Razzle highlighted JP Sears as a strong road play. Sears has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in every 2025 start and just blanked Texas twice. Miami’s lefty-tilted core (Stowers, Mervis, Lopez) loses thump versus southpaws, and Sears owns +130 win odds (second-best on the slate) with a 4.5 K-prop. The strikeouts can vary, but efficient innings and path to a W make him an attractive SP2.

Morgan slotted JJ Bleday ($2,800) into his bargain bin. Bleday sports a .737 OPS over the last three weeks with four homers and seven doubles, while Edward Cabrera brings a 4.66 career FIP, 1.94 K/BB ratio, and a .302 average allowed to left-handed hitters this season. Morgan expects Oakland’s lefty to keep the mini power surge going in Miami.

Kenny G pounded the table for Over 8.5 runs in Athletics–Marlins, citing a perfect storm of bad pitching and even worse relief work. Edward Cabrera owns a 7.23 ERA and was lit up by the Dodgers his last time out, while the Miami bullpen is somehow worse than Oakland’s, lugging a 4.89 ERA that ranks near the bottom of MLB. Kenny reminded listeners that Miami is an eye-popping 22-10 to the over and plays its home games in a park that has turned into a launching pad during day contests. Oakland/Sacramento is 12-7 on the road and no stranger to high-variance shootouts. With neither starter expected to survive five innings and both offenses showing enough competence—Miami 15th in runs, 7th in average; Oakland drawing walks and ranking top-half in ISO—he expects both clubs to hang crooked numbers early and the shaky bullpens to finish the job. He called it his favorite total on the board and a likely ‘pinned comment’ play.

Over the full-game total was the second wager. Oakland owns the 21st-ranked bullpen ERA (4.52) and Miami sits 27th (4.89). Offensively the A’s are ninth in MLB with a .737 OPS, while the Marlins are 15th (.704). With Cabrera’s command issues and both pens leaking runs, Cash Out Sports expects enough scoring to clear the number despite each offense batting below .250 on the year.

Guy Boston wagered on Matt Mervis UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at ‑150 on MGM (-160 to ‑170 elsewhere). Mervis has fallen short in 9 of his last 10 contests and 17 of 25 overall. He is batting just .203 with a 101 wRC+ versus right-handers and faces Osvaldo Bido, who has limited left-handed bats to a .200 average, .280 wOBA and sub-0.25 HR/9. Bido leans on a fastball/slider mix; Mervis’s wOBA dips to .338 on heaters and even lower on sliders. Boston noted a six-game homer drought reduces the one-swing risk. Only worry is Bido’s slightly higher HR/9 vs LHBs, but overall matchup and recent form favor the under.

Cash Out Sports Picks sided with the Athletics, highlighting the divergent forms of the starters. JP Sears is 3-1 with a 2.19 ERA and .207 opponent average over 24.2 road innings, while Edward Cabrera has a 6.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and is still winless at home (0-1 in 3 starts). Miami has not won back-to-back games since Apr 21-22, and Oakland’s lineup ranks sixth in HR frequency (1 every 25.7 AB). Given Miami’s skid and Cabrera’s 22 hits, 15 runs and 11 walks allowed in just 18.2 IP, the A’s were the recommended money-line play.

Peterson grabbed the Marlins at +118 (he priced them ‑102), explaining that Oakland’s JP Sears brings a 4.79 FIP and 1.5 HR/9 into a matchup backed by a bullpen sporting a 4.40 ERA. While Edward Cabrera’s 7.23 ERA looks gruesome, Peterson believes his 9.6 K/9 and historically above-average ground-ball rate hint at immediate positive regression once he trims the 5.3 BB/9. Facing an Athletics offense that ranks 24th in wRC+, Peterson likes the Fish as short dogs.

Daniel Vreeland recommended playing the No-Runs-First-Inning at ‑120 in Oakland vs Miami, leaning heavily on the arms of Max Meyer and Osvaldo Bido. Vreeland noted Meyer’s 3.18 season ERA would look even better if not for one rough outing; before that stumble he had surrendered only three earned runs across three starts. The bigger selling point is the strikeout heater: 28 Ks in his last 16.0 innings, suggesting he can bypass Oakland’s below-average lineup before contact even happens. On the back end of the frame, Bido has limited opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of six starts and has logged 7-plus punch-outs in four straight. Miami’s offense is bottom-third in first-inning scoring, so Vreeland sees little danger of an early crooked number. All those factors combine for what he calls a "juicy" NRFI wager.

