Chris Raybon expects second-round pick Tyler Shough to win the Saints’ three-way quarterback competition and start Week 1. Shough is the oldest QB in this rookie class and was widely labeled the most pro-ready passer behind Cam Ward, a profile Raybon says teams do not sit on the bench. Moore has already praised Shough pre-snap command, hinting the offense will borrow Moore’s trademark up-tempo approach that produced top-10 situation-neutral pace with both Dallas and the Chargers. While Raybon conceded Shough may struggle to "maximize" the playbook immediately, the volume alone (Moore offenses have averaged 37.8 passes per game) places Shough on the superflex radar and makes him a viable QB3 stash in best-ball tournaments where every late spike matters.

Koerner projected sixth-overall pick Ashton Jeanty for immediate bell-cow volume in a Pete Carroll-Chip Kelly marriage that screams run-heavy. Carroll has historically ranked top-5 in neutral-script rush rate and, according to Koerner, specifically lobbied for Jeanty 96th-percentile burst to recreate the Marshawn Lynch era. Kelly’s collegiate offenses funneled 22-25 touches per game to a lead back and his lone NFL season calling plays for Philly produced a league-high 321 carries for LeSean McCoy. Koerner dismissed concerns about Michael Mayer and Brock Bowers siphoning red-zone looks, noting that Kelly still fed McCoy 59 targets alongside a prime Jordan Matthews in 2014. With Jeanty already taking first-team reps and reporting weight-room numbers north of 600-lb squats, Koerner ranked him RB11 in early projections and urged taking him as early as Round 2 in redraft and best-ball formats.

Chris Raybon said Dyami Brown is a best-ball free square because Liam Cohen plans to mimic his 2023 Bucs playbook that regularly trotted out four wide receivers and peppered backs on check-downs. Jacksonville’s WR4 should see real snaps after Brown signed a two-year, $10 million deal identical to Tutu Atwell’s in Los Angeles, a signal Cohen views him as more than depth. Raybon reminded listeners that Tampa’s WR4 produced three usable fantasy weeks last year and argued Brown’s career 14.9-yard aDOT and 4.45 speed give him weekly home-run potential if Trevor Lawrence logs the anticipated volume bump. At a near-undrafted ADP, Raybon advised scooping Brown in the final two rounds of best-ball drafts whenever stacking Jaguars.

Sean Koerner said keeping Josh McDaniels as offensive coordinator is a sneaky long-term win for Drake Maye. McDaniels coaxed Mac Jones’ career year in 2021 (24 TDs, 67% completion) and, after flameouts in Denver and Las Vegas, is unlikely to land another head-coaching gig. That means Maye could enjoy rare play-caller continuity for multiple seasons — a luxury few young QBs get. Koerner expects McDaniels to replicate his quick-game concepts that generated a 6.8% sack rate and 69% first-read throws for Jones, traits that fit May’s decisive style coming out of UNC. While Koerner cautioned the current roster is still rebuilding and Diggs’ Week 1 health is pivotal, he upgraded May’s three-year projection and endorsed him as an upside QB2 in superflex formats.

Sean Koerner said Clint Kubiak’s arrival in Seattle quietly tilts the offense back toward the backfield and specifically boosts Kenneth Walker. Kubiak’s lone year calling plays for New Orleans fed Alvin Kamara 86 targets—20 on designed screens—and Koerner expects that philosophy to follow him west. He emphasized that Kubiak’s outside-zone run game mirrors what Walker dominated at Michigan State and differs from Shane Waldron’s mixed concepts that sometimes bounced Walker too far outside. With a healthier interior line, Koerner projects Walker’s workload to rise from 15.1 touches per game to 18-19 while preserving his explosive 4.6 yards-after-contact clip. He also tagged Zach Charbonnet as an elite handcuff (“any Walker ding turns Charbonnet into a top-five play”), but the headline takeaway is that Walker’s ceiling jumps a full tier under Kubiak, making him a round-three target in both best ball and season-long leagues.

