Ryan Wooden recommended betting Paul Goldschmidt to go deep at +500 on DraftKings. The 37-year-old is slashing .340/.391/.476 with four homers and eight doubles in 39 games since joining a loaded Yankee lineup, a stark rebound from last year’s career-worst season. On Sunday he visits Sacramento to face Athletics right-hander Luis Severino, against whom he is already 1-for-2 with a homer and a walk lifetime. Severino has yielded all four of his 2025 home runs at home. Forecasts call for a 13 mph wind blowing out to left at first pitch with temps in the mid-70s and low humidity—ideal for right-handed fly balls. Wooden framed the play as part of SportsLine’s +17456 HR parlay.

Guy Boston made the Yankees his favorite play of the slate, backing both the moneyline (-150 at MGM) and their team total. He pointed to Carlos Rodon’s road dominance—23.1% K-rate, 5.8% walk-rate, .234 xBA and .278 xwOBA over 52 plate appearances versus this A’s roster—and the fact that Oakland will run six right-handed bats, the split Rodon has diced all year (.185 average allowed). On the other side, JP Sears has a 406 average against and just an 18.9% K-rate in 37 career PA versus current Yankee hitters, and his recent “good” outings came against the Marlins, Rangers and White Sox—three offenses far weaker than New York’s. The Bombers rank 4th in MLB in fastball run value over the past 30 days, and Sears throws heaters nearly 50% of the time. Layer in 89-degree weather, a slight wind out, and a bullpen edge for New York, and Boston felt the moneyline offered better price sensitivity than laying ‑165 on the 4.5 run team total, though he expects both to cash. He also mentioned considering A’s hitter unders (Gio Urshela and Shea Langeliers) but has not added those officially.

Dave Garofolo said the Dimers predictive analytics engine likes Under 10 runs at ‑110 in Saturday's Yankees–Athletics matchup. After thousands of Monte Carlo simulations, the model spits out a 57.9% chance the game stays below double-digits, creating a 5.5% expected-value edge versus the implied 52.4% probability at the current price. Garofolo noted the play time-locks at 4:05 PM ET and emphasized that all three of Saturday’s recommended totals cleared the model’s +EV threshold before being published.

Carty recommended betting OVER 2.5 earned runs for Carlos Rodon at +115. Rodon’s projected 40.8% fly-ball rate meets the No. 9 home-run-boosting park on Saturday’s slate, and Oakland Coliseum is expected to play hitter-friendly with warm weather. THE BAT X assigns a 57% probability to the over, yielding +$22.98 expected value and signaling trouble for Rodon in DFS cash builds.

Tony Sartori recommended betting the game total Under 10 runs (playable to -120) for Saturday's Yankees–Athletics matchup. Sartori highlighted that both left-handed starters are dealing: Carlos Rodon owns a 2.96 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and even better 2.83 xERA with a .194 xBA, ranking in the league’s top third for strikeout rate, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate; JP Sears counters with a 2.93 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, plus top-third marks in xERA, xBA, and walk rate. He added that each bullpen is trustworthy—New York ranks 7th in ERA, 3rd in FIP, 6th in WAR, while Oakland sits 10th in FIP and 8th in WAR. Offensively, Oakland provides minimal support, sitting in the bottom half of MLB in runs per game and carrying just a .333 slugging percentage and .277 wOBA across 52 career plate appearances against Rodon. Despite New York’s potent lineup inflating the total to 10, Sartori believes the combination of elite starting pitching, strong relief corps, and the Athletics’ weak bats makes the Under the best value on the board.

Eric Halterman suggested adding Gunnar Hoglund after two solid MLB outings (10 K, 1 BB, 2.38 ERA, 1.06 WHIP in 11.1 IP). Once a first-round pick, Hoglund’s stuff seemed diminished post-TJ, but his strikeout rate jumped to 26 % with a 2.43 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over six AAA starts this year, all while keeping walks at 6 %. The A’s rotation is wide open, so a continued whiff uptick could lock in his spot. Halterman views him as a speculative pickup for strikeouts and ratio help in deeper leagues.