Dylan Rockford’s model spit out a 7.8 total, so he plans to fire on a first-five under if books hang 4.5 or better for JP Sears vs Max Meyer. Oakland is 11-6 on the road and 7-3 in its last ten, while Miami continues to flounder. If oddsmakers make the A’s a small dog—around +120—Rockford will sprinkle the money line as well, arguing that Sears’ 24% strikeout rate and sub-1.00 WHIP play anywhere. He respects Meyer’s upside, hence the total bet, but believes Oakland’s overall form warrants consideration on the side if plus money appears.

Scott Reichel leaned to the full-game under (projected 7.5–8) in JP Sears vs Max Meyer. Sears owns a 2.94 ERA and has held hitters to a .210 average, while Meyer sports a 3.18 ERA overall and an eye-popping 2.04 mark at LoanDepot Park. The spacious dimensions plus a below-average Miami offense (29th in runs) create minimal blow-up risk. Reichel noted Oakland’s lineup is scrappy but still 23rd in ISO, and Meyer trends to alternate good and bad starts—he’s coming off the bad one (five runs to Seattle), so the pattern says he bounces back. He projected 3–3 through seven and would bet any total 8 or higher, with a first-five under as a secondary angle.

Kelly Kirby tabbed Kyle Stowers as her top waiver add in deeper formats where every outfield spot counts. Rostered in just 9 % of Yahoo leagues, Stowers already owns four home runs, a couple of steals, and a .323 batting average that Statcast mostly backs up with a .295 xBA and matching expected power numbers. Kirby liked that Stowers is even drawing starts against left-handed pitching—hitting fifth or sixth in a thin Marlins lineup—so the playing-time floor is higher than most wire fodder. If you need immediate batting-average stabilization and a touch of pop while waiting for the next prospect wave, she believes Stowers is an easy plug-and-play OF5.

Projected final: A’s 6-5. Oakland gets the nod thanks to a 18-15 record and a better-than-advertised offense versus Miami’s 12-19 mark. Max Meyer has kept a 3.18 ERA, but the model expects regression, while Osvaldo Bido’s 4.31 ERA is backed by a bullpen that ranks top-10 in WAR. Moneyline odds weren’t listed, but the algorithm still prefers Oakland.

B Wade said Eric Wagaman is a strong play on Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs. Wagaman has cleared this number in 13 of his last 18 games (72%) and in six straight at home, eight of his past nine at loanDepot Park. He rides a nine-game hitting streak and owns a .266 AVG vs right-handers (.267 overall). Wade emphasized the soft matchup against A’s rookie righty Joey Beto, whose 4.30 ERA and 1.50 WHIP signal traffic on the bases. Wagaman has cashed this prop in 70% of his last 20 home contests, and the entire Marlins lineup has been swinging it well, giving extra paths via runs and RBIs.

B Wade played Nick Kurtz TO RECORD A SINGLE. Kurtz has logged at least one base knock in eight of nine games this year, and every one of those hits has been a single. He’s on a seven-game single streak, making the plus-money line attractive even though a generic ‘hit’ prop would be safer but pay less. Wade is betting the trend continues against middling pitching.

Erik Halterman called Eric Wagaman a sneaky pickup for deeper formats now that trades and injuries have opened everyday at-bats in Miami. Wagaman is hitting only .247/ .402/ .649 on the surface (3 HR, 1 SB), but Statcast thinks he should be at .308 with a .526 xSLG. He pairs a mere 16 % strikeout rate with a 49 % hard-hit rate— marks matched by only six other qualified hitters (Yandy Diaz, Alejandro Kirk, Maikel Garcia, Juan Soto, Fernando Tatis, Pete Alonso). Entrenched in the 3-4 spot for the Marlins, Wagaman offers rare contact-plus-power skills that Halterman believes make him roster-worthy.