Chris Raybon framed Christian Kirk as “this offense’s Cooper Kupp.” He pointed out that every branch of the McVay tree leans on a slot-centric alpha, and new OC Nick Caley just spent two seasons scheming Kupp and Puka Nacua into 30-plus percent target shares. Raybon expects Caley to copy-paste those layered option routes for Kirk, who owns a career 2.05 yards-per-route mark from the slot. With Tank Dell’s recovery doubtful and rookie wideouts Higgins and Noel still learning, Raybon believes Kirk could open 2024 commanding double-digit targets most weeks. He projected 115–120 looks and labeled Kirk a screaming value in Round 8 of best-ball and PPR drafts as a safe WR3 who can post WR1 spike weeks.

Sean Koerner called Dalton Schultz the quiet winner of Houston’s coordinator change. Nick Caley coached tight ends for McVay and his offenses live in 11 personnel that funnels lay-up targets to the Y-tight end on boot and mesh concepts. Rams tight ends averaged a 19% target share under Caley despite competing with Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua; Koerner expects a similar design to give Schultz near-every-down routes. With Stefon Diggs gone and Tank Dell’s availability doubtful, Schultz projects for a career-high 90–95 targets and low-end TE1 production. At a TE17 price he’s "the last every-week starter" and an easy stacking partner with Stroud in best-ball tournaments.

Sean Koerner said Nick Caley’s arrival as offensive coordinator is exactly what C.J. Stroud needs to erase last year’s face-plant. Caley spent the past two seasons under Sean McVay running the Rams passing game, a background Koerner believes will translate into heavier pre-snap motion, a true 11-personnel base and cleaner first reads for Stroud. Inside buzz is that Caley will hand Stroud far more freedom to audible—something Bobby Slowik rarely allowed—which should push Houston’s pass rate back into the league’s top half. The Texans also upgraded a battered offensive line and imported Christian Kirk plus Day-2 rookies Higgins and Noel to make sure there are healthy targets once Tank Dell’s likely season-long absence and Stefon Diggs’ departure kick in. Koerner chalked Stroud’s sophomore crater (18 TDs, 31 sacks) up mostly to protection issues and now projects roughly 4,200 yards with 26-28 scores, good for mid-QB1 numbers at a current QB15 ADP. He urged drafters to scoop Stroud as a late-round ceiling play in best ball and a cheap upside QB1 in redraft.

Chris Raybon pointed out that Taysom Hill’s late-season knee surgery is expected to sideline him for all of 2024, removing the gadget QB who siphoned nine red-zone carries and six touchdowns from Alvin Kamara last year. With Hill gone and Moore historically preferring traditional red-zone concepts (his Dallas units ranked bottom-six in QB rush attempts inside the five), Raybon projects Kamara’s share of goal-line touches to jump from 38 % to roughly 65 %. Even if the overall offense is volatile, that touchdown infusion vaults Kamara back into mid-RB2 territory for season-long leagues and gives him weekly ceiling in best-ball formats where TD variance is king.

Sean Koerner urged caution on Chris Olave after noting two major red flags. First, credible beat‐writers have repeated that Kellen Moore is open to moving Olave for draft capital, creating either a mid-summer holdout or an unfamiliar playbook if he’s dealt. Second, Olave has already suffered three documented concussions; Koerner worries a fourth could trigger an IR stint under the league’s stricter 2024 protocols. The upside is obvious—Moore historically force-feeds his No. 1 wideout from the slot (Keenan Allen and DeVonta Smith both logged 30-plus percent slot rates and 27-plus percent target shares under Moore). But with a rookie quarterback (Tyler Shuck) likely starting and Olave’s availability shaky, Koerner dropped him to the bottom of his WR2 tier and advised diversifying with steadier options in Rounds 3-4 of best-ball or redraft leagues.

Sean Koerner downplayed concerns about a post-Liam-Cohen hangover, explaining that new OC John Grizzard already masterminded Tampa’s league-best 51% third-down conversion rate as situational strategist. Because Todd Bowles again promoted from within, Koerner expects the same shotgun-heavy, quick-read scheme that helped Baker Mayfield set career highs in touchdowns (28) and EPA per drop-back. Grizzard’s specialty is sequencing high-leverage downs, so Koerner anticipates the Bucs to remain top-10 in pass rate over expectation, preserving the weekly volume that fed Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and kept Rachaad White’s receiving floor intact. Koerner left Mayfield parked in the mid-QB2 tier but urged drafters not to discount him in superflex or as a cheap stacking partner with Evans in DFS tournaments.

