Guy Boston is targeting Randy Arozarena under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs against Astros pitcher Hunter Brown. He highlights Arozarena's particularly weak batting performance versus Brown historically (11 plate appearances, 37% strikeout rate, zero batting average with a woeful .182 OBP). Additionally, Seattle's broader offensive struggles mean few RBI opportunities for Arozarena, limiting potential for runs driven in. Even a single base appearance via walk wouldn't significantly threaten the bet due to Seattle's lack of lineup productivity behind him. Boston emphasizes this under play is supported strongly by historical pitcher-batter matchups and Seattle's anemic offensive performance recently.

Guy Boston targeted Javier Baez's under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs for today's matchup against Yankees left-hander Max Fried. Baez historically struggles against left-handed pitching, and Fried excels at neutralizing righty hitters. Baez also has notably high strikeout rates against Fried's primary offerings, specifically the fastball and curveball. Fried's diversified 5-pitch mix (fastball at 33%, curveball 21%, sinker 16%, change-up 14%, slider 12%) further amplifies Baez's strikeout risk. Guy Boston emphasized betting this early before odds worsen beyond his -165 threshold, citing a current favorable line at MGM (-160).

Guy Boston sees the Yankees bouncing back today after losing three straight games and struggling offensively (just 6 runs total in last three games, shut out yesterday). He particularly mentions Jack Flaherty's reliance on the fastball—a pitch type that benefits the Yankees' lineup strengths. Flaherty has struggled historically against some current Yankees hitters despite small sample sizes. Considering these factors along with Max Fried's strong recent pitching performances, Guy Boston expects the Yankees to avoid a sweep today and perform well offensively.

Jimmy Adams advocated betting on the Tigers as underdogs to complete the sweep against the Yankees. Adams highlighted Detroit's impressive recent form, winning five straight games and seven out of their last eight, noting they could easily have been on an eight-game win streak apart from one critical defensive error. Adams praised Tigers starter Jack Flaherty, emphasizing his strong pitching metrics from last season: a WOBA of just 288, a strikeout rate well above league average, and a below-average hard hit percentage against. Additionally, Flaherty has been strong in his first two outings of 2024—allowing just three runs across 11.1 innings against tough opponents including holding the Dodgers to only two runs. Adams believes Detroit offers fantastic betting value today at plus money due to their current form and Flaherty's pitching effectiveness.

Kenny G recommended betting the Tigers as an underdog (+122), spotlighting Jack Flaherty's impressive start to the season as a key reason. Flaherty carries a strong 2.38 ERA, highlighted by dominant outings against quality opponents like the Dodgers and White Sox, combining to allow just five hits and two earned runs in over 11 innings pitched. Kenny praised Flaherty's ability to perform against tougher offenses, expecting him to succeed against the Yankees' currently cold bats at home, where Detroit remains undefeated early in the season.

Kenny G expressed concerns about Max Fried facing a stronger Tigers lineup, noting Fried's inconsistent start to the season. Although Fried boasts a respectable 2.61 ERA, Kenny pointed out his rough first outing against the Brewers (seven hits and six runs, although only two were earned), alongside a better yet still shaky outing facing the weaker Pirates team where he gave up six hits. Kenny emphasized the Tigers are significantly stronger offensively compared to Fried's previous opponents and believes Fried may struggle in this spot, making Detroit an attractive underdog bet at +122.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommends taking the Detroit Tigers to cover the spread as underdogs against the New York Yankees. Jack Flaherty has been effective early this season with a 2.38 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, and opponents are hitting only .154 against him. Meanwhile, Tigers hitters have posted an OPS of .829 in their last six games, averaging over five runs per game. The Yankees lineup has struggled significantly in the series, being outscored 11-2, making the Tigers an appealing choice behind Flaherty's strong start.

Kevin Thomas is betting on the Detroit Tigers at plus 125 moneyline value to complete their sweep against the New York Yankees. Despite acknowledging the difficulty of completing sweeps, he strongly questions the quality and consistency of the Yankees bullpen, which he emphasized as a serious vulnerability. Thomas also downplayed the Yankees' recent performances, noting they look overrated after beating a weak Pirates team that he believes might lead to an upcoming managerial change.

Kevin Thomas believes Spencer Torkelson is a good value for an RBI prop bet against the Yankees. Torkelson had largely underperformed as a highly regarded rookie, nearly sent down to minors last season, and previously went hitless before delivering two hits and an RBI the prior day. Thomas specifically noted Torkelson's favorable batting order position (hitting fourth behind Riley Greene) in Detroit's lineup as an additional positive factor, expecting opportunities despite facing a strong pitcher in Max Fried.

