Cash Out Sports Picks advised playing the full-game under, noting all five recent meetings have finished below the number with only 16 combined runs in the last three. Chicago has not topped three runs in any of those games and still sits last in MLB batting average. The Mets’ league-best pitching staff should keep it that way, and Canning has a career 1.89 ERA versus the Sox. Chicago starter Shane Burke just stifled Texas for one run in six frames, adding another arm capable of suppressing scoring. With both clubs trending under (Mets pitching, White Sox inept offense) and Citi Field weather expected to be neutral, he projected a 4-2 type of contest that stays comfortably beneath the posted total.

Cash Out Sports Picks said the safest play is laying the run-line with New York. He reminded listeners the Mets have taken five of the last six meetings while limiting Chicago to three runs or fewer in four of those contests. The White Sox are a disastrous 19-79 on the road the past two seasons and have dropped 80.8 % of away games this year. Chicago’s bats rank dead last in batting average and the defense has coughed up 41 errors, 28th in MLB. Conversely, New York’s staff sits No. 1 in ERA (2.82) and Griffin Canning owns a sparkling 2.88 ERA overall that improves to 2.66 with a .195 average against at Citi Field. Meanwhile Shane Smith has a tidy 2.40 ERA, but the Sox have lost six of his last seven starts because they cannot score for him. With the Mets offense sitting top-10 in OPS and homers and a bullpen that has protected every late lead this week, the tout expects New York to win comfortably and cash the favorite run-line.

Kenny G called the Mets a worthy "lock of the day" at –250. He trusts Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.88 ERA) to rebound after an uncharacteristically short, wild outing against the Dodgers, noting that Canning blanked Washington the last time he faced a weak offense. The Mets back him with MLB’s third-best bullpen (2.81 ERA) and a lineup that sits 7th in OBP and top-10 in slugging. On the flip side, Chicago counters with Shane Smith, where the White Sox have gone 0-5 in his last five starts despite a 2.36 ERA. Kenny hammered home how bad the support is: White Sox bullpen 4.60 ERA (bottom-eight), offense 26th in runs, 29th in average, 29th in slugging, plus a miserable 5-22 road record. He added that even if Smith deals early, New York will eventually pounce on the shaky pen. All that makes the Mets’ heavy moneyline price justifiable for bettors willing to lay the chalk.

Dylan Rockford played the White Sox first-five team total under (1.5). He pointed to Griffin Canning’s Citi Field dominance—no more than one run allowed in four of five home starts—and Chicago’s league-worst road splits: 2.8 runs per game and a .218 average versus right-handers. Given those numbers, Rockford doubts the Sox scratch out more than a single early run.

Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the first-five innings under in White Sox-Mets. He highlighted Shane Smith’s 2.10 ERA in five road starts and Griffin Canning’s 2.88 season ERA. First-five unders have cashed in seven of Smith’s ten outings and eight of Canning’s ten. Bamford added that Chicago’s offense is brutal on the road, averaging only 2.8 runs per game, so the pitching should dominate the early frames.

JDBetsHQ grabbed Chicago +1.5 runs at +105, trusting his model that shows the White Sox quietly stacking offensive advantages despite their record. New York rolls out Tylor McGill, who has allowed 4.4 earned runs on average over his last four outings and has cashed the OVER on 2.5 earned runs in 80 % of starts this season. Jonathan Cannon, while no ace, has surrendered fewer than three earned runs in 60 % of his appearances and is giving up just 4.0 hits per start. Sheet logos were overwhelmingly in favor of Chicago hitters, and the Mets’ lineup owns only three positive historical matchups. With Cannon’s contact suppression and McGill in a rough stretch, JDBetsHQ thinks one run of insurance is plenty against a Mets club that needed late-game luck to win yesterday.

Chris Prince said Juan Soto is the premier buy-low bat on the slate because salary has cratered to "near 5K" on DraftKings even though his underlying skills never left. Soto owns a .400 wOBA and .260 ISO against right-handed pitching over the past month, evidence the swing is already coming around. Tuesday he faces White Sox rookie Jonathan Cannon, a low-strikeout (17.7% K-rate) arm allowing 50% hard contact to lefties. Prince expects that combination of discounted price, improving form, and a pitcher who cannot miss bats to unlock Soto’s ceiling for DFS tournaments.

Malcolm Bamford locked in the first-five under, leaning on two starting pitchers whose profiles fit the bet. Shane Smith sports a 2.10 road ERA through five away outings and has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six overall. Tyler McGill is still capped around five innings, but Citi Field is where he excels and he draws a White Sox lineup ranked bottom-five in wRC+ versus right-handers. Supporting data backs the under: Chicago is 23-14-2 first-five under against righties, while the Mets are even better at 28-10-1. Bamford expects both offenses to stay quiet early, envisioning a 1-1 or 2-0 scoreboard through five.

Kingpin Sports laid ‑1.5 with the Mets, stating their offense “should bounce early” in support of Tylor Megill (3-4, 3.56). With Jared Cannon’s 2-5 record/3.76 ERA on the other side, they see New York building a margin before the bullpens take over.