Raybon noted that as Beychal Tutin hype snowballs, drafters are letting Travis Etienne slide two to three rounds in best-ball rooms—even though Liam Cohen’s Tampa backfield supported two fantasy-viable runners (Rachaad White and Bucky Irving) in the same game. Cohen has publicly stressed throwing to the backs and Jaguars insiders keep floating trade rumors around Etienne, but Raybon thinks those whispers are suppressing price more than actual touch probability. He reminded listeners that Etienne still owns 4.45 speed, a 10% career target share and Jacksonville declined his fifth-year option, giving the club every incentive to showcase him before 2025 free agency. With goal-line vulture Tank Bigsby also discounted, Raybon called the entire trio a portfolio play and recommended scooping whichever Jaguar back falls past ADP in best-ball builds.

Chris Raybon compared Stefon Diggs’ 2024 outlook with the Patriots to Davante Adams’ first year under Josh McDaniels in Las Vegas. Adams commanded a 32% target share and led the NFL in touchdown catches at age 30. Raybon argued a similar funnel is in play because New England’s surrounding pass-catchers are thin and McDaniels historically features a true WR1 (Adams, Wes Welker, Demaryius Thomas). Diggs still posted a 26% target share and top-15 open-rate in Buffalo before an injury-marred finish, so Raybon sees talent erosion as overstated. With Drake May willing to pepper a favorite read, Raybon believes Diggs retains top-five weekly upside and labeled him a priority pick in Rounds 4-5 of best-ball drafts where ceiling matters most.

Chris Raybon said the Lions’ third-round selection of Arkansas wideout Isaac Teslaw — a receiver praised mostly for his run-blocking — signals that Detroit may lean even harder on the ground game under new OC John Morton. Raybon noted that Teslaw’s blocking chops plus Ben Johnson’s departure make it logical to shift volume toward the backfield. A heavier run rate would funnel extra carries and screens to Jahmyr Gibbs, who already owns the league’s fourth-highest explosive-run rate (12% of totes went 10+ yards). Raybon called Gibbs the primary beneficiary of a "keep it on schedule" offense, projecting a bump from last year’s 14.5 touches per game to 17-18 and reinforcing him as a second-round smash in both best-ball and season-long formats.

Koerner warned that the Lions offense has "nowhere to go but down" after Ben Johnson’s departure, even though Detroit promoted from within by naming passing-game coordinator John Morton OC. Any drop-off in play design or sequencing could disproportionately hurt Jared Goff, a quarterback Koerner called highly scheme-dependent. While he isn’t slashing Detroit projections yet, Koerner is baking in a modest efficiency downgrade and recommends tempering expectations for Goff in drafts until we see Morton replicate Johnson’s magic.

Chris Raybon advised moving off Cole Kmet because Ben Johnson typically uses only one pass-route-running tight end. Detroit averaged 1.08 TE routes per snap under Johnson, leaving Brock Wright around a 30 % route share when Sam LaPorta was healthy. Raybon pointed out that even with a 90 % route rate last year, Kmet often logged zero-target games (the "Cade Otton award"). With heavy competition from DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden and rookie Colston Loveland, Raybon doesn’t see enough targets for Kmet to break spike-weeks in best-ball or hold TE1 value in season-long.

Koerner compared Colston Loveland to both Sam LaPorta and prime Jimmy Graham, calling him a "legit" pass-catcher who also blocks well. He noted Ben Johnson personally selecting Loveland in Round 2, the same draft capital Detroit invested in LaPorta. While sharing targets with Cole Kmet, DJ Moore, Rome Odunze and Luther Burden may cap 2024 volume, Koerner believes Loveland’s talent and Johnson’s TE-friendly scheme make him a long-term dynasty smash and an intriguing late best-ball flier.

Sean Koerner said Ben Johnson’s arrival in Chicago should turbo-charge Caleb Williams’ second-year leap. Johnson’s Detroit offenses led the league with roughly 3,500 first-read passing yards, while the Bears were second-to-last at just over 2,500. Koerner expects Johnson to script quicker, more defined first reads that let Williams get the ball out instead of absorbing sacks (PFF charged the rookie with 17 self-inflicted sacks). Add an upgraded line plus weapons like DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden and rookie tight end Colston Loveland, and Koerner projects a sizeable efficiency spike that justifies Williams’ rising QB7-QB8 best-ball ADP.