Data Skrive highlighted Max Fried's impressive performance with the Yankees. Fried is currently 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA this season and has a 2-0 ATS record, meaning he has successfully covered the spread in both starts. Additionally, the Yankees have won both games Fried started as a moneyline favorite. Considering these trends, Fried is set up well against the Tigers, making the Yankees (-1.5 at +116) an attractive bet to cover the runline.

Data Skrive emphasized the ATS betting trend for Detroit Tigers this season, noting they have covered 63.6% of their games (7-4-0 ATS). Despite being underdogs (+1.5 at -140) against the Yankees, Detroit's ability to consistently cover offers bettors attractive value, especially since they have had recent success against New York, winning four of their last five head-to-head matchups.

Data Skrive detailed the consistent performance of Aaron Judge, who currently leads the Yankees with 15 hits, batting .341 with nine extra-base hits. He has a .431 on-base percentage and an outstanding .818 slugging percentage, ranking him third among qualifying hitters in MLB. He will be aiming for his third consecutive game with a hit and is batting .250 with a home run, three walks, and three RBI over the last five games, providing strong evidence that Judge is an appealing option for fantasy lineups and player prop betting against Jack Flaherty and the Tigers.

Kingpin recommended betting Max Fried to exceed 6.5 strikeouts, emphasizing Fried's impressive debut as a Yankee where he struck out 7 batters in his first start. They noted the Tigers ranked among the highest strikeout teams in the league last year and continue to show swing-and-miss tendencies. Considering Detroit's lineup struggles and Fried's proven ability to generate swings and misses, the expectation is Fried will comfortably surpass the posted strikeout total and deliver strong fantasy and prop betting value.

Data Skrive advised taking advantage of Aaron Judge's prolific home run form early in the season, where he hit 6 home runs in 11 games played, registering a home run rate of 36.4%. Although the odds (+235) are shorter than others, his consistent elite power combined with favorable matchup against the Tigers makes Judge a reliable option for home run bettors and fantasy plays.

Peter Dewey advised betting the under on Max Fried's strikeout prop set at 6.5 despite facing a Tigers lineup prone to striking out over nine times per game. He reasoned that Fried has managed just four and six strikeouts in each of his first two starts this season, covering only 10.1 innings. Although Fried surpassed the 90-pitch threshold in both of these outings, Dewey is skeptical that he will pitch deep enough into this game against Detroit to exceed the strikeout total of 6.5.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the under on Jack Flaherty's hits allowed prop of 4.5. Flaherty has allowed just six hits across 11.1 innings this season, maintaining a stellar 0.88 WHIP. Dewey highlighted the Yankees' recent challenges offensively, emphasizing their mere 13 hits and two runs scored across the first two games of this series. Additionally, he referenced Flaherty's impressive past performance, where last season he gave up only 135 hits across 162 innings.

Data Skrive identified the Detroit Tigers as a solid underdog pick at +127 on the moneyline in the April 9 game against New York. Despite the Yankees' position as favorites (-152), the Tigers have a clear betting value, particularly given they've won three out of six games when listed as underdogs this season. The Tigers' projected win probability of 48% compared with implied odds from sportsbooks at 44.1% suggests a clear betting edge and implied value for those backing Detroit at plus money.

Data Skrive highlighted Spencer Torkelson as a strong candidate to perform well against the Yankees on April 9, noting he's hitting an excellent .310 with five doubles and three home runs already this season. Torkelson's strong start positions him as a good bet to exceed the relatively modest over/under of 0.5 total bases set at -180 odds. His consistent production and power make him attractive from a betting and DFS standpoint in this afternoon matchup against New York.

Data Skrive pointed to Aaron Judge as an appealing option to clear his 0.5 RBI prop (+130 odds) in the Yankees' matchup against the Tigers on April 9. Judge is enjoying a dominant start to the season, pacing MLB in both home runs (6) and RBIs (18). He's currently riding a two-game hitting streak into the game and has recorded three RBIs in his last five contests, making this prop attractive given Judge's prominent role in the Yankees' offense.

Greg Peterson advises betting the over 7 runs total in Yankees vs Tigers based on potent hitting and vulnerable pitching. The Yankees have been explosive offensively, averaging 7.1 runs per game and 2.3 homers per contest, despite a shutout yesterday. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is vulnerable, with a 4.36 ERA in recent starts and notably allowing over 1.6 HR/9 innings for the Dodgers and Tigers. Yankees' Max Fried may look good with a 2.61 ERA but has benefited from four unearned runs skewing his numbers. Peterson emphasizes this misleading factor, noticing Fried's underlying FIP (3.84) is significantly higher than the posted ERA. Given these offensive fireworks and suspect starting pitching matchups, he projects a higher-scoring outcome at 7.8 runs, providing clear over value at 7.

