Eric Lindquist said the +220 money-line tag on Cleveland is simply too big even with Max Fried dealing for New York. He acknowledged Fried’s stellar form but argued that the gap is nowhere near two-to-one when you account for (1) rookie Slade Cecconi’s passable strike-throwing, (2) a Guardians bullpen that owns the AL’s second-best ERA and will cover plenty of innings, and (3) inevitable Yankee public money inflating the price. Lindquist believes the Guardians can shorten the game to six innings, lean on Emmanuel Clase and company late, and cash a fat ML ticket that should settle closer to +180 by first pitch.

It's The Final Round mentioned Aaron Judge’s 2-for-5 (.400) line against Luis Ortiz plus a 7-for-10 recent hit stretch. That blend of history and form keeps his total-bases and home-run props in play despite potential walk risk.

It's The Final Round likes Steven Kwan for at least one hit Wednesday. Kwan owns a 6-for-12 (.500) career line off Clarke Schmidt and has produced a knock in 8 of his last 11 contests. The tout said that profile is enough to justify a standard 1-hit or hits+runs+RBIs ticket if books post fair odds.

Malcolm Bamford doubled down on the Yankees’ run line, zeroing in on Ortiz’s brutal road line—6.39 ERA and a 27/17 K-BB ratio away from Progressive Field. Ortiz is just 2-6 against the run line as an underdog. Schmidt owns a tidy 3.18 ERA at Yankee Stadium and posted a 3.14 mark in May, giving New York a decisive mound edge. Bamford acknowledged both pitchers trend over the total but trusts the Yankees’ offense and bullpen depth to clear the -1.5 spread.

Lonte Smith laid the -1.5 on New York. Clarke Schmidt has rattled off four straight quality starts after being torched by Cleveland in April, allowing three or fewer runs in six consecutive outings and two or fewer in four straight in the Bronx. Guardians starter Luis L. Ortiz owns a 6.39 ERA in six road appearances and is 0-3 over his last four despite limiting damage, underscoring Cleveland’s sputtering offense. With the Yankees swinging it well at home, Smith expects Schmidt’s revenge narrative to cash the run-line comfortably.

B Wade targeted Paul Goldschmidt over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Goldy is 7-for-10 lifetime against Luis Ortiz and tallied a three-hit, two-RBI game the last time Ortiz faced the Yankees (4/23). Although Goldschmidt has failed to clear this line in three straight games, Wade noted it’s the first such stretch since the season’s opening week and he has not gone four straight without cashing all year. With a 59 % season-long hit rate on this prop and a dream matchup, Wade expects a bounce-back night.

Bettor Mark said he "doesn’t like the Guardians going against Clark Schmidt" and therefore leans Yankees −1.5 as well as the game total over 8 runs. Schmidt has quietly posted a 28% strikeout rate and a sub-3.40 xERA at Yankee Stadium, numbers Mark thinks will stifle Cleveland’s left-heavy lineup that ranks bottom-six in hard-hit rate. On the flip side, he expects New York’s bats to carry the scoring load against rookie right-hander Xzavion Curry and a Cleveland bullpen that was forced to cover five innings on Tuesday. The combination of Schmidt’s home splits, a fatigued Guardians staff, and warm June weather in the Bronx led Mark to recommend a half-unit run-line position and a smaller sprinkle on the over for bettors looking to expand their Wednesday card.

Sean Zerillo doubled down on his earlier Yankees money-line recommendation, stressing how Carlos Rodon’s new sinker justifies laying a bigger price. New York’s staff added the pitch this spring and Rodon is using it 23% of the time to left-handed hitters (4% to righties). The sinker grades out at 104 Stuff+ and has pushed Rodon’s ground-ball rate up eight percentage points, helping drop his expected ERA back under 3.00 while keeping his HR/9 below 1. On the other side, Tanner Bibee’s four-seam Stuff+ has fallen from 92 to 86, and the pitch is getting torched for a .325 xBA, .580 xSLG and 1.7 homers per nine. New York owns MLB’s No. 1 offense by wRC+, ranks first in ISO and second in slugging, whereas Cleveland sits 19th and 22nd in those categories. Zerillo’s model makes the game Yankees ‑220; he is comfortable betting anything up to ‑200 or using the Bronx Bombers in parlays to about ‑210 even with Luke Weaver’s IL stint slightly thinning the bullpen.