Marcus pointed to Kyle Stowers as a sneaky mid-range bat at $4,500. Stowers has been locked into the five-hole with a .180 ISO and .389 wOBA (.385 xWOBA). Opposing pitcher Osvaldo Bido sports a 12.1% strikeout rate and 1.72 HR/9, giving Stowers tangible home-run upside at a modest salary.

Marcus highlighted Max Meyer as the top alternative to Brown. Meyer’s 33.1% strikeout rate leads every starter on the slate, and his $9,700 salary still leaves room for bats. The Marlins’ offense makes the win bonus less certain, but Meyer’s pure swing-and-miss stuff provides a ceiling few others can match, keeping him firmly in GPP consideration.

Joe Pisapia endorsed streaming Gunnar Hoglund for his spot start in Miami, noting both matchup and form. The former first-rounder owns a 2.43 ERA, 30 K, 7 BB, and 1.04 WHIP through six minor-league outings with his fastball velocity back after multiple injuries and a harder slider generating whiffs. The Marlins rank bottom-5 in wRC+ and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching, giving Hoglund a high-floor, strikeout-driven profile for one-week leagues. Pisapia said he would roll the dice in any 12-team format that allows daily pickups, likening the play to past one-off A’s streams that paid off because of park and opponent.

Razzle is intrigued by first-round talent Gunnar Hoglund at minimum salary. Hoglund’s Triple-A work came in the PCL’s launching pad at Las Vegas and he still held his own, showing enough strikeout ability and limiting homers despite a fly-ball profile. The matchup versus Miami’s anemic offense in a cavernous park amplifies safety. Vegas lists the A’s as rare –142 road favorites with a 9.5 total that is heavily juiced to the under—numbers Razzle equated to a Coors Field game by park adjustment. He’ll refresh for props but expects 80-plus pitches; any path to 5-6 strikeouts makes Hoglund an elite SP2 punt on DraftKings.

Despite Miami’s recent 8-2 record to the over, Data Skrive projected a 5-4 final and labeled the Under 9 as the stronger side at -111. The write-up cited Oakland’s 4.0-run scoring average over its last ten games and the Athletics cashing the Under in six of those contests. Oakland starters are limiting opponents to a modest 7.6 K/9 clip but have kept the ball in the yard better lately (only 11 HR allowed in ten games). Miami counters with an offense that is batting just .323 with runners in scoring position during that stretch and now faces an Athletics pen that has been league-average. With both teams profiling as middling contact lineups and the market shading the total to a full nine instead of 8.5, Data Skrive recommended taking the Under.

The tout hit the under because Gunnar Hoglund and Valent Belozo are unfamiliar arms, giving pitchers the early edge. Oakland leads MLB with 30 double-plays hit into, while Miami has grounded into 14 (T-26th). Neither side excels at reaching base—A’s .313 OBP (18th), Marlins .317 (15th). With middling offenses and two green starters that hitters have little data on, Cash Out Sports Picks projects a slow-moving game that stays below the number.

Cash Out Sports Picks favored Oakland because its lineup ranks 8th in MLB with a .732 OPS and is tied for 6th with 41 homers, while Miami’s bullpen sits 28th with a 5.13 ERA. Rookie Gunnar Hoglund draws a soft debut against a Marlins order that just managed one series win in its last five and was torched by the Dodgers. Oakland’s relief corps owns a better 4.40 ERA (21st) and closed two of three against Miami a year ago. The tout trusts the A’s consistency to cash the money line.

Data Skrive projected a 5-4 Miami victory and recommended taking the Marlins at +115. Their model lists the actual win probability at an even 50/50 despite books implying only 46.5% for Miami, creating a perceived edge. Oakland is 7-4 (63.6%) as a favorite overall but just 3-2 on the moneyline in its last five tries in that role, while Miami has cashed four of its past ten as an underdog and is scoring 4.8 runs per game over that span. The Athletics’ offense is sputtering at 4.0 runs per contest and faces a Marlins lineup that has popped 12 homers in the last ten games. With Oakland laying -136 and its bullpen carrying a 4.40 ERA against Miami’s volatile but strikeout-heavy staff (8.6 K/9), Data Skrive sees enough volatility to justify the plus-money stab on the Fish.