Lonte Smith took a swing on the White Sox at +210 and grabbed the +1.5 run line, arguing the market overrates Tyler McGill and an uneven Mets bullpen. Smith highlighted Shane Smith’s 2.36 ERA and sparkling 49-to-18 K/BB ratio, noting he has given up two earned or fewer in five of six starts and in four of five on the road. McGill has surrendered four-plus earned in three of his last four versus significantly stronger offenses, and New York’s bullpen has regressed since its hot April. Chicago just battled Texas tough over the weekend and, despite a 5-21 road mark, Smith thinks the price compensates. He expects a tight, low-scoring contest where the underdog’s pitching edge can steal it late.

Matt Perrault backed the Mets on the moneyline largely because of Tylor Megill’s dominant home splits and the White Sox’s dreadful overall form. Megill owns a 1.86 ERA at Citi Field this season with opponents batting just .216 and only four earned runs allowed in 19.1 innings. Chicago counters with rookie Jonathan Cannon, who has a 4.76 ERA on the road and a 1–5 record in away starts while surrendering six homers and 21 earned runs in 39.2 innings. Perrault also pointed out Chicago’s 5-22 record, calling them one of the league’s softest road opponents. All of that rolled into a simple recommendation: play the Mets straight up as the first leg of his three-team parlay.

Kenny G advised laying the hefty –270 with the Mets, calling it a potential “lock of the day” if the price doesn’t balloon much higher. He pointed to Tylor Megill’s bounce-back form—4.2 scoreless innings with 10 K versus Boston and a season-long 3.56 ERA—plus the fact that his only rough patch came against the Cardinals, Cubs and Yankees, three lineups far scarier than Chicago’s. New York backs him with a top-three bullpen ERA and a 20-6 record at Citi Field, best home mark in MLB. Offensively the Mets are only 13th in runs but rank 7th in OBP and 10th in SLG, numbers he expects to play up against a White Sox lineup that has produced just two runs in the series opener and is buried near the bottom of every offensive category. Because Chicago’s own pen is shaky and Jonathan Cannon is unlikely to repeat Monday’s success, Kenny is comfortable swallowing the big price rather than messing with totals or alternatives.

Eric Lindquist said he expects Tylor Megill to clear the strikeout prop once it opens, projecting at least 7 Ks against the White Sox. Lindquist noted that Chicago’s batting order remains one of the highest-whiff lineups in baseball, and he routinely grades Megill as an "over" candidate because his fastball/slider combo generates swings and misses when he’s ahead in the count. Lindquist anticipates books hanging 6.5 strikeouts juiced to the over (around ‑150) and believes that still undervalues Megill, who has topped that number in three of his past four starts and owns a 27% strikeout rate on the season. He will confirm the wager once lineups post, but Megill’s matchup and recent form make him a likely add to his betting card.

Although the Mets’ bats look scary on paper, Cash Out Sports Picks prefers the full-game UNDER. Vegas totals have been inflated because of name value, but six of New York’s last seven have still cashed under tickets. Tylor Megill’s strike-out-heavy form (10 K in 4.2 IP last start) pairs with Shane Smith’s respectable 2.36 ERA to create a pitching-driven matchup. The tout notes that public money will again flood the over, opening value on the opposite side.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Tylor Megill as another plus K target. The White Sox strike out at the 12th-highest clip versus right-handers (21.1%). Megill has 66 punch-outs in just 48 innings, clearing six strikeouts in five of his last six turns and recording double-digit Ks twice, including 10 last time out. His K-rate spikes to 32.2% at Citi Field and he demolishes lefty bats (36% K-rate), a profile that matches Chicago’s left-leaning order. Over 5.5 Ks is squarely in play.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid out why the Mets should be trusted on the run-line Tuesday. New York is 33-21 and chasing first place in the NL East, while the White Sox limp in at 17-37. Chicago sends rookie right-hander Shane Smith—now 0-5 in his last five turns and fresh off surrendering three earned to Seattle—to the hill. The Mets counter with Tylor Megill, who just struck out 10 Red Sox in 4.2 innings. Add a top-of-the-order trio of Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Juan Soto and the tout believes Monday’s narrow 2-1 win was the Sox’ best shot. With the talent gap and pitching edge, he expects New York to win comfortably and cover the run line.

Razzle pushed Clay Holmes into his top three given –310 money-line support and a cupcake White Sox lineup. The 5.5 K-prop is light, yet Holmes hasn’t topped five strikeouts since April 20, hinting his ceiling is volume driven. Razzle warned Holmes has already surrendered five HRs in his last three starts and could hit a conditioning wall because he is new to starter workloads, but overall matchup safety outweighs that risk for DFS cash builds.

Cash Out Sports Picks leaned to the under, noting that only 41.7% of White Sox non-league games and 44.4% of Mets interleague games have gone over. New York’s pitching staff owns a low team ERA, and Chicago’s lineup has struggled versus right-handers. With Citi Field’s early-season weather and two capable starters, the tout projected limited scoring opportunities for both clubs.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised taking the Mets to win and cover the run line against the White Sox. New York has captured five of its last six at Citi Field and mashes right-handed pitching, while Chicago has dropped four straight on the road. Adrian Houser has yielded six runs in his last three appearances versus the Mets, and the Chicago bullpen is bottom-tier. Clay Holmes counters with a bullpen that ranks third in MLB ERA, giving New York a massive late-inning edge. The handicapper doubts the Sox can keep pace offensively or on the mound.