Kingpin advised backing Aaron Judge to exceed 1.5 total bases in his matchup against Tigers ace Tarik Skubal, a left-handed pitcher. Judge has consistently shown elite power against lefties and is likely to exploit this matchup at Comerica Park, either via an extra-base hit into the gaps or a home run. This player prop relies on Judge's strong splits against left-handed pitching and his track record of high production in similar situations.

Kingpin advised backing Aaron Judge to exceed 1.5 total bases in his matchup against Tigers ace Tarik Skubal, a left-handed pitcher. Judge has consistently shown elite power against lefties and is likely to exploit this matchup at Comerica Park, either via an extra-base hit into the gaps or a home run. This player prop relies on Judge's strong splits against left-handed pitching and his track record of high production in similar situations.

Kyle Purviance believes the Yankees represent significant betting value at plus 140 against Tarik Skubal and mentioned considering a Yankees double result bet for an even higher price. Despite acknowledging Skubal as a solid pitcher, Purviance emphasizes the Yankees' strong lineup and notes it's rare to get such an offensively potent team at generous plus odds. He indicated he's fully comfortable taking the Yankees rather than backing Skubal against a dangerous lineup, implying strong underdog potential in this spot.

Brian Howard expressed caution against betting on Tarik Skubal against the Yankees despite considering Scoobel the significantly better pitcher compared to Carlos Carrasco. Howard highlighted recent results where the better pitching matchup hasn't translated into winning bets, creating trust issues. Additionally, Howard pointed out the Yankees were overeagerly defeated in their previous game, setting up potential bounce-back motivation. Ultimately, Howard advised avoiding the Tigers or cautiously backing the Yankees at plus-money in this specific scenario, viewing it as a potentially dangerous spot despite Scoobel's advantages on paper.

Kyle Purviance likes Kerry Carpenter's RBI prop bets due to his matchup against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco, who has noticeably struggled. Purviance specifically highlighted a value spot of Carpenter achieving two-plus RBIs at around +850, alongside betting one RBI at +220. He explained a ladder betting strategy here, suggesting betting both props to increase upside while keeping some safeguard. He emphasized Carrasco's struggles as the main factor, believing Carpenter is well positioned to benefit from this favorable matchup.

FanDuel's Data Skrive noted Oswald Peraza as a sneaky deep-value bet (+1200) to homer in Tuesday's matchup with the Tigers. Though he's been less featured with only 1 homer in 4 games, Peraza's 25% homer rate in his limited appearances makes him an intriguing sleeper pick for players seeking high-upside plays in DFS tournaments or considering favorable odds-based bets.

Data Skrive highlighted Jazz Chisholm as an intriguing prop bet to homer at juicy +830 odds in the upcoming Yankees vs Tigers game. Chisholm has quietly put up strong power numbers with 4 home runs in 10 games during the 2025 MLB season, homering in 30% of his appearances. His consistent early-season power and favorable odds make him an enticing option for bettors and daily fantasy players looking for value.

Data Skrive pointed out Anthony Volpe as an intriguing home run bet at +1060 odds versus the Tigers. Despite the longer odds, Volpe has homered in 40% of games to start 2025, smashing 4 homers over his first 10 contests. Given this extremely consistent start and significant odds payout, Volpe offers excellent risk-reward potential as a less obvious power option in fantasy lineups and prop bets.

Data Skrive highlighted Aaron Judge's intriguing +300 odds to homer against the Tigers, referencing Judge's recent hot start with 6 home runs in just 10 games of the 2025 season. Judge has homered in a remarkable 40% of games so far, making him one of the most consistent power threats currently in baseball. Considering his established history as an elite home-run hitter and recent power streak, Judge provides solid betting value in Tuesday's matchup.

Peter Dewey sees good value in Riley Greene's odds to homer against veteran Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Greene has started the 2025 campaign hot, boasting a .317 batting average, .634 slugging percentage, and already hitting three home runs. He's notably stronger against right-handed pitchers, slugging 59 points higher against righties for his career. Carrasco, meanwhile, has started poorly this season, allowing a homer and six earned runs in just 7.1 innings. He has also had persistent trouble containing home runs, allowing at least 17 each of the previous three seasons. Although Greene has limited history against Carrasco (0-for-3), Dewey suggests taking a shot given the matchup and generous odds.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised to take the over on total runs in Yankees versus Tigers. Yankees starter Carlos Carrasco has notably struggled with a 7.36 ERA in two wild starts, averaging an incredible 22.5 total runs between teams. Coupled with New York's league-leading offense averaging 8.44 runs per game, and the Tigers sitting at 9th overall (five runs per game), conditions point strongly towards a high-scoring game. Although Detroit isn't typically explosive, the Yankees' pitching woes, especially from Carrasco, make the over a favorable bet.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended betting on the Tigers to cover the spread against the Yankees given several key factors. Detroit pitcher Casey Mize had an impressive recent outing and performs well in cold, windy conditions as a ground ball specialist reliant on a strong splitter, making him difficult to hit for airborne contact. Conversely, Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon has a history of allowing fly balls and home runs, potentially problematic given forecasted windy conditions favoring hitters getting the ball airborne. While the Yankees possess bullpen strength, Detroit's expectation of an early lead leads to a positive outlook for betting the Tigers as underdogs covering the spread.