Zerillo’s best bet for Tuesday is Yankees ‑185 over the Guardians. He is comfortable with the rare big-price lay because Cleveland starter Tanner Bibee has been tagged in two of his last three outings, posting an 8.31 ERA in those rough starts and seeing his hard-hit rate jump above 42%. New York’s lineup, meanwhile, owns the league’s No. 2 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching in the past month. Zerillo’s model makes the Yankees closer to ‑215, giving bettors roughly a 30-cent edge at current market numbers.

Donnie Rightside circled Trent Grisham as a plus-money RBI target against Tanner Bibee, arguing that the Guardians’ right-hander still struggles versus lefties despite otherwise solid numbers. Bibee’s season-long split shows a .239 ISO and .333 wOBA allowed across 127 left-handed batters, and Rightside noted that the 30-day improvement (0.193 ISO / .309 wOBA) has come against soft competition. With 71-degree temps in the Bronx and a light breeze carrying toward left, any pulled contact from Yankee southpaws gets a small atmospheric boost. Donnie expects Grisham to crack the lineup with Juan Soto banged up and pointed out that both Grisham and fellow lefty bench bat Cody Bellinger have mashed right-handed pitching over the last month. Because Bibee rarely walks hitters (5 percent rate), runners should be on via contact, setting up RBI chances for the lefties. Rightside still likes New York on the –200 moneyline, but his actionable angle is sprinkling Grisham (and a smaller share on Bellinger) to record an RBI at attractive prices.

Mills Young played Aaron Judge over 0.5 combined hits, RBI or runs and tossed a small wager on a homer. Judge owns a 1.129 OPS over the last two weeks and faces a Guardians staff allowing the sixth-highest barrel rate. Any single contribution cashes the primary prop, but Young sees real upside for a souvenir ball.

Dana Lane advised taking the New York Yankees on the run line (-1.5, +110) against the Cleveland Guardians for June 3. Lane anchored his case around ace Carlos Rodon, who sports a 7-3 record, 2.60 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, plus zero earned runs allowed in his last two starts. At Yankee Stadium, opponents are hitting just .144 with a .254 slugging percentage off Rodon—numbers Lane said are 65 percent better than his road marks. The Yankees have won four straight at home, seven of their last eight overall, and are 130-90 (59 %) in the Bronx across the last two seasons. On the other side, Cleveland sends Tanner Bybee (4-5, 3.86 ERA) whose road ERA balloons to 5.13, while the Guardians offense ranks 26th in hits, making it unlikely they can match New York’s firepower. Despite 94 percent of the money pushing the Yankee money-line from -185 to -199, Lane prefers the plus-money run-line given the pitching edge, recent home dominance, and what he called a "fired-up" lineup eager to bounce back from the Dodgers series.

Beermakersfan urged players to pay all the way up for Carlos Rodon, citing 18 strikeouts and 31+ DraftKings points in his last two starts. Rodon has hit 31 DK points in four starts this season and now faces a Cleveland lineup striking out 25 % of the time versus lefties — bottom-10 in MLB. Five projected Guardians bats carry 30 %+ K rates against southpaws, giving Beer confidence in double-digit strikeout potential. With salary saved on cheap bats, he views Rodon as the slate’s clear SP1 on both major sites.

Guy Boston laid out a case for Yankees -0.5 in the first five innings at roughly -130. Carlos Rodon blanked Cleveland for seven scoreless with eight Ks earlier this season and owns a 29% K-rate against their current roster. Conversely, he respects Tanner Bibee but expects New York’s right-heavy order (Judge, Stanton, Torres, Volpe) to scratch out two or three early. Cleveland has flashed recent 7-run outputs, yet Boston highlights the volatility—this same offense has posted one or two runs in four of its last seven. He projects a 3-1 or 4-1 Yankee edge by the middle innings, making the F5 run-line the cleanest way to attack without worrying about bullpens.

Razzle said Carlos Rodon belongs in any serious DraftKings mix tonight. He pointed to Rodon’s 6.5 strikeout prop juiced to the over, his 144 batting-average-against at Yankee Stadium, and the fact that he fanned double-digit Guardians in two of his last four outings, including a dominant start versus the very same Cleveland lineup he faces again. While Rodon can surrender the occasional long ball, the tout stressed that Cleveland’s contact-heavy approach limits that downside. With premium strikeout upside, a plus matchup, and no weather concerns, Razzle considers Rodon worth paying up for in both cash games and GPPs.

