surrounded by Trent Grisham, Aaron Judge, and Cody Bellinger, Goldschmidt should pile up run and RBI chances at what Prince calls "still too cheap" salaries.

Mills Young went back to Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases after cashing the same play in Judge’s previous game. The tout expects another long ball and advised adding a home-run sprinkle in addition to the base total, banking on the slugger’s hot form to continue.

Garofolo highlighted Angels +1.5 at +104 in their 9:38 PM ET matchup with the Yankees, noting the Dimers model assigns the run-line dog a 52.8% win probability and a 3.8% edge. He framed the plus money price, coupled with a projection that the Halos keep it within a run more than half the time, as one of Tuesday’s strongest value plays on the card.

Lonte Smith bet both first-five and full-game unders (9) in Yankees–Angels thanks to two rebound narratives. Carlos Rodon has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four and carries a 2.88 road ERA. Yankees games are 8-2 to the under over their last ten despite an 8-2 record, underscoring run-suppression rather than offense. Tyler Anderson, though rocked for nine runs in his last two, had yielded two or fewer in five of six prior and owns a 2.91 ERA at Angel Stadium. With New York’s attack inconsistent—often exploding in one game then scoring two the next—Smith projects a 4-3 type scoreboard and will ladder unders across derivatives.

Kingpin Sports backed the Yankees moneyline because Carlos Rodon enters at 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA and, in their words, “continues his stellar form.” They noted Tyler Anderson’s solid but less dominant 3.60 ERA and emphasized New York’s superior power profile, expecting that pop to break the game open even if Anderson keeps it close early. The pick is framed as a straight win recommendation rather than a run-line gamble.

Malcolm Bamford went the opposite direction, targeting a Yankees team-total over (projected 4.5) and a Yes-Run-First-Inning prop that has cashed in 9 of Tyler Anderson’s 10 starts. Anderson has surrendered 14 runs on 21 hits in his last two outings and is allowing a .314 opponent average the first time through the order. New York owns a .272 wOBA versus lefties overall but spikes to .310 on the road and has hit southpaws in six straight series. Bamford expects the Bronx lineup to punish Anderson early—he forecasted 6-1 or 7-1 type final scores—while Rodon limits Anaheim, allowing both overs and Lonte’s under to coexist.

Kenny G said the best angle in Anaheim is under 9. Carlos Rodon has settled in with a 2.88 ERA and is coming off six shutout innings (8 K) against Texas, supported by a Yankees bullpen sporting a 3.29 ERA. He expects Tyler Anderson to bounce back from back-to-back drubbings, pointing out the veteran’s season mark still sits at 3.60. The Angels’ sticks have vanished—1, 0 and 2 runs their last three—and New York’s lineup may not need another 10-run eruption to win. The only red flag is an Angels relief unit that owns baseball’s worst ERA (6.45), but Kenny believes Rodon’s form plus Anderson’s ability to keep the game respectable outweigh that risk, making the under a playable lean over laying –185 on the Yankee moneyline.

The tout hammered the Under citing a 69 % hit rate on Yankee AL games this year (20 Unders) and strong form from both starters. Anderson has carved at home (2.51 ERA, .190 BAA, 1.01 WHIP) and owns a 26.1 % K-rate versus New York bats. Rodon sports a 3.19 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and projects as a Cy Young candidate. Neither club presses the stolen-base game (NYY 18th, LAA 29th), limiting cheap run creation. Given elite starter metrics and a massive bullpen gap that still favors low scoring, the tout expects a tight affair below the total.

Cash Out Sports Picks played the Yankees outright behind Carlos Rodon’s torrid seven-start run (5-0, 1.48 ERA, 0.87 WHIP over 42.2 IP). Tyler Anderson has been solid, but the Angels’ bullpen owns MLB’s worst ERA (6.45) whereas New York’s pen ranks sixth (3.29). The Yankees have also taken the last two at Angel Stadium, giving added confidence. With a pronounced late-inning relief mismatch and the hotter ace, the tout views moneyline juice on New York as justified.

Razzle begrudgingly tagged Ryan Yarbrough the safest SP on an ugly four-game night slate. He’s coming off back-to-back strong outings, including a gem versus Texas. Although his 4.5 K-prop is juiced to the under and the game total is 9.5, Vegas leans to the under, and Yarbrough should work deep thanks to his efficiency. With no elite arms available, Razzle recommends swallowing the price for cash games and building bats around him.

Jenstad raved about Zach Neto’s across-the-board production: 8 homers and 8 steals in just 33 games, driven by a 50 % hard-hit rate and 17 % barrel rate. Despite a 28 % strike-out clip that mirrors the Angels’ team philosophy, Neto is slashing .326/.364/.636 since activation and has scored 28 runs during that span. Jenstad said only three or four shortstops would come off the board before Neto if drafts were held today, making him a must-start in all formats and a legitimate buy-high target for managers needing both power and speed.

Scott Jenstad said Taylor Ward belongs at the very top of this week’s pickup list after an outrageous May in which the outfielder has already launched 9 homers and driven in 27 runs. Jenstad acknowledged Ward’s profile remains "boom-or-bust"—his average launch angle keeps the BABIP volatile—but emphasized that fantasy managers cannot ignore the counting-stat avalanche. Ward is locked into the No. 3 spot in an Angels lineup that just rattled off an eight-game winning streak and quietly paces the league in runs scored since May 1. Even if the batting average settles around .255, Jenstad thinks Ward’s combination of everyday volume, above-average hard-hit rate, and the license Phil Nevin gives him to swing early in counts puts a 30-plus homer, 90-RBI season firmly in play. He recommended double-digit FAAB bids in 12-team mixers and labeled Ward a core cash-game piece on next week’s thin Monday slate where he’ll face two soft Oakland right-handers at Angel Stadium.

