Guy Boston leaned toward multiple ways to attack Kyle Hendricks and Randy Vasquez, ultimately highlighting the Padres first-five run line and full-game team total over 4.5. Hendricks is throwing change-ups 32 % of the time, yet San Diego owns a .302 AVG and .522 SLG against that pitch type in 2025. Vasquez’s early-season shine has faded—his xERA has ballooned to 4.87 over his last four starts—so Boston expects a see-saw game that forces the Padres to keep the foot on the gas. With LA’s bullpen sporting a 1.62 HR/9, he prefers betting on San Diego’s offense rather than sweating the full-game side.

Steve Merrill recommended attacking the total in Angels-Padres, favoring Over 8.5 (or Padres team total Over 4.5). He noted the Padres enter on a 5-0 over run while the Angels have gone over in seven of their last nine, including three straight. The key culprit is the Angels’ bullpen, which sports a 7.00 ERA and 1.80 WHIP on the road—arguably the worst relief unit in MLB. Starting pitching is unlikely to bail them out: Kyle Hendricks has a 5.30 ERA this season after a 5.90 mark last year, with just 21 K versus 15 BB in 35 IP and diminished velocity; San Diego tagged him for 7 ER on 9 hits over 5 innings in their lone 2024 meeting. Padres starter Randy Vasquez has been merely average, and the Angels have never faced him, but Merrill still views him as hittable. Despite San Diego recording only six and five hits in two of the last three games, they plated 6 and 4 runs, showing scoring efficiency. Some sharper books have already moved the total to 9, so Merrill sees value at 8.5 and prefers isolating the Padres’ offense over 4.5 runs if bettors want to avoid relying on Los Angeles.

Osborne targeted Jake Cronenworth for over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at even money, arguing the Padres’ first baseman is perfectly positioned to cash multiple counting stats against Kyle Hendricks and the league’s worst road bullpen (7.02 ERA). Cronenworth owns a .973 lifetime OPS in 13 at-bats versus Hendricks and carries a .935 OPS against right-handed pitching this season. He is seeing the ball well lately, posting an .872 OPS over the past week, and should hit in the heart of a San Diego lineup that is scorching righties. Osborne highlighted that any early exit by Hendricks only helps, as Los Angeles relievers have surrendered the highest hard-hit rate in MLB away from home. Given the matchup, recent form, and historical success, Osborne believes Cronenworth needs only one multi-base knock or a couple of trips on base to clear the 1.5 line and likes pairing the prop with his Hendricks fades for correlated upside.

Joe Osborne doubled-down on fading Kyle Hendricks by playing over 1.5 walks in Wednesday’s start at Petco. Osborne reminded viewers that Hendricks’ 5.30 ERA is being propped up by shaky command: the veteran has issued at least two free passes in five of his last six outings, including three different starts with three-plus walks. San Diego is a nightmare matchup for a pitcher struggling with location—Padres right-handed batters are drawing walks at the third-highest clip in MLB over the past two weeks and rank second in overall OPS against righties during that span. Osborne expects Juan Soto and Fernando Tatis Jr. to extend counts, inflating Hendricks’ pitch total and forcing manager Ron Washington to pull him early, which makes the 1.5 line too low. He noted that bettors can correlate this wager with his previously stated under 15.5 outs play or even build a plus-245 parlay, but he is comfortable firing on the walk prop as a standalone fade.

Osborne played Kyle Hendricks under 15.5 outs in Anaheim’s matchup with the Padres. Hendricks sports a 5.30 ERA and has been tagged for 12 earned runs across his last two road starts. The right-hander’s most recent trip to Petco came early last season, when the Padres hung seven earned on him. He has stayed under 16 outs in five of seven 2024 appearances, and the assignment is no easier against a San Diego offense that sits second in OPS versus right-handed pitching over the past two weeks. Osborne does not expect Hendricks to survive five full frames.

The tout took the Padres money line, stressing pitching and split edges. Randy Vasquez has strung together two strong starts, including at Coors Field, while Kyle Hendricks has allowed at least three earned in four of his last five and was torched for seven runs by San Diego last year. In May the Padres own a 141 wRC+ versus righties, compared to the Angels’ 97. Cash Out Sports Picks believes San Diego’s lineup and gradually improving bullpen give them a clear advantage.