Liam Murphy called Cade Otton a "really nice" late pick, citing a three-game stretch last season of 18, 29, and 21 PPR points that showed genuine ceiling. Even acknowledging Tampa Bay’s crowded target tree, Murphy thinks Otton’s ability to earn red-zone looks and handle 90-plus percent of snaps when healthy makes him an ideal fourth tight end on rosters that are already strong elsewhere. In total-points best ball, those occasional 20-point explosions are hard to match off waivers, and Otton’s TE37 price tag leaves plenty of room for profit if he simply repeats last year’s usage.

Discussing how Drafters uses full-point PPR with no yardage bonuses, Liam Murphy said Malik Nabers (he referred to him as “Neighbors”) is a noticeably better selection than boundary receivers who rely on splash plays like A.J. Brown. Nabers’ projected high target volume and underneath role should translate to steady reception totals, which are worth the full point apiece on Drafters. Murphy added that similar possession-style wideouts such as Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Rashee Rice also gain value under these scoring rules, making them preferred picks over lower-target, big-play specialists in the same draft range.

Davis Mattek said Jaydon Blue is worth aggressively targeting even though he is "literally one-trait speed right now." Mattek pointed out that Blue lucked into a perfect depth chart: he only needs to out-play Javonte Williams, who still has not shown pre-injury burst, and Miles Sanders, who was benched twice last season in Carolina. Blue showed that burst on the biggest stage, ripping off chunk plays in the College Football Playoff, and Mattek believes the Broncos will give him every chance to seize early-down work. With that runway and 24.6% personal exposure already in his Best Ball portfolio, Mattek sees an inexpensive path to 180-plus touches and labeled Blue a classic "get your guy" pick when chasing upside in the double-digit rounds.

Liam Murphy called Justice Hill "very likely to have some weeks" where he pops for usable scores, making him a fine last-round addition in total-points best ball. Hill’s burst and pass-catching chops give him a path to double-digit outings even behind new workhorse Derrick Henry, and Murphy likes sprinkling in that volatility to complement an otherwise thin running-back room. The idea is simple: if Hill logs even two unexpected 18-point games, those will automatically count and could be the difference between climbing or sinking on the overall leaderboard.

Liam Murphy said Marquez Valdes-Scantling—he referred to him as “MBS”—is "not a terrible total-points click" because the veteran speedster can still uncork a handful of massive weeks. Those random 25-plus-point explosions slot straight into a cumulative-points lineup and are nearly impossible for the rest of the field to replicate at MVS’s almost-undrafted cost. Murphy acknowledged the floor is ugly but stressed that in a format where you automatically start your best scorers every week, banking even two or three spike games from a final-round receiver is well worth the negligible opportunity cost.

Liam Murphy called Jaylen Wright 'a really nice consolation prize' and said the Dolphins rookie 'fits the bill of a league winner' in cumulative-points best ball. Wright posted a 4.38 forty and a 93rd-percentile explosive‐run rate at Tennessee, traits Murphy believes will translate immediately in Mike McDaniel’s outside-zone scheme that already produced multiple 30-point games from De’Von Achane. With Raheem Mostert entering his age-32 season and Achane’s slight frame raising durability concerns, Murphy sees a realistic scenario where Wright handles 12-15 touches by mid-season and possesses true 70-yard-house-call speed that can crack starting lineups even on limited volume. Because Wright still goes outside the top-170 picks, drafters sacrifice virtually no capital while securing contingency-plus-spike-week equity that is hard to find that late.

Liam Murphy said he is completely avoiding Alexander Mattison in best-ball and total-points drafts, contending the veteran is 'drawing very live to be cut' before Week 1 after the Raiders added both rookie Dylan Laube and bruiser Zamir White to the backfield. Murphy noted that Mattison’s yards after contact per attempt ranked 51st out of 57 qualifiers last season and that the Raiders can save nearly the entire $2 million he is owed by releasing him before final cuts. Even if Mattison sticks, Murphy expects an early-down committee headed by White with Ameer Abdullah handling most third-down work, leaving no path to the 20-point spike weeks total-points formats require. Because the field is barely drafting Mattison—he is often available after pick 215—Murphy concedes the uniqueness angle but says the near-zero ceiling makes the risk unjustifiable when wide receivers with real weekly upside are on the board.