JD Bets refused to lay -200 on the full-game moneyline but still wants Yankees exposure, so he took their first-five runline. New York owns the better offense (top-tier in slugging and OBP) and sends Carlos Rodon, who has averaged just 1.1 earned runs over his last five outings (four of them scoreless or one-run efforts) into a matchup with a Guardians lineup sitting in the middle of the pack. Cleveland counters with Tanner Bibee, carrying a 2.2 ERA over his last five but benefiting from soft opponents. JD highlighted that Bibee’s walk prop is always 2.5 because the Yankees, led by the heavily walked Aaron Judge, force pitchers into deep counts. By isolating the first five, JD avoids New York’s shaky middle relief and leans on the Rodon vs Bibee edge at a more palatable price (Yanks F5 runline -0.5).

Bettor Mark is using the Yankees money-line as one leg of a plus-money parlay, noting that Carlos Rodon is in "absolutely impressive" form at 7-3 and coming off several quality starts. He expects New York’s offense to get to Tanner Bibee the same way it did in last year’s ALDS, highlighting Bibee’s struggles when seeing the Yankees’ lineup a second time through the order. With Rodon’s fastball command back and Yankee bats hot, Mark prefers the Bronx Bombers straight up rather than laying a run line and calls them a reliable anchor piece for parlays on the Tuesday card.

Kenny G leaned “pretty aggressively” toward the Yankees despite the –180 tag. He cited Carlos Rodon’s dominant 2.60 ERA, including two 10-K, 0-BB gems in his last five starts and a previous seven-inning, 8-strikeout shut-down of Cleveland on 4/23. Tanner Bibee has been solid but inconsistent (3.86 ERA) and was roughed up by the Dodgers in his last outing. Kenny also pointed out the Guardians’ offensive limitations—21st in runs, 22nd in SLG—versus a Yankees lineup sitting third in runs, third in average, second in slugging thanks to Aaron Judge’s video-game line (.400/21/50). New York is 18-9 at home, while Cleveland is merely .500 on the road. Even with the Bronx bullpen wobbling (3.70 ERA) and the price bordering on prohibitive, Kenny feels Rodon plus the league’s scariest offense makes the Yankees worth the money-line lay.

Joe Pisapia urged fantasy managers to grab Ryan Yarbrough immediately while he is still available in nearly 70 % of CBS leagues (31 % rostered). Pisapia highlighted Yarbrough’s latest outing—six innings of one-run, four-hit ball against the powerful Dodgers lineup—as proof the southpaw’s ‘bulk reliever’ blueprint works in any matchup. Yarbrough has now logged quality starts in three of his last four turns and owns a 1.98 ERA over that span. Because he often follows an opener, he is in prime position for cheap wins without facing opposing lineups three times. Pisapia contrasted that with fantasy teams stubbornly starting struggling aces like Sandy Alcantara and argued Yarbrough’s efficiency and soft-contact profile (career 31 % hard-hit rate) make him a safer ratios play right now. His bottom line: add Yarbrough in all 12-team and deeper formats before the field catches on.

Romanelli laid the run-line with the Yankees because he trusts their lineup and late-inning bullpen edge over Cleveland and is not sold on Tanner Bibee’s consistency. Bibee was excellent against Detroit but was tagged by the Dodgers for multiple runs and by the Reds for 10 hits and two homers in recent outings. Carlos Rodon already showed he can handle the Guardians’ bats, and Romanelli expects another low-scoring affair where New York’s deeper order and stronger bullpen tilt the scales. He also leaned to the under but made Yankees ‑1.5 the primary play.

The tout highlighted Aaron Judge as a prop target (hits, total bases, HR ladder once odds drop) against Tanner Bibee. Bibee has surrendered a .258 average to right-handed bats for the season and has trended worse lately (.281 over his last three outings). Judge, meanwhile, owns a .375 average in his last 28 plate appearances versus righties and has logged a hit in 10 of 13 games. With Judge’s rolling hard-hit rate north of 55 % and the short porch in Yankee Stadium, the analyst expects Bibee’s four-seam/slider combo to get punished and will post specific markets in the pinned comment once books release numbers—suggesting anything at or around +140 for TB 2+ or HR 1+ is worth firing.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the juice with the Yankees. Carlos Rodon has been brilliant in the Bronx: 3-2, 2.60 ERA, .144 BAA over 34.2 home innings. Tanner Bibee, by contrast, owns a 5.13 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the road. Offensively, New York carries an .806 OPS with runners on (3rd in MLB) and ranks 2nd in homers at Yankee Stadium, while Cleveland sits 24th in OPS in those situations and managed just a .216 average in their last series versus New York. With the Yankees winning 7 of the past 10 head-to-heads, Rodon’s edge and the park’s homer-friendly layout pushed the tout to the pinstripes’ money line.