Bettor Mark said Manny Machado’s hits-plus-runs-plus-RBIs prop is still mis-priced and made Over 2.5 (+125) his second best bet of the slate. Machado has cleared that 2.5 line in nine of his past ten games while slashing .405/.468/.667 over that stretch. Mark expects another crooked-number night because the matchup comes against a thin Angels pitching staff that is forced to open with Jose Suarez before turning things over to a bullpen sitting 27th in WHIP. With Petco Park temperatures projected in the mid-70s and a total hovering near 9 runs, Mark prefers chasing the plus money on 2.5 but noted that the safer Over 1.5 at –160 is viable for unit-sizing purposes. He added that bettors uncomfortable with combo props could instead attack Machado’s run scored line (Over 0.5 at –110) in what he expects to be a high-scoring contest.

Lindquist called the Angels-Padres total of 8.5 (–120 at Caesars) a broken number. Starters Kyle Hendricks (14.2 % K-rate, 10 % BB-rate) and Randy Vasquez (10.4 % K, 14.5 % BB) both lack strikeouts and hand out free passes, creating constant traffic. He noted each pitcher’s ERA is propped up by strand rate luck and that both bullpens were just used heavily in the ongoing series, citing Robert Suarez’s shock meltdown as evidence the Padres’ relief corps is not bullet-proof. Lindquist stressed grabbing the hook under nine runs is "worth its weight in gold" and would only accept even money once the line inevitably climbs to 9.

Kyle Purviance said the first number he grabbed for Wednesday’s Angels-Padres clash was the over 8.5 runs (-122 and likely to hit 9 by first pitch). He called both starters 'two bad pitchers'—Randy Vasquez owns a 5.92 ERA with a 15 % K-rate while Kyle Hendricks has already surrendered 10 homers in 34 innings with a 1.59 WHIP. Purviance added that each bullpen sits bottom-5 in xFIP, so ‘even if the starters survive, the relievers will pour gas on it.’ San Diego’s top-10 offense should supply most of the damage, but Purviance expects Los Angeles to tag Vasquez for at least four because the right-hander’s four-seam has been hit at a .404 xwOBA. He plans to sprinkle Jackson Merrill RBI props as a correlate and urged bettors to lock in 8.5 before the number disappears.

Just A Bet Outside backed OVER 8.5 runs (–120) in Padres-Angels, adding he would still play it at 9 because "these starters are hot, smelly garbage." Kyle Hendricks, now 35, sits in the 1st percentile for fastball velocity, 2nd for whiff rate and 5th for K-rate; he’s allowed 3+ earned in four of his last five starts despite facing mostly mediocre lineups. Randy Vasquez somehow grades WORSE: 9th-percentile xERA, 18th-percentile xBA, 2nd-percentile whiff rate, 1st-percentile K-rate and 5th-percentile walk rate, issuing 11 free passes over his last five outings. Even against the Rockies, Pirates and Rays he was tagged for 17 hits and six earned in 15.2 innings. The tout projects the duo to reach seven or eight runs before we ever see a bullpen. San Diego’s lineup is finally whole with Jackson Merrill, Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. humming, while the Angels have gotten a lift from Zach Neto and a suddenly competent middle of the order. Padres’ relief corps is top-10 but over-exposed, and the Angels’ pen is bottom-five regardless of rest. After back-to-back games of 14 and 10 runs in the series, he expects another shootout and risked a half unit before books inevitably bump the total.

It's The Final Round expects Manny Machado to keep his bat hot versus Kyle Hendricks. Machado is 4-for-8 lifetime (.500) against the veteran righty and carries a 12-game hitting streak into the matchup. Hendricks’ declining velocity and heavy sinker/change profile have been punished by right-handed power hitters all season—a trend the tout leans on even though he did not cite exact pitch data here. With Machado barreling everything (cash-ing a Betts/Machado parlay for him just yesterday), he likes Manny over 1.5 total bases or to record a hit as a conservative leg in parlays.

Dylan Rockford also laid the run line with San Diego, locking in +114. Hendricks has a 7.00 road ERA and the Angels have dropped his last three away starts by multiple runs. Rockford highlighted the Padres’ .275 average versus right-handers, Randy Vasquez’s back-to-back quality outings, and an Angels bullpen that ranks 29th in ERA. He projected a 6-3 type victory and saw value in any Padres price north of even money on –1.5.

