Joe Pisapia flagged Brandon Young as a sneaky streaming option after manager Brandon Hyde publicly called him a candidate to start again this weekend. Young struck out seven across 5.2 innings in his MLB debut, leaning on a 94‑mph sinker and a sweeping slider that generated six whiffs on 12 swings. The right‑hander posted a 29% strikeout rate and 52% ground‑ball rate at Triple‑A Norfolk, profiles that generally play in Camden Yards since the left‑field wall move. With waiver wires thin for two‑start arms, Pisapia recommended adding Young in 12‑team leagues that count quality starts and streaming him in DFS if his salary lands below $6K on DraftKings.

Guy Boston wants to attack the Baltimore side—money line and especially team‑total overs—against Trevor Williams and the league’s worst bullpen. The Orioles have been embarrassed in successive games (24‑2 and 7‑0 losses) but still crush right‑handers, ranking top‑10 in OPS and ninth in run value versus sliders, the pitch Williams leans on 30 % of the time. Williams’ four‑pitch mix offers little that Baltimore does not hit well: they sit top‑10 against changeups, league‑average against four‑seamers, and the only thing he throws that gives them trouble—the sinker—shows up just 13.7 % of the time. Guy notes that even a taxed Orioles pen is preferable to Washington’s fresh but talent‑deprived relief corps. On the other side, import Kenta Sugano has shown a splitter that generates whiffs and, critically, has never faced any of these Nationals hitters, giving him the early edge the first time through the order. With matchup edges on both the mound and in the batter’s box, Guy expects Baltimore’s offense finally to pop for 5‑plus runs and cash both the ML and TT plays.

Guy Boston suggested playing the UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs for Ryan Mountcastle at ‑105 (BetMGM). The first baseman has stayed under in 7 of his last 10 contests, averaging only 1.2 HRRBI, and has four straight unders entering tonight. Season‑long he is 12‑of‑20 (60 %) to the under with a 1.6 average. Mountcastle’s splits deteriorate vs RHP (.224 AVG, 74.5 wRC+) compared to overall (.242 / 82.3). He draws right‑hander Trevor Williams, whose overall numbers are shaky (5.95 ERA, .325 AVG allowed) but who owns elite splits against righties this year: 3.27 ERA, .167 AVG, .174 wOBA across 38 batters. Mountcastle is 0‑for‑2 lifetime vs Williams with a 50 % K‑rate, and he produced a goose egg in last night’s opener. With both recent form and pitcher splits aligning, Guy Boston believes fading Mountcastle is a strong value play.

Ruffolo took a swing on James Wood at +475 after the rookie logged three hits and two doubles Tuesday. Wood owns a team‑best four homers versus righties and now draws Tomoyuki Sugano, who sits in the bottom 1% of MLB in strikeout rate, allows plenty of barrels, and has been tagged for 1.7 HR/9. With Camden’s summer weather and a suspect Orioles pen behind Sugano, Ruffolo likes the long odds on Wood’s first big‑league blast this week.

Ruffolo recommended Gunnar Henderson to homer at +390. Trevor Williams brings a 5.95 ERA into the start and has surrendered at least one homer in three straight outings. If Henderson doesn’t get him, Ruffolo notes the left‑handed slugger will see a Nationals bullpen sporting a ghastly 7.09 ERA—worst in baseball—and a league‑high home‑run rate. Given Henderson’s pull‑side power and Camden Yards’ favorable conditions, Ruffolo sees plus‑390 as strong value.

Brian Howard said the Washington Nationals are his favorite bet on tomorrow’s board at +120. He thinks Baltimore starter Tomoyuki Sugano is simply not big‑league ready, reminding listeners that the Orioles rotation was already thin and is now dealing with multiple injuries. Howard considers Trevor Williams a serviceable arm who can give Washington five competent innings, whereas Sugano’s arsenal has not translated stateside. With Baltimore’s bullpen overworked and the Nats still having MacKenzie Gore in reserve for Game 3 of the series, Howard sees the plus money as a gift. He briefly looked at the first‑five and double‑result markets but noted the books have ‘neutered’ those prices, so he will stick with the full‑game moneyline. Kyle Purviance co‑signed the play, calling it the best bet they have discussed so far.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised backing Washington on the money line because Baltimore’s pitching staff is in shambles. Charlie Morton has been blasted for an ERA north of 10.00 through five starts, and the club has been out‑scored 31‑2 in its last two games. The Orioles now hand the ball to 35‑year‑old rookie Tomoyuki Sugano, a complete unknown stateside. Washington counters with Trevor Williams, a pitch‑to‑contact arm who should be comfortable against a reeling lineup. With both teams desperate for a spark, the tout expects the steadier Nationals to dictate the game from start to finish.