Jeff Erickson said he’s steering clear of Ryan Yarbrough’s upcoming two-step. While the soft-tossing lefty draws a favorable opener against the Angels, the back half is at Dodger Stadium, where Los Angeles ranks first in wRC+ versus southpaws. Yarbrough’s strike-out rate sits under 17 %, meaning he relies on batted-ball luck that’s unlikely to hold against Mookie Betts and company. Even after an 8-K gem versus Texas, Erickson believes the strikeout spike is a mirage and expects ratio carnage in Chávez Ravine. He prefers streaming options that don’t require surviving the league’s best lineup.

Dylan Rockford agreed on the side but highlighted the Yankees team-total over as his favourite wager. New York averages 5.2 runs per road game and now faces Jose Katchanowicz, whose 11.6% walk rate and 5.03 ERA make him a prime blow-up candidate. Rockford noted Katchanowicz walked five A’s last time out and should probably be in Triple-A. The situation worsens once the Angels’ bullpen—owning the league’s worst ERA and 14 blown leads—takes over. With Ryan Yarbrough keeping the Yankees in a stress-free position (2.59 road ERA) Rockford expects Aaron Judge and company to reach five runs by the seventh inning and ultimately win by multiple tallies. He projected a 7-3 score and felt anything 4.5 or lower on the Yankees team total was worth firing.

Scott Reichel grabbed Yankees –1.5 at +105, arguing the matchup tilts heavily toward New York. Soft-tossing lefty Ryan Yarbrough has given up only four earned over 14 innings since stretching out and just punched out eight Rangers hitters with a diet of curveballs and change-ups. Opposite him, Jose Katchanowicz sports a 5.03 ERA, has walked at least four batters in four of his last five starts, and was rocked for four runs by Oakland. Reichel called the Angels bullpen 'the worst in baseball' after recent injuries to Ben Joyce and the continued struggles of Carlos Estevez, while the Yankees relief corps has surged with Luke Weaver and Devin Williams pairing with Clay Holmes. New York’s offense, fresh off scoring 15 runs at Coors, owns a .786 road OPS and should feast on Katchanowicz’s wildness and the thin pen. Reichel priced the runline closer to –120 and predicted a 6-2 final.

Kenny G advised laying the moderate –160 money-line price with the Yankees in Anaheim. He expects 33-year-old Ryan Yarbrough to continue the form he has flashed in three straight quality starts (Tampa Bay, Oakland, Texas) and trusts a New York bullpen that owns a 3.28 ERA despite coughing up Sunday’s cover. Offensively the Yankees still rank top-2 in both runs scored and on-base metrics and now face 24-year-old Jack Kohanowitz, who sits at 3-5 with a 5.03 ERA and was shelled by the A’s his last time out. Kenny hammered the matchup angle: Angels bats have produced only two total runs in their last two games, while their relief corps is an MLB-worst 6.45 ERA. With New York 13-11 on the road and only a short hop from Colorado to L.A., he sees no travel drag and projects a decisive Yankee win that justifies the current price before it climbs closer to –180.

Lindquist plans to bet Ryan Yarbrough’s strikeout OVER (projected 3.5 or 4.5) and ladder up to 6 Ks against the Angels. Yarbrough’s revamped pitch mix— a sinker/sweeper combo setting up a changeup that jumped from a 22.7 % to 47.8 % whiff rate— has lifted his overall K-rate to 23.3 %. The Angels own one of MLB’s worst contact profiles versus left-handed changeups, giving up high chase rates and whiffs. Lindquist cashed Yarbrough’s over versus Texas last start and believes books continue to mis-price him off outdated season-long numbers. If Yarbrough is confirmed the starter, Lindquist will ladder 3.5/4.5/6+ at escalating plus-money prices.

It's The Final Round targeted Aaron Judge props against Angels right-hander Jack Kochanowicz, who throws his sinker 51 % of the time and has been torched on it (.500 opponent average). Judge owns elite numbers against sinkers this season and destroys every secondary pitch Kochanowicz offers. Judge has a hit in 13 of his last 15 games, has cleared 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs in 12 of 15, and topped 1.5 total bases in 11 of 15. His 38.4 % sweet-spot launch-angle rate ranks 46th in MLB. The tout expects books to post a fair 1.5-total-bases line and suggested taking overs on total bases, hits+runs+RBIs, or even runs scored (over in 10 of 15) given the pitch-type mismatch and Judge’s current form.

Eric Halterman said Will Warren is back on the fantasy radar after reworking his arsenal. Over his last three starts the Yankee right-hander owns a 1.50 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 37 % K rate and 4 % walk rate, thanks to an even four-seam/sinker split that helps his sweeper play better against opposite-handed bats. Even with an early-season slump baked in, Warren carries a 4.05 ERA versus a 2.97 xFIP and 3.22 SIERA while striking out 30 % of hitters. Halterman expects at least mid-rotation value if the walks remain under 10 %, and sees true breakout potential should the command gains stick.

Peterson laid the -1.5 run line at +100 on New York, stating his fair price was -1.5 -122. He expects the AL’s highest-scoring offense (5.6 R/G) to feast on rookie Jack Kochanowicz, who sports a 5.03 ERA, 5.63 FIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 1.5 HR/9. Ryan Yarbrough has found his groove with a 2.27 ERA across his last nine starts after shifting full-time to the rotation. Peterson anticipates a comfortable multi-run Yankee win.