Malcolm Bamford went back to the well with San Diego –1.5 after the bullpen’s ninth-inning meltdown cost them Monday. Randy Vasquez owns a 2.30 Petco Park ERA and the Padres are 23-15 on the run line as favorites. Bamford expects the lineup to take out its frustration on Kyle Hendricks, whose 5.30 ERA masks a brutal 7.00 mark on the road. With Los Angeles already securing its one upset win in the series, he forecasted a multi-run Padres bounce-back.

Welsh is backing Jose Soriano to record at least four strikeouts (over 3.5 at –110) even though the Padres strike out less than any team in baseball. Soriano has topped that mark in all but two of his starts this season and just fanned six Diamondbacks—another low-K lineup—thanks to a power sinker/curveball mix that hitters chase 34% of the time. Because the number is so modest, Welsh views it as "a battle I’m willing to fight," trusting Soriano’s 24% K-rate more than San Diego’s contact skills.

Lonte Smith bet the full-game over 7.5 in Angels-Padres. He respects Dylan Cease’s raw stuff but pointed out Cease has failed to complete five innings in three of his last five and is giving up more hits than usual. On the other side, Jose Soriano owns a 2.42 road ERA yet the Angels have lost—and failed to cover the run line—in all five of his recent starts, a sign that regression looms because opponents have left too many ducks on the pond. Smith thinks San Diego’s lineup, fresh off a weekend beat-down of the Rockies, can cash those base-runners, while the Angels should scratch a couple against Cease’s elevated contact rate. Add in Petco’s mild weather and two middle-tier bullpens, and Smith projects nine or ten total runs.

Malcolm Bamford laid the -1.5 run line with San Diego. He highlighted Dylan Cease’s floor—two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts—and the Padres’ dominant splits at Petco (14-4 at home, 23-14 ATS as favorites). Even though Jose Soriano sports a slick 2.42 road ERA, Los Angeles has still lost every one of his recent outings on the run line, illustrating how little margin the Angels’ offense gives him. Bamford added that the Halos have dropped Soriano’s last five starts by multiple runs and remain a bottom-five club in OPS versus right-handed pitching. With San Diego’s bats firing and a bullpen advantage, he projected a comfortable 5-2 or 6-3 final.

Lindquist recommended building a Dylan Cease strikeout ladder against the Angels. Cease is already fanning 27% of hitters, but Lindquist expects an even higher clip Wednesday because the Angels’ lineup is almost entirely right-handed. Outside of switch-hitters like Luis Rengifo and Yoan Moncada and lone lefty Nolan Schanuel, the Halos run nine righties who have collectively struck out at a top-10 rate versus right-handed pitching. Cease’s whiff rate on his slider remains elite, and Lindquist believes alternate lines (8+, 9+, 10+ Ks) are all in play given the matchup.

Kenny G said he is fine eating the –200 on San Diego because every matchup box tilts their way. Dylan Cease just blanked the Yankees for 6.2 innings (nine strikeouts, one hit) and, while his season ERA still sits at 4.91, Kenny noted the underlying stuff+ metrics point to clear positive regression. The Padres bullpen owns a sub-3.00 ERA (fourth in MLB) and the club is 14-4 at Petco Park. Offensively they are first in batting average and seventh in OBP but only 14th in runs, a gap Kenny expects to close against an Angels staff that invites damage. Los Angeles drags the league’s second-worst bullpen (6.90 ERA), a starter in Jose Soriano who just walked four and yielded eight hits to Toronto, and an offense that is 25th in runs and 29th in average. Kenny called the moneyline his preferred play but said the –1.5 run line is acceptable for bettors seeking plus money.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is a flawless 3-for-3 off Jose Soriano and has hits in seven of his last 10 outings. The tout suggests riding that spotless BvP record in hit and total-base props while the sample is still perfect.

It's The Final Round said Manny Machado is a bet-on bat Tuesday against Angels right-hander Jose Soriano. Soriano leans on a sinker 51 % of the time and is getting tattooed on the pitch (.362 BA, 17 hits, 1 HR in 47 opponent ABs). Machado is slugging that very sinker at a .368 clip this season (7-for-19). Soriano’s secondary pitches are not safe either—his knuckle-curve comes in 27 % of the time (.231 BA allowed) yet Machado owns it at .375 (3-for-8), and the slider (18 %) is yielding .235 while Machado sits at .375 there as well (9-for-24). Machado rides an 11-game hit streak and sits in the launch-angle “sweet spot” 41.2 % of the time (28th of 265 qualified hitters). Lifetime he is 1-for-3 off Soriano with that one knock leaving the yard. With every pitch in Machado’s wheelhouse and his current form, the tout expects him to cash hit or total-base props with room to spare.