Kelly Kirby declared Tyler Soderstrom "90 percent real" and pushed back against the idea of cashing out now. Soderstrom’s expected slugging still sits at .568 and he is doing that while playing half his games in what Kirby called "a minor-league park"—the cavernous Oakland Coliseum. His 43% hard-hit rate and 11.2% barrel rate both rank in the top third of MLB first basemen, and Kirby emphasized that first base is no longer as deep for power as it once was. With Soderstrom logging surprise innings in left field, she expects multi-position eligibility to kick in by mid-season, a sneaky boost in daily formats. Unless the return is a true difference-maker, Kirby wants managers riding out a potential 30-homer rookie campaign instead of selling now.

Kelly Kirby said Sandy Alcantara looks "cooked" and advised treating him as a fringe roster spot rather than a traditional buy-low. Kirby backed it up with the ugly data: an 8.31 ERA and a still-nasty 6.41 xERA, a 46.4% hard-hit rate, a walk rate north of 14% that is six full points higher than his career norm, and a fastball sitting roughly one mph slower than pre-surgery. Although the ground-ball rate is still strong, the combination of diminished command and loud contact makes a rebound unlikely in her eyes. Kirby would only consider acquiring Alcantara if he is free on waivers or available for a throw-in like Jake McCarthy, warning managers not to sacrifice a usable bat such as Christian Walker for a pitcher who may never regain pre-2023 form and is unlikely to deliver wins on a tanking Marlins club.

Romanelli expects Miami to handle rookie right-hander Osvaldo Bido and is looking at both the Marlins’ money line and their team-total over. Bido’s current 18 % strikeout rate and elevated hard-hit percentage give a surprisingly competent Miami offense—11th in wOBA versus right-handers—a chance to put up a crooked number. Even after being swept by the Dodgers, the Marlins showed resilience by clawing back from multiple multi-run deficits, and Romanelli believes that mindset carries over in a softer matchup. While Miami has yet to announce a starter and its bullpen remains shaky, the handicap centers on Bido’s inability to miss bats; Romanelli thinks the Fish score early and often enough to win and clear their total.

Lonte Smith prefers the full-game over, projecting a shoot-out once a total is posted. He highlighted Oakland’s 118 wRC+ since mid-April and their steady five-plus runs in four of the past five contests. Miami’s bats have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs in South Florida and ranking top-10 in hard-hit rate. With the Marlins likely forced into a bullpen day and the A’s rotation still thin behind Bido, Smith expects two bottom-10 relief units to shoulder heavy innings. Factor in humid Miami weather that boosts carry, and he’ll play the over at anything 8.5 or lower, believing both lineups are undervalued by the market.

Scott Reichel said he plans to jump on Oakland’s moneyline as soon as bookmakers hang a number. He likes how the A’s just stole three of four from Texas, noting they have won six of their last eight while averaging 5.1 runs per game during that span. Rookie right-hander Luis Bido has impressed him with a 23% K-rate and just six walks in 18 innings, whereas Miami has not even named a starter, suggesting another bullpen game for a relief corps carrying a 5.11 ERA at LoanDepot Park. With the Marlins fresh off a demoralizing sweep by the Dodgers and sporting an MLB-worst 11-22 record, Reichel thinks any plus-money tag is mispriced. He would play Oakland down to roughly even money, expecting their young core (Gelof, Soderstrom, Butler) to out-slug a fading Miami lineup.

Johnny Venezia told listeners not to abandon Nick Kurtz even though the rookie first baseman is just 4-for-16 with no homers, three RBI, and a .485 OPS through five MLB games. Kurtz crushed seven homers at Triple-A to force his call-up, and Venezia noted he handled left-handed pitching well in college and the minors despite Oakland curiously sitting him versus southpaws last week. The analyst expects the usual adjustment period—from college and Triple-A velocity to big-league sequencing—but believes Kurtz’s elite strike-zone awareness and on-base skills will surface with more reps. With Yahoo roster percentage already slipping, Venezia recommended holding or scooping him off waivers, projecting the slugger as a legitimate AL award contender by 2025.