Osborne played Mitchell Parker Under 2.5 earned runs. The rookie owns a 1.85 ERA and has stayed below this number in three of four starts, two of which came against top‑five offenses (Phillies and Diamondbacks). He highlighted Parker’s 2.65 home ERA across 15 starts last year and a 2023 outing versus Baltimore in which he allowed two runs over 5.2 innings. The Orioles remain brutal against lefties—29th in OPS on the season and hitting .119 vs southpaws over the last two weeks—so Osborne anticipates another sub‑three‑run line.

Kenny G grabbed Baltimore at ‑135, largely because Washington’s bullpen is an outright disaster (7.19 ERA, worst in MLB by a mile). Even if Mitchell Parker continues his strong 1.85 ERA start, Kenny expects chaos once Washington turns to relief. Baltimore’s own pen has stumbled to a 4.59 ERA, but Kenny believes that number is inflated by recent blow‑ups and reminds listeners the O’s rank sixth in slugging and remain dangerous despite a sluggish April. Both offenses trend over (Baltimore 13‑5‑3 to the over; Washington 12‑10), yet Kenny views the side as the clearest edge—Baltimore simply owns too much lineup depth to let the Nats’ relief corps off the hook. He labeled the O’s a “bounce‑back spot” after dropping two of three to Cincinnati, predicting late offense seals it once the Nationals’ pen enters.

Eric Lindquist leaned toward Under 9 runs in Orioles‑Nationals. He pointed out Baltimore’s bullpen numbers look inflated only because of Sunday’s 24‑2 drubbing by Cincinnati; removing that outlier, the relief corps still profiles as a strength. Washington counters with soft‑contact lefty Mitchell Parker, while Dean Kremer should benefit from a light breeze blowing in. With two capable pens and no true power offenses, Lindquist expects the market to overreact to the recent blow‑up game and sees value on the under.

Brian Howard suggested grabbing Washington at +105 to take two of three from Baltimore. His case: the Orioles’ rotation is depleted (John Means and Kyle Bradish on IL) and their patch‑work bullpen features three waiver‑wire pickups pitching on back‑to‑back days, while Washington sends MacKenzie Gore in Game 3—easily the best starter in the matchup. Howard believes Baltimore’s potent offense can’t fully offset its pitching woes and expects the Nationals to be slight favorites in at least one of the remaining games, making the +105 series price a value play before Gore’s start shortens the odds.

Brian Howard recommended betting Dean Kremer under 4.5 strikeouts at –145 (or waiting for plus money under 3.5) against Washington. Howard noted the Nationals own one of MLB’s five lowest chase rates and have trimmed their team K‑percentage to 20.3% over the past two weeks. Meanwhile Kremer has reached five punch‑outs in just one of four starts and is averaging only 90 pitches because Baltimore’s injury‑riddled bullpen needs relief help early. Books have already moved the under juice from –125 to –145, and Brian expects the line to reopen Tuesday morning at 3.5, so he is locking in 4.5 now.

Drew Dinsick said the Over 9.0 is the best way to attack Tuesday’s Beltway battle. He pointed to Baltimore’s league‑leading 14‑5‑2 record to the Over, noting the Orioles have hit the Over in seven of their last eight contests (7‑0‑1) thanks to a deep lineup that sits top‑5 in hard‑hit rate and barrels per plate appearance. Dean Kremer’s 6.41 ERA, 2.3 HR/9 and career‑worst 43% fly‑ball rate make him a blow‑up candidate in a hitter‑friendly Nationals Park. On the other side, rookie left‑hander Mitchell Parker has sparkled (1.85 ERA), but Dinsick highlighted a modest 19.3% strikeout rate and .216 BABIP that suggest looming regression against an Orioles lineup that punishes southpaws (124 wRC+ vs LHP). Washington can chip in as well: the Nats have cashed the Over in four straight home games and face an Orioles bullpen that owns the sixth‑worst xFIP (4.55). With mild spring temperatures in DC and a 7‑mph breeze blowing out to right‑center, Dinsick projected a combined 10.4 runs and made the Over playable to 9.5.