They also played the UNDER, highlighting multiple trends: Padres-vs-AL games 12-6 to the under; Padres home favorites 8-4-1 to the under; Angels road OPS languishing with a .213 average. Cease has stymied this roster (35.4% whiff rate) and rarely allows homers, while Soriano’s 62.8% ground-ball clip suppresses splash plays. As long as Soriano survives five-plus frames, the tout expects the contest to finish beneath seven runs.

Just A Bet Outside pegged Dylan Cease as another strikeout bet because the Angels have the single-highest strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching over the past three weeks (27.7%). Cease has 48 Ks in 40.1 innings and is coming off a 9-strikeout, one-hit gem versus the Yankees. He sports a 28.6% K-rate at Petco compared to 25.3% on the road, and the host noted Cease’s volatility—he fanned only three Pirates two turns ago—but expects the whiff-happy Angels to bring out Cease’s ceiling. The recommendation was to attack the over on his strikeout prop and consider him a high-upside, high-variance DFS tournament play.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Padres money-line behind Dylan Cease. Cease owns a 34.8% K-rate and .172 opponent average versus current Angels hitters. San Diego’s lineup is top tier, while the injury-riddled Angels, missing Mike Trout, are slashing just .213 on the road with 3.4 runs per game. The tout expects Cease to dominate and Jose Soriano’s ground-ball style to eventually crack under steady pressure, leading to a comfortable San Diego victory.

Scott Reichel played Elias Diaz OVER 0.5 singles at +115. Diaz has recorded at least one single in seven of his last eight games and is batting .286 against left-handed pitching this season. He is 2-for-7 lifetime off Yusei Kikuchi, giving him some familiarity with tonight’s opposing starter. Reichel likes the plus-money price on a hitter who has been producing whenever he is in the San Diego lineup.

Guy Boston suggested pairing the Angels fade with a Padres team total over 3.5 runs. Southpaw Yusei Kikuchi has been sharp at home but owns a 4.71 ERA on the road and is allowing a .352 wOBA to right-handed hitters—bad news against San Diego’s righty core of Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts, all of whom crush sliders (Kikuchi’s No. 2 pitch). Boston acknowledged a stiff cross-wind at Petco but believes the discipline and hard-hit profile of San Diego’s middle order will overcome the conditions. His projection called for 4.4 runs; at –110 or better he is in.

Guy Boston advised taking the Angels team total under 2.5 runs at +105 (or under 1.5 in the first five at –150) against Michael King. King mixes four pitches at 25 % apiece, and the Angels grade poorly against three of them—fastball, slider and change—ranking bottom-10 in wOBA for each. In 33 previous plate appearances, current Angels own a .067 average and 33 % strikeout rate versus King. Boston’s model makes the F5 under 1.5 –168, so he sees meaningful edge even at the juiced price, and added that Petco Park will have a 12-mph left-to-right wind suppressing offense.

JD Bets singled out Manny Machado as his favorite bet in the Angels-Padres matchup, recommending either Machado to hit a home run or the standard Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs market (whichever your book posts). He pointed out that Machado is on a 10-for-10 streak cashing his HRR prop and owns eye-popping splits against left-handed pitching this season: a .326 average and north of a 1.000 OPS. The matchup is even sweeter because Yusei Kikuchi—mispronounced as "Kacucci" in the clip—takes the ball for Los Angeles. Machado has already taken Kikuchi deep twice in just eight career at-bats (2 HR, 8 AB, .500 AVG). San Diego’s lineup as a whole is slashing .364 against southpaws, giving Machado plenty of protection, and JD noted the "embarrassment factor" after the Padres dropped a series to Colorado as extra motivation. With a clear batting edge, home-field edge and a slight pitching edge via Michael King on the San Diego side, JD sees Machado’s power numbers trending up and called the HR/HRR prop a far better value than laying –215 on the Padres moneyline.