Kenny G said the Yankees are worth a play at -155 in Oakland, arguing J.P. Sears’ sparkling 2.93 ERA is inflated by a cupcake run of opponents (Marlins twice, Rangers twice, White Sox). He expects the left-hander to struggle against a New York lineup that ranks 3rd in runs scored and 1st in OBP despite Aaron Judge cooling off lately. Carlos Rodon just blanked San Diego for 6⅔ innings and hands the ball to a bullpen sitting 8th in MLB with a 3.31 ERA, so Kenny trusts the Yankees to protect a lead. Oakland’s pen owns a 4.54 ERA, and while the A’s bats are 5th in average and 6th in slugging, he noted they’re 7-11 at home and 11-7 to the over—signs they often fall behind in high-scoring games. Bottom line: Sears’ step-up in class plus New York’s balanced profile make the Bombers a justifiable road favorite at the current price.

Lonte Smith liked Scott Reichel’s first-five angle but said he prefers the full-game Under 10 because both starters are quietly shoving and Oakland’s lineup remains punch-less. Carlos Rodon has held opponents to two or fewer runs in three of his last four appearances and owns a sub-2.00 ERA across that stretch. JP Sears has matched him with two or fewer earned in four straight and worked at least six frames in two of those outings. Sears’ opponents were not offensive juggernauts (White Sox, Rangers twice, Marlins), yet they still illustrate his current form. Lonte added an A’s team-total Under since Oakland averages a league-worst 3.1 runs per game at home. He is not thrilled with New York’s shaky late-inning corps, but believes the improved A’s bullpen can bridge the gap if Sears exits early. His projection lands at 7–8 combined runs, making Under 10 playable and the first-five Under 5.5 a secondary lean.

Scott Reichel advised betting the First 5 Innings Under 5.5 in Yankees–A’s. Carlos Rodon has fired scoreless outings in three of his last four starts and owns a sub-2 ERA over that span, while former Yankee prospect JP Sears has allowed two or fewer runs in four straight with a 3.00 home ERA. The full-game total has inflated to 10 because the ball has been carrying in Sacramento, but Reichel believes the two underrated left-handers will keep things quiet early. By isolating the first five, he avoids New York’s shaky late-inning crew and Oakland’s bottom-three bullpen, making the under 5.5 his preferred wager.

It's The Final Round mentioned Aaron Judge’s 2-for-6 (.333) history off JP Sears and his streak of hits in 15 of the last 17 games, recommending Judge in hit props or DFS lineups for Saturday’s Yankees-Athletics meeting.

Martin laid -148 with the Yankees, citing their +60 run differential and league-best OPS versus left-handed pitching as decisive edges over Oakland’s –25 mark. Carlos Rodon enters with a sub-3.00 ERA, three straight winning decisions, and 57 strikeouts; his last start was 6.2 shutout innings against San Diego. A’s lefty JP Sears owns a respectable ERA overall, but Martin reminded listeners the Bronx lineup torched him for six earned in five innings late last season. Add in a Yankees-heavy crowd inside the A’s temporary minor-league park and the visitors’ far better bullpen, and Martin believes the price is still cheap.

For the total, the tout went OVER. Both lineups rank inside the league’s top-10 in batting average, and New York actually leads MLB in home-run rate thanks to its patient, drawn-out at-bats. Oakland’s bats have been even better in daytime, home settings, helping the A’s crack the top-10 in bombs per game. With neither pen profiled in depth but both offenses heating up, Cash Out Sports Picks expects sustained scoring across nine innings.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed Oakland on the money line. Starter JP Sears has flashed consistent command, and the A’s offense is quietly 5th in MLB batting average and top-10 in home-run rate. New York, by contrast, sits bottom-5 in strikeouts per game and has struggled mightily with runners in scoring position. With Sears dealing and the Yankee lineup whiff-prone, the tout sees value on the home dog.

Eric MacPherson urged DFS players to consider Oakland as a contrarian stack against Yankees rookie Will Warren. In only 51.1 MLB innings Warren has allowed a .250 ISO to righties and .203 ISO to lefties while struggling with walks. His mid-90s fastball and developing secondaries project as mid-rotation traits, but for now the long ball is an issue. Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom, JJ Bleday, Shea Langeliers and Lawrence Butler all carry elite power, and the spacious but homer-friendly West Sacramento park neutralizes platoon worries. With most of the field flocking to the Yankees’ side of the game, MacPherson sees A’s bats drawing sub-5% ownership yet carrying a 4.9 implied total and 4% top-stack probability, ideal for GPP leverage.