Derek Farnsworth highlighted the Tigers offense as a strong DFS target against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Farnsworth emphasized Carrasco's elevated 5.76 ERA and a troubling 4.84 xERA, alongside his tendency to allow high contact (32% HC rate). Detroit hitters such as Kerry Carpenter (.408 wOBA), Riley Greene (.382 wOBA), and Colt Keith were specifically referenced, benefiting from Carrasco's notable splits against left-handed bats (an elevated .361 wOBA allowed). Farnsworth noted the positive correlation of Detroit's favorable Vegas total (4.27 implied runs), and Carrasco's underlying metrics indicated home run potential, making the Tigers' left-handed hitters enticing DFS options on today's DraftKings and FanDuel slates.

B Wade highlights Colt Keith as a strong bet to draw a walk against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Keith has notably improved his plate discipline this year, earning walks in eight of the first ten games and totaling twelve walks overall, equating to a remarkable 1.2 walks per game. Even though last season Keith walked in just 25% of appearances, Wade points out he's more patient and disciplined at the plate now. Additionally, Carrasco had a poor previous season (3–10, 5.64 ERA) and doesn't appear to have improved significantly, starting 0–1 this year. Given Keith's newfound selectiveness and Carrasco's ongoing struggles, Wade confidently backs this pick.

Derek Carty's model identified Jazz Chisholm Jr. as a valuable home run prop bet (+1200), projecting an 8% likelihood and a favorable $9.20 EV. Comerica Park's notably low average fence height was highlighted as a key indicator enhancing Chisholm's HR potential in this contest.

Eric Lindquist pointed to Kerry Carpenter as an attractive target for his total bases prop against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Though Carrasco is someone he admires personally, Lindquist noted significant performance red flags including a 15.2% barrel rate allowed in early starts this year. Carpenter has been hitting well and Lindquist specifically highlighted Detroit's left-handed hitters including Carpenter as being in advantageous spots against Carrasco due to favorable splits and vulnerabilities Carrasco has shown thus far.

Just A Bet Outside advised betting Carlos Carrasco under 4.5 strikeouts against the Tigers. The analyst highlighted Carrasco's declining swing-and-miss ability, reflected by last season's road K-rate drop from 22.3% to 17.7%. Additionally, Carrasco went under 4.5 Ks in 64% of his road starts last year. Despite the Tigers showing an inflated strikeout rate early this season with high strikeout totals against top pitchers Logan Gilbert and Yamamoto, 4 of their other 5 matchups against right-handed pitchers have ended with three or fewer strikeouts. Given Carrasco's age and lack of ability to generate whiffs (12 total whiffs in 7.1 innings this year), the analyst strongly recommended fading Carrasco's strikeout total.

Just A Bet Outside pinpointed Aaron Judge's appealing historical matchup against Tigers' pitcher Tarik Skubal, mentioning Judge has gone 6 for 14 with two home runs against Skubal. Given Judge's track record, he is recommended as a strong DFS option and a valuable player prop candidate for today's slate.

B Wade is backing Tarik Skubal to clear his 6.5 strikeout line against a Yankees team with MLB's fifth-highest strikeout rate (nearly 10 Ks per game). While Skubal had just two strikeouts in an early-season game versus the Dodgers, he rebounded strongly, recording eight strikeouts against Seattle recently. Last season, Skubal surpassed 6.5 strikeouts in 62% of outings, including a dominant 12-strikeout performance against these same Yankees, and finished the campaign averaging 13 strikeouts per nine innings against New York. Given Skubal's proven strikeout ability and New York's high strikeout frequency, Wade expects Skubal to capitalize and comfortably exceed his strikeout margin.

JD Bets sees Aaron Judge as a strong candidate to homer in his matchup against Casey Mize, highlighting Judge's excellent track record of 4 for 5 against Mize historically and his current hot hitting form. Given Mize’s struggles last season (2-6 record with a 4.49 ERA), JD emphasizes the high likelihood of Judge hitting a home run, particularly mentioning the possibility of a first-inning homer. This taek is bolstered by citing Judge's impressive individual matchup history paired with the broader reliability and power of his batting currently.

Chris Ruffolo identifies a strong spot for Aaron Judge to hit a home run at plus 185 despite the shorter odds. Judge has excellent career numbers against Casey Mize—four hits in five at-bats, including a pair of doubles. Ruffolo noted Judge's strong historical success against Mize as indicative of future performance, making this an attractive, relatively safe option to anchor parlays or single bets.