Razzle said Michael King is a slam-dunk SP1 tonight. King owns the slate-high 6.5 K-prop and faces an Angels lineup striking out at the second-highest clip in baseball. San Diego is a –230 money-line favorite, giving King +110 win odds that tie for best on the board. Projected ownership is already 48 % on DFSArmy, but Razzle is willing to eat the chalk because the matchup combines elite strikeout upside with strong win equity and a low 7-run total. In short, he advised "just play Michael King" in both cash games and GPPs.

Adam Rosenberg backed Manny Machado to go OVER 1.5 total bases at +110 and sprinkled a home-run prop against left-hander Yusei Kikuchi. Over Machado’s last 30 plate appearances versus southpaws he owns a .308 average, .425 wOBA and a 70 % hard-hit rate. In nine career plate appearances against Kikuchi he has eight total bases and two extra-base hits. Kikuchi’s long-standing struggles with right-handed power bats make Machado a prime target, and Rosenberg hinted at laddering Machado’s bases if bettors want more exposure.

Adam Rosenberg said to bet Michael King’s strike-out OVER, recommending 7.0 on PrizePicks or 8+ Ks at +125 in the regular market. Rosenberg expects double-digit punch-outs because King has cleared eight strike-outs in seven of his last ten home starts and in three of four outings this season. The Angels provide the perfect foil: five projected starters own strike-out rates above 30 % versus right-handed pitching in 2025, and two hitters carry called-strike-plus-whiff rates north of 40 %. With King priced –205 to record at least 18 outs, Rosenberg projects six full innings, giving the Padres right-hander ample opportunity to rack up Ks against Los Angeles’ free-swinging lineup.

Guy Boston is backing Manny Machado over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at ‑130 on BetMGM. Machado is on an 11-game heater, clearing the line every time while averaging 3.5 H/R/RBI. He’s hit in 13 of his last 20 (2.35 average) and 27 of 39 on the season (69% over, 2.44). The third baseman owns a .324 average and his wRC+ jumps from 145.7 to 184.3 when facing southpaws. Tonight he draws lefty Yusei Kikuchi, against whom he’s posted a .250 average with two homers in nine career plate appearances. Kikuchi’s splits worsen versus right-handed bats—elevated ERA, batting average, HR/9, and wOBA—further tilting the matchup Machado’s way. With the hot streak, positive platoon bump, and vulnerable pitcher, Boston considers this prop mis-priced.

Mark Zinno laid the half-run with San Diego in the first five innings, arguing Michael King’s combination of form and run support should put the Padres in front early. King is receiving roughly five runs of support per start, the best mark on the staff, and faces a lefty he called a "rock-and-roll fade" on the road. Yusei Kikuchi owns a 5.19 road ERA with opponents batting .270 and has surrendered 15 earned in 26 road frames. Zinno added that San Diego ranks top-10 at Petco in average, OPS, and wRC+ versus southpaws and is 14-4 at home, while the Angels are 7-13 away. He expects one or two early Padres runs to be enough for King to cash the −0.5 first-five run line.

For the total, the tout went under. San Diego owns only an 82 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in May, while the Angels muster a modest 97 wRC+ against right-handers and are missing their best bat in Trout. Michael King’s form (2.22 ERA) plus the Padres’ elite bullpen gives Los Angeles little room for error, and Yusei Kikuchi’s solid season suggests he can keep San Diego from a big inning. The Angels’ offense is near the bottom of the league in every major category (26th OPS, last in K-rate, 29th batting average, last OBP). With two capable starters and one bullpen (Padres) that can slam the door, the tout projected a low-scoring contest that stays beneath the posted total.

Kenny G was willing to swallow the hefty –220 moneyline on San Diego, citing a perfect storm of edges. Michael King is 4-1 with a 2.22 ERA and just threw a gem against the Yankees, whereas Yusei Kikuchi enters 0-4 and now has to trust the league’s second-worst bullpen (6.94 ERA) once he exits. The Padres bullpen, even after a rare blow-up in Colorado, still ranks fourth with a 2.94 ERA, and San Diego owns a dominant 14-4 record at Petco. Offensively, the Friars lead MLB in batting average and sit seventh in OBP, while the Angels remain bottom-six in both runs and average. Kenny acknowledged Kikuchi’s ceiling but concluded that King plus a top-five pen facing the Angels’ relief disaster makes the chalk justifiable, especially in a bounce-back spot after San Diego’s embarrassing 9-3 loss to the Rockies.