Kenny G endorsed the full-game Over 10.5 in Yankees-Athletics. New York enters second in runs and first in OBP, a nightmare matchup for rookie right-hander Osvaldo (4.71 ERA, coming off a rough outing versus Miami). Sacramento’s bullpen has bled runs all year (4.54 ERA, bottom-half), and the club’s temporary ballpark continues to play hitter-friendly: the A’s are 11-7 to the over at home. Kenny added that Sacramento’s lineup is competent enough (15th in runs) to contribute, pointing out Brent Rooker’s thump and rookie Jacob Wilson’s .357 average. With the Yankees only a .500 road team and winds forecast out to left, he expects plenty of crooked numbers from both sides and is willing to attack the double-digit total.

Calling it one of his favorite plays on the card, Lonte Smith hammered Over 10 in Yankees–A’s. Oakland starter Osvaldo Bido rarely misses bats (sub-18% K-rate) and owns a 6.32 ERA at the Coliseum, while Yankee spot-starter Trevor Warren has lost three straight, seen his hard-hit rate spike, and is sitting on a 5.65 season ERA. Smith highlighted that the Yankees are batting .270 on the road and scoring five runs per nine, and he thinks the Padres series win gave the lineup a ‘breath of confidence.’ Oakland’s sticks have quietly woken up—.275 average and 10 hits per game over their last ten—and they face a New York bullpen that has logged back-to-back extra-inning games. With both offenses in hitter-friendly conditions and neither pitcher providing length, Smith said the Yanks could ‘threaten double-digits on their own’ and forecasted a 7-5 or 8-6 type final.

Kenny G said the Athletics are live at +124. He is unimpressed with Yankees call-up Will Warren, noting fringe-average stuff and shaky AAA command that produced a 4.80 ERA in Scranton. Oakland counters with an offense that has scored 5+ in three of its last five and features red-hot Jacob Wilson (.357/.476) plus Brent Rooker’s 150 wRC+. The Yankees have been merely 10-10 on the road, and their bullpen has logged heavy innings the past week. Sacramento’s 7-11 home record is ugly, but Kenny thinks the market is still pricing them like the 2024 doormat instead of this year’s 20-18 upstart. With a volatile rookie on the hill and plus money attached, he is happy to nibble the A’s moneyline.

Scott Reichel picked Lawrence Butler as his home-run dart in the Yankees–A’s nightcap. Butler just went deep on Wednesday and owns six bombs despite limited reps, slugging .450 against right-handers. Reichel is fading Yankee spot-starter Trevor Warren, whose 5.65 ERA includes three homers in only 19 innings and a .550 slugging percentage allowed to lefties. Warren’s splits are stark—46% hard-hit rate versus left-handed bats—and the game’s 10.5 total signals a favorable run environment even in Oakland’s spacious park. Butler’s 42% fly-ball rate plus Warren’s homer issues create what Reichel calls “+600 that should be closer to +425.” He recommended a sprinkle on Butler’s HR prop and slotting the rookie into DFS lineups as a cheap ceiling play.

For his final play, Donaldson put three units on the first-five over 5.5 runs in Oakland-New York. He argued the number could not be set high enough given both lineups’ current barrel rates and the mediocrity of the starting pitchers: rookie Will Warren for the Yankees and Oswaldo Badoadu for the A’s. Warren’s minor-league track record shows command issues, and Badoadu is surrendering premium contact (46% hard-hit rate). Donaldson expects each offense to tag the opposing starter early, projecting a minimum of six combined runs before either bullpen enters.

Bryan Power said the full-game over 10 runs is worth betting when the Yankees visit the Athletics in Sacramento’s temporary bandbox. Power pointed out that Oakland allows 6.0+ runs per game at home, third-worst in MLB, while the Yankees rank second in runs per game and have repeatedly shown an extreme "feast" ceiling in hitter-friendly environments. He added that both projected starters are liabilities: Will Warren owns a 5.49 ERA over his last five turns and Osvaldo Bido sits at 5.47, giving neither club a reliable path to suppress offense. With bad pitching, a short porch, and New York’s high-end lineup, Power expects a back-and-forth shootout that clears double digits.

