Best Ball Guy explained why he is selecting CeeDee Lamb over Justin Jefferson whenever both receivers fall to the 1.05 range in Underdog drafts. Jefferson is already dealing with a minor camp hamstring tweak, and Best Ball Guy remembers the season in which Jefferson missed time with a similar soft-tissue issue. Because Lamb was already his top-ranked wideout, the additional injury risk breaks the tie firmly in Lamb’s favor for best-ball purposes.

Jason Moore recommended building around CeeDee Lamb and then waiting until the double-digit rounds for Dak Prescott. He noted the combo literally won titles two seasons ago and believes the environment is even better in 2025 because Dallas’ defense “is going to be much worse” and the running game is “probably near non-existent.” That should force higher passing volume, letting managers grab a first-round alpha receiver and pair him with a dirt-cheap QB who still owns week-winning ceilings.

Whalen ranked CeeDee Lamb over Justin Jefferson because a healthy Dak Prescott— whom he still considers a top-10 real-life and top-5 fantasy QB— supercharges the Cowboys’ passing ceiling. He downplayed George Pickens siphoning targets, suggesting Pickens could actually help Lamb by drawing defensive attention, something Lamb has lacked since Amari Cooper left. Lamb finished "fine" last year despite minor injuries; with Prescott back, Whalen expects another top-three finish.

Jim Coventry said fantasy drafters picking out of the 4-spot should open with CeeDee Lamb because the Cowboys remain one of the league’s most pass-heavy, high-powered attacks and Lamb is Dak Prescott’s unquestioned first read. Coventry expects another season of target-hog usage after Lamb averaged 11.2 targets per game last year and led all wideouts in games with 10-plus targets. He prefers Lamb over Malik Nabers at that slot and would only bump Lamb down if the unlikely scenario of Justin Jefferson falling to 1.04 materializes.

Best Ball Guy said he now prefers CeeDee Lamb to Justin Jefferson straight up in the mid-first round. His case: when Dak Prescott was last fully healthy, Lamb finished as the overall WR1, and Dallas has quietly rebuilt its offensive line—ETR recently ranked it fifth after three straight drafts spent on early-round trench picks. With no trustworthy run game to siphon touches, Lamb projects for massive volume, and stacking him with Dak is cheaper than pairing Jefferson with J.J. McCarthy. BBG thinks the combination of elite ceiling and easier stack access makes Lamb the plus-EV choice at pick 1.05.

Michael Leone said CeeDee Lamb’s fantasy outlook remains elite even after Dallas traded for George Pickens. Leone expects Lamb to keep his “clear alpha target share” because the Cowboys have funneled passing volume to him for two years and still lack reliable options behind Pickens and tight end Jake Ferguson. Dallas plays inside a dome, ranks near the top of the league in pass-rate over expectation, and routinely operates at a fast pace, so Leone thinks the offense as a whole will expand rather than re-allocate Lamb’s looks. Any minor loss of low-value underneath targets should be offset by more red-zone trips and cleaner coverage with defenses respecting Pickens’ down-field speed. Leone concluded that Lamb remains a first-round lock in season-long and a priority Week-17 bring-back in best-ball tourneys.

Nick Whalen ranked CeeDee Lamb ahead of Justin Jefferson because he trusts Dak Prescott’s stable quarterback play more than rookie J.J. McCarthy’s unknown ceiling in Minnesota. Whalen believes the Cowboys finally landed a legitimate No. 2 wideout in George Pickens, which should draw safety help and create more single coverage for Lamb rather than siphon targets. With Dallas returning the league’s second-highest neutral-situation pass rate and Lamb already commanding a 30% target share, Whalen sees a safer floor and equal ceiling relative to Jefferson, making Lamb his preferred choice at pick 5 in PPR drafts.

Nez said taking CeeDee Lamb as early as pick 1.04 is the right move because Dallas is about to throw at an outrageous clip. Dak Prescott is healthy, Brian Schottenheimer spent the offseason talking up the passing game, and the front office added George Pickens while failing to add a legitimate early-down back. Nez believes the paper-thin RB room will force the Cowboys to "pass the shit out of the ball," pushing Lamb’s already elite target share even higher. He prefers Lamb over Bijan Robinson and even Justin Jefferson at similar ADPs, calling Lamb a cornerstone for Best Ball rosters in 2024.

Danny Brasco leaned to the OVER on CeeDee Lamb’s 6.5 touchdown prop. He framed it as a "vibes plus volume" wager, arguing Lamb’s star status guarantees target demand regardless of how efficient Dak Prescott is. Lamb already flashed a ceiling with