Scott Reichel made the White Sox–Mets under 8.5 his lock of the card. He trusts Adrian Houser, who threw six shutout innings in his Chicago debut, to neutralize a Mets lineup that ranks bottom-five in slugging and is likely flat after playing Sunday-night baseball and returning for a 4 p.m. Memorial Day first pitch. On the other side, converted reliever Christian Holmes carries a 3.13 ERA, has allowed fewer than three earned in two of his last three outings, and now faces a White Sox offense that averages only 2.88 runs on the road. Reichel projects limited length from both starters but still leans under thanks to two below-average lineups, cooler early-evening temperatures, and Citi Field’s pitcher-friendly dimensions, forecasting something like 4-2 and calling first-five under 4.5 a viable secondary play.

Eric Pathi said the smartest play on Memorial Day is taking the Chicago White Sox +1.5 runs at +120 versus the New York Mets. Pathi argued the Mets are consistently over-valued by bookmakers: despite a solid 31-21 record over their last 52 games, bettors backing New York in every one of those contests would have cleared only $171 because the club is almost always laying steep money-line prices (around –300 in this matchup). By grabbing the run-and-a-half with plus money, Pathi believes you are fading an inflated favorite while still getting protection on a close Mets win, creating a high-value position on the South Siders.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Garrett Crochet as the lone strike-out spot he actually likes on Monday. Milwaukee owns the 11th-highest strike-out rate over the last three weeks (24.5%), and Crochet continues to miss bats at an elite clip—78 punch-outs in 68.1 IP. The host noted Crochet’s K-rate jumps to 29.7% on the road (vs. 27.8% at home) and absolutely spikes against left-handed hitters (37.5%). After posting only five Ks versus the Mets in his last start—his second-lowest total of the season—he registered eight and nine strikeouts in the two prior outings, reinforcing ceiling potential. Given Milwaukee’s swing-and-miss profile and Crochet’s underlying metrics, the tout framed his Over strike-out prop as the best pitching angle on today’s board and a DFS core play.

Lindquist recommended UNDER 5 runs for the first five innings at –130 (BetMGM). He noted Adrian Houser’s White Sox debut went six scoreless frames with just two hits, and wind is again projected to blow in at Citi Field, suppressing early offense. Although Houser’s larger sample is shaky, the Mets counter with right-hander Clay Holmes (311 xwOBA, .235 xBA) who Lindquist believes can dominate Chicago’s strikeout-prone lineup. Because both clubs have bottom-tier offenses and there’s a valuable half-run hook compared to the more common 4.5, he views the F5 under as the sharp side despite paying a bit of extra juice.

Eric Lindquist advised taking the UNDER on Garrett Crochet’s 6.5-strikeout prop versus Milwaukee. Lindquist noted that Crochet’s gaudy 35.1% K-rate last year came in short relief stints. Now that the White Sox are letting him work deeper into games, Lindquist expects natural regression due to innings-based arm fatigue. He added that public bettors routinely push Crochet’s number higher because of name recognition, creating value on the under when books open at 6.5 or higher. While the Brewers are mediocre against lefties, Lindquist still projects fewer than seven punch-outs, making the under a plus-EV wager.

Eric Halterman recommended adding Chase Meidroth again now that he is healthy and back atop the White Sox lineup. The rookie owns a career 17 % minor-league walk rate and 425 OBP, and is holding a .381 OBP with an 11 % walk rate through 27 MLB games. Concerns about speed have faded after eight steals already, pushing him from two-category to three-category contributor (average, runs, SB). With just a 1 % barrel rate and 56 % ground-ball rate, Halterman does not expect power, but daily leadoff plate appearances and green-light baserunning make Meidroth a priority grab in any league that counts OBP or steals.

Erik Halterman urged fantasy managers to scoop Miguel Vargas off the waiver wire. Vargas sits fourth among qualified hitters in Ideal Attack Angle, pairs that with an 8% barrel rate and a 17% strike-out rate—numbers similar to last year’s breakouts Josh Naylor and Luis Garcia Jr. After opening the year with a .139 average over 20 games, Vargas has slashed .316/.368/.592 with six homers and only a 10% strike-out rate across his last 26 games. Halterman believes the superior attack-angle consistency and recent plate-discipline surge signal that 2024 could be the season everything clicks for the 24-year-old, making him an immediate add in season-long formats.

Peterson took Under 8.5 runs (projected 7.6). He cited Adrian Houser’s six–inning scoreless debut for Chicago and a Mets matchup versus a White Sox lineup that ranks 28th in scoring (3.3 R/G, just 2.9 on the road). On the other side, Clay Holmes carries a 3.13 ERA and gives up only 0.8 HR/9. With two competent arms and one of the league’s worst offenses involved, Peterson expects a low-scoring affair that never threatens nine runs.