Murphy warned that Chris Olave is "fragile" in total-points contests because the Saints could move him at the NFL trade deadline. He reasoned that if New Orleans believes rookie quarterback Tyler Shuck is the future, they might keep Olave around early to aid Shuck’s development but then ship the wideout for draft capital once Shuck looks competent. A mid-season trade would introduce bye-week uncertainty, a learning curve in a new playbook, and the risk of landing in a lower-volume passing attack—all hits to Olave’s weekly scoring consistency. Murphy therefore prefers similarly priced receivers without that additional volatility when every single week counts toward the final standings.

Murphy noted that Drafters’ current ADP is "down on Tyreek" relative to other sites, but he considers Hill an even stronger pick in total-points formats than in playoff-advance best ball. Hill has logged nine 30-plus PPR performances over the past two seasons and leads the NFL in yards per route run during that span. Those nuclear outings single-handedly vault cumulative-points teams up the overall leaderboard. With Miami expected to remain top-five in pace and pass rate over expectation, Murphy sees no reason to fade Hill’s weekly ceiling and labeled him an auto-draft whenever he slips past picks 5-6.

Liam Murphy argued that "the hate has probably gone too far" on Jalen Tolbert. If the former third-round pick simply holds onto the wide-receiver-three job in Dallas, he will see snaps in one of the league’s highest-scoring offenses and can post multiple 18-30 point games on long Prescott touchdowns. Those unpredictable blow-up weeks are exactly what cumulative-points formats need, and Tolbert now goes 30-40 picks after similarly volatile WR3 types on lesser offenses. Murphy sees virtually zero opportunity cost at that price and likes pairing Tolbert with NFC East opponents on his roster for a built-in two-game correlation bonus.

Murphy, historically a Chig skeptic, said he is now comfortable drafting Okonkwo as his third tight end because the Titan "draws live to be the second target" in Tennessee’s offense. He pointed to Okonkwo’s strong finish to 2023 and the lack of proven pass catchers behind DeAndre Hopkins as reasons the athletic tight end could command a 17-20% target share. While Tennessee did add a rookie tight end, Murphy believes Okonkwo’s yards-after-catch ability and 4.52 speed give him a weekly 20-point ceiling that few late-round TEs possess. The different bye weeks across his tight-end room make Chig an ideal spike-week option who can single-handedly win the position a few times per year in a cumulative-points best ball league.

Liam Murphy said he is willing to pair Luke Musgrave with Jordan Love in large-field total-points contests because Musgrave’s ADP is so low that he is often drafted in fewer than one percent of rooms. If Musgrave winds up the unquestioned starting tight end in Green Bay, managers who rolled the dice would be the only entries in the tournament capturing that production. Murphy added that drafters cannot stream tight ends in this format, so locking in a potential every-down player tied to an improving young quarterback is a cheap way to raise a roster’s weekly ceiling without sacrificing early-round capital. He acknowledged the play is “thin” but argued the uniqueness and realistic path to 80-plus percent route participation make it worth a final-round dart, especially in contests like Underdog’s Puppy or Drafters’ Total Points where originality is rewarded.

Selecting Hunter Henry as his TE1, Liam Murphy said the veteran "draws very live to lead the team in targets" given the Patriots’ barren wide-receiver room and rookie QB learning curve. Henry produced eight weeks of 9-19 PPR points last season despite splitting snaps; with Mike Gesicki gone and only mid-round rookies added, his route share should climb above 80 %. Murphy values that dependable 10-to-15-point weekly floor in a format where you cannot stream. He also folds Henry into an NFC East divisional stack via Keon Coleman, giving two correlated matchups versus Buffalo’s shaky pass defense.