Cash Out Sports Picks sided with Washington as home dogs because Orioles starter Dean Kremer has surrendered 25 hits and 14 earned runs in 19.2 innings, and Baltimore just gave up 24 runs to Cincinnati. Nationals rookie Mitchell Parker has impressed, yielding only 18 hits over 24.1 innings with minimal damage, and Washington enjoyed a travel day to reset. With two inconsistent squads, the tout prefers the club getting better current pitching and a friendlier price tag—Washington at Nationals Park.

Drew Dinsick recommended taking Washington on the run line at +1.5, citing several trend and matchup edges. The Nationals have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Nationals Park and are 10‑12 ATS overall despite a sub‑.500 record, a profile Dinsick likes against an Orioles club that is just 4‑8 straight up in its last 12. Rookie Mitchell Parker’s 1.85 ERA, supported by a 55% ground‑ball rate and sub‑1.00 WHIP, gives Washington a legitimate chance to keep things tight, especially with Baltimore’s Gunnar Henderson slumping at .228 in April and star catcher Adley Rutschman nursing a bruised thumb (expected to start but potentially limited at the plate). Baltimore’s suspect bullpen (21st in K‑BB%) and Kremer’s homer issues (13 allowed in his last seven starts dating back to 2024) add late‑game volatility that favors the extra run. Dinsick would play the Nats RL down to –120 and noted an implied win probability edge of 4% versus his model.

Just A Bet Outside’s third best bet is ORIOLES TEAM TOTAL UNDER 2.5 runs in the first five innings (–135, DraftKings). The play marries Baltimore’s horrific splits against southpaws with the early‑season form of rookie left‑hander Mitchell Parker. Parker owns a 1.85 ERA, has surrendered one or fewer earned in three of four starts, and is even better at home (two earned across 18.1 Nationals Park innings). His 50% ground‑ball rate and muted hard‑contact profile keep barrels off the board. Meanwhile, the Orioles sit 29th in wRC+, OPS, and batting average (.184) versus lefties, with the 5th‑highest strikeout rate. They have scored two or fewer off five of the six left‑handed starters faced, getting silenced by Andrew Abbott (2 H, 11 K), Logan Allen (2 H, 6 K), Kris Bubic and Garrett Crochet (combined 16 K, 0 ER). Just A Bet Outside considered Parker’s K prop over 4.5 but settled on fading Baltimore traffic altogether, forecasting another quiet night for the Birds and backing it with a half‑unit.

Malcolm Bamford locked in Washington as his official underdog, echo‑ing the earlier Parker over Kremer argument but staking his own money on it. He refuses to lay –135 with Dean Kremer, calling Baltimore overpriced given its 9‑13 record and .184 average against southpaws. Bamford prefers riding rookie Mitchell Parker, who has yet to allow more than two runs in any start (1.85 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) and already tamed the Phillies and Diamondbacks. With Parker’s strike‑throwing and a Nationals bullpen that has been quietly league‑average, Bamford believes Washington stays in front long enough to cash the plus‑money ticket.

Scott Reichel urged bettors to grab Washington at +115, arguing the wrong team is favored. Rookie left‑hander Mitchell Parker is 2‑1 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through three big‑league starts, having already silenced Philadelphia and Arizona. Meanwhile Dean Kremer’s 5.87 ERA anchors what Reichel called "the worst starting‑pitching staff in baseball." Baltimore is just 9‑13 overall, 4‑7 on the road, and an abysmal .184 against southpaws. The Nationals are above .500 at home and bring the clearly better starter plus the more trustworthy bullpen, yet the market is asking bettors to lay −135 with the Orioles. Reichel sees no justification for that price and labeled Washington one of the day’s best underdog wagers.