Echoing Reichel’s side, Lonte Smith zeroed in on San Diego’s team-total Over 4.5 runs. He expects the Padres’ stacked right-handed core to feast on Kikuchi, who owns an 0-4 record because he rarely misses bats (17% K-rate) and has coughed up a .348 wOBA to righties. Smith added that the Angels pen is hemorrhaging late leads with a 5.76 ERA and is flying cross-country after a rough homestand. Coming off a frustrating loss in Colorado, he sees San Diego “taking out their anger” with a seven- or eight-run eruption that should clear the TT with room to spare.

Scott Reichel fired on Padres –1.5 at +105, calling it an automatic fade of the hapless Angels. Mike King rolls in at 4-1 with a 2.22 ERA and has held opponents to a .191 average; Reichel expects him to cash in during free agency but, more importantly, to dominate an Anaheim lineup that ranks bottom-five in wRC+. Opposite him is journeyman Yusei "Cucci" Kikuchi (0-4, 3.83 ERA) whom most teams no longer trust to turn a lineup over twice. San Diego is 14-4 at Petco, owns a +60 run differential at home, and is “pissed off” after blowing Sunday’s sweep of Colorado. With the Angels losing seven of nine and sporting the league’s worst road bullpen strand rate, Reichel projected a comfortable 5-2 or 6-3 final that cashes the run line.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended Padres ‑1.5 against the Angels. Michael King has allowed two runs or fewer in five straight starts and carries a 2.22 ERA into the matchup, while the Padres’ bullpen ranks third in MLB with a 2.83 ERA despite a brief May wobble. San Diego’s lineup is getting healthier with Jake Cronenworth and Jackson Merrill back and just erupted for 21 runs versus Colorado. The Angels, without Mike Trout, rank 29th in batting average, 29th in strikeouts per game, and dead last in OBP. Their bullpen has been a disaster, frequently coughing up leads. Given the pronounced pitching gap, a surging Padres offense, and an L.A. relief corps in shambles, the tout expects San Diego to win comfortably and cover the run line.

Just A Bet Outside advised a half-unit same-game parlay built around Michael King and the Padres. The ticket needs King to record 6-plus strikeouts and San Diego to win, priced at –120 on DraftKings (Padres were –225 straight up with an over/under of just 7). The host likes King to clear the K ladder because he has punched out at least six hitters in four of his last five outings, topping seven in three of those and even reaching 13 against Cleveland. King’s strikeout rate skyrockets at Petco Park (34.9% home vs 15.3% road) and he shows no platoon weakness, fanning 28.4% of lefties and 25% of righties. He now draws an Angels lineup that owns MLB’s second-highest strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching over the past three weeks (27.5%). Pairing that matchup edge with the Padres’ heavy money-line advantage against a scuffling Los Angeles club produces plus expected value, according to the tout.

B Wade also played Fernando Tatis Jr. over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at −170, noting the positive correlation with his Machado pick. Tatis has eclipsed the line in five consecutive games and in 74 % of contests this year. At Petco he has done so in 14 of 18 outings. Although he is only 2-for-8 lifetime off Yusei Kikuchi and is batting just .200 against lefties this season, Wade believes Tatis’ overall hot streak plus the potential RBI/run stacking with Machado justifies the juice. Chalkboard is still offering a 4.3× payout when the two Padres props are combined.

B Wade urged bettors to keep hammering Manny Machado over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs despite the −145 price. Machado has cleared the mark in 11 straight games and in 69 % of his games overall this season, averaging 3.5 H/R/RBI during the current streak. He owns a .326 average versus left-handed pitching and faces southpaw Yusei Kikuchi on Monday. Even at home the trend holds strong (12-for-18, 67 %). Wade argued the true price should be closer to −300 given the matchup and Machado’s current form.

B Wade advised taking Michael King under 1.5 walks against the Angels. King surrendered four free passes in his first home start of 2024, but over his next four home outings he issued exactly one walk each time. Looking back to last season, King has stayed under this number in eight of his last ten home starts, with the only overs coming against elite line-ups (Braves and Mets). Wade considers the current Angels order a tier below those clubs and likes the plus-money price being offered on the prop.