Murphy snapped up Tua Tagovailoa in the mid-rounds, arguing that public "hate has gone too far" after Miami’s underwhelming finish. When healthy, Tua routinely posts 23-28 fantasy points thanks to league-leading yards per attempt and the lightning-fast pace Mike McDaniel plays at. Those steady 20-plus point weeks are enormously valuable as a QB2 in total-points best ball, especially for a drafter who already invested in an elite QB1 (Jalen Hurts). Murphy added that drafters can still back-stack Tua late with cheap options like Nick Westbrook-Ikhine if they want correlation, but even unstacked his floor/ceiling combo is superior to similarly priced passers.

Liam Murphy jumped on Tyrone Tracy in Round 10, calling the rookie a pure value compared to Cam Skadaboo, who goes nearly 80 picks earlier. Murphy expects Tracy—last season’s starter who flashed explosive plays before some late-year fumble issues—to open 2024 atop the Giants’ depth chart. That outcome would give him immediate early-down and goal-line work in Brian Daboll’s offense. The pick also fits Murphy’s divisional-stack strategy, pairing a Giants back with Jalen Hurts for twice-a-year correlated shootouts in the NFC East. Even if Tracy flames out, Murphy said a "zero in Round 10 won’t kill you," but the hit rate on a cheap bell-cow profile could swing a total-points leaderboard.

Liam Murphy cautioned drafters against paying the current premium for Brock Bowers in Drafters’ cumulative-points contest. He argued that the Raiders are being priced like an above-average offense even though they project for middling play volume and scoring. Murphy noted it is "hard" for two Vegas pass catchers—Bowers and teammate GT (presumably Tre Tucker or another Raider)—to both post 30-point explosions in the same week, which is what a total-points roster needs. Because weekly ceilings from non-teammate players such as Puka Nacua or Nico Collins are easier to stack alongside a single Raider, Murphy believes taking Bowers at his current ADP sacrifices upside while also hurting roster flexibility. In his view, Bowers may still make sense for playoff-advance formats, but he is overvalued when every week counts toward the overall leaderboard.

Liam Murphy said he prefers rookie Travis Hunter to fellow first-year wideout Tet despite acknowledging Hunter’s slightly higher risk profile. His rationale: Hunter went second overall to the Jaguars while Tet slid to eighth to the Panthers, indicating greater draft capital and offensive commitment. Even if Hunter ultimately shares alpha duties, Murphy expects Jacksonville’s offense to provide more scoring opportunities than Carolina’s, giving Hunter higher weekly and seasonal ceilings—precisely what total-points contests reward.

Murphy contrasted Jonathan Taylor with Josh Jacobs and concluded Taylor should be drafted first in a total-points environment. The key difference is Taylor’s proven 40-point single-game ceiling. Murphy argued that if Taylor pops for that type of score even three times over the season, those weeks are nearly impossible for opponents to make up, whereas Jacobs rarely reaches that range. Because drafters cannot stream other players to cover missed explosions, Murphy believes betting on Taylor’s home-run weeks is the optimal way to separate from the field despite similar median projections between the two backs.

Liam Murphy said Jameson Williams is exactly the kind of player he wants in the Drafters total-points contest because of Williams’ extreme week-to-week volatility. Murphy noted that even if Williams only gives managers three modest 10-point outings, the weeks where he pops for 40-plus are ‘really hard to replace’ for the rest of the field. In a cumulative-points league where the top scores at each position start every week, those spike games can single-handedly vault a roster up the overall leaderboard. Murphy therefore advised prioritizing high-ceiling receivers like Williams over steadier but lower-upside options when drafting for this format.

Davis Mattek closed his draft with Ollie Gordon, arguing the 230-pound rookie is a "more natural fit for the Mostert role" than any other Miami back. Gordon averaged 4.2 yards after contact at Oklahoma State and forced a missed tackle every 4.3 carries—numbers Mattek said mirror Raheem Mostert’s 2023 breakout. With Mostert entering age-32 season and De’Von Achane profiling as a space back, Mattek sees Gordon earning goal-line and clock-draining carries by mid-season. In a Mike McDaniel offense that generated a league-high 32 running-back red-zone touches after Week 10, even a part-time hammer could post multiple 20-point weeks. Mattek recommends scooping Gordon in the final round wherever possible to capture that asymmetric upside.