Martin recommended laying –135 with the Yankees in Sacramento against Oakland. New York carries a +61 run differential, the top weighted-runs-created-plus lineup in MLB, and had Thursday off to rest before the series opener. Rookie right-hander Will Warren has piled up 34 strikeouts in 28 innings despite some recent homer trouble. Oakland counters with Valdo Bido, who has surrendered six homers and 13 earned runs over his last three starts (vs MIA, CHW, TEX) and owns a shaky 21:14 K:BB across 36 innings. Martin underscored that Bido isn’t missing bats—bad news versus the Bronx Bombers—and the A’s are just 7-11 in their temporary home park. He expects New York’s bats to do damage and cash the ticket.

Calling -135 "way too cheap," Noblin urged bettors to back the Yankees over the surprising A's. He rates Oakland starter Osvaldo Bido—sporting a 13.1% strikeout rate—as one of the worst arms in MLB and expects New York’s bats to pummel him. Even without Jazz Chisholm, the Yankees rank 3rd in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching and 5th over the last two weeks. Rookie Will Warren has been shaky, but Noblin still prefers him to Bido and trusts New York’s deeper bullpen to finish the job. He projected the true line around -165, making the current price a clear value play for Game 1 in Oakland.

Jay Croucher recommended taking the over 10.0 runs when the Yankees visit the Athletics. Both starters are vulnerable — Will Warren owns a 5.65 ERA and failed to complete five innings his last time out, while Osvaldo Bido sports a 4.71 ERA and lasted only five frames in Miami. Because neither goes deep, Croucher expects early exposure to average bullpens that will be traveling or coming off consecutive losses (in Oakland’s case). Yankees totals have leaned under overall (16-19-2 O/U), but Croucher believes the move to hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park plus a rested New York lineup ready to bounce back after an off day creates prime conditions for regression. With Jacob Wilson going 4-for-5 on Wednesday and Oakland scoring five or more in four of its last six, Croucher’s projection spits out 11+ combined runs, making the current 10.0 number a playable over.

Jay Croucher advised laying the -1.5 run line with the Yankees in Friday’s opener at Sacramento. He highlighted the pitching mismatch, pointing out that rookie Will Warren’s 8-strikeout outing against Tampa shows trending swing-and-miss stuff even though his season ERA sits at 5.65, while Osvaldo Bido brings a 4.71 ERA and has surrendered 4 earned runs in back-to-back starts. Croucher also trusts New York’s rested offense: Aaron Judge had reached base in 31 straight games before Wednesday and Ben Rice already owns four doubles in six May contests. Oakland is just 20-18 on the run line despite its solid record and has dropped two straight to Seattle. With the NBC model projecting a 2-plus-run victory, Croucher prefers the -1.5 price to the -142 moneyline.

Soni called Judge the slate’s safest power play, even at a short +160 price. The Yankees star is on a tear, slashing .400/.491/.750 with 12 home runs and 34 RBIs to start 2025. He’s barreling balls 14.5% of the time with a 95.6 mph average exit velocity, fueling a 1.241 OPS. Oakland starter Osvaldo Bido (4.71 ERA) has yielded seven homers in seven outings, including a four-bomb meltdown against Texas. Soni expects Judge to capitalize on Bido’s homer issues and extend his MVP-caliber streak.

Peterson snagged the Athletics at +127 (made them +113) and Over 10 (projected 10.7). He’s fading Yankees rookie Will Warren, who sports a 5.65 ERA with 1.3 HR and 4.7 BB per nine. Opposite him, Osvaldo Bido’s 4.71 ERA pairs with an ugly 5.76 FIP and 1.7 HR/9. Oakland’s home ERA (5.33) is second-worst in MLB, but the spacious Coliseum has played surprisingly hitter-friendly this season because of weather factors. With both starters struggling to find the zone and two taxed bullpens, Peterson sees plus-money value on the home dog and expects runs in bunches.