Davis Mattek labeled Adonai "A.D." Mitchell the most obvious Round-18 smash on the board. Mitchell ranked ninth in the entire NFL in targets per route run (0.28) as a rookie yet still goes outside the top 200 picks because drafters fear Indy’s passing volume. Mattek countered that Mitchell already proved he steps into a full-time role whenever Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, or Alec Pierce miss snaps, and Anthony Richardson’s down-field aggressiveness (11.2 aDOT) dovetails with Mitchell’s vertical skill set. Given that Best Ball rewards spike-weeks, Mattek is content to chase 5–6 usable games from a player he called "light-years more explosive than the dusty veterans in that ADP range."

Davis Mattek encouraged drafters to pounce on Anthony Richardson’s depressed ADP, shrugging off rumors that Daniel Jones could open the year as a bridge starter. Mattek compared the situation to Justin Fields’ 2022 stretch run, pointing out that Richardson averaged 0.92 fantasy points per rush attempt in his brief rookie sample—best among all QBs with 20+ carries. The Colts’ playoff schedule (Weeks 15–17 vs Raiders, Titans, Jaguars) features three secondaries that ranked bottom-10 in EPA per drop-back, a script Mattek said "sets up perfectly for a quarterback who can rip 100 yards on the ground any given Sunday." Even if Richardson starts only 10–12 games, Mattek views his weekly 35-point ceiling as irreplaceable in Best Ball playoffs and is willing to reach a round to secure him.

Davis Mattek staked his flag on Ray Davis, calling the 27-year-old rookie a slam-dunk value because "James Cook leading the NFL in touchdowns on <50% of snaps is so non-repeatable." Mattek reminded listeners that when Cook missed time last year, Ty Johnson paper-started but Davis handled the money touches. Buffalo ranked third in expected RB fantasy points inside the 10-yard line, yet Cook ceded 62% of those looks. Mattek believes the Bills want a thumper to finish drives and sees Davis’s three-down profile—he posted a 17% college target share—as a perfect fit. If Cook slides back to pass-down specialist, Mattek projects 225 touches for Davis and double-digit TD upside, making him an ideal mid-round swing in Best Ball tournaments.

Davis Mattek called David Njoku the ultimate "ball-knower" pick and wondered why a tight end who scored 160 fantasy points in 2022 and 116 last season goes undrafted in many rooms. Mattek argued the market is over-penalizing Njoku for Cleveland’s quarterback uncertainty, noting that the Browns threw the eighth-most passes to tight ends after Deshaun Watson went down. With Njoku’s 23% red-zone target share intact and only Amari Cooper commanding real volume, Mattek expects a stable 6–7 targets per game regardless of who wins the QB battle. At his current free price, Njoku screens as a weekly TE1 with top-five spike-week potential—an easy click in Best Ball formats that reward ceiling.

Davis Mattek snagged Dak Prescott after Patrick Mahomes went ahead of ADP and labeled Dak one of the best buy-low quarterbacks. Mattek noted Prescott historically outperforms when the fantasy community counts him out and said projections are too low on both the Cowboys offense and Prescott individually. He invoked the 2020 Dallas unit that led the NFC in scoring, arguing a similar environment could propel Prescott to a QB4 overall season at a mid-round price, making him an ideal ceiling option in Best Ball builds.

Davis Mattek called Caleb Johnson the most obvious heart-over-head pick on his board, arguing the rookie is a better prospect than most realize. Johnson piled up 1,963 scrimmage yards last season—more than Iowa’s entire passing game—and Mattek still graded him as the RB2 of the class even after a disappointing 4.58 forty. With Arthur Smith “getting his guy” in Pittsburgh, Mattek believes Johnson can immediately supplant Najee Harris and Jalen Warren, projecting a realistic 250-touch rookie season that is nowhere near baked into his current ADP.

Davis Mattek reached several rounds for rookie running back RJ Harvey, noting that every Sean Payton offense has finished top-5 in expected RB points and attributing last year’s failure to Denver’s “truly terrible” backfield options. Mattek loves Harvey’s speed and explosiveness, calling him “fast, cool, and fun” and banking on Payton’s history of feeding one lead back. Even though Harvey is “overdrafted relative to consensus,” Mattek views him as the type of upside pick that can smash ADP if he captures the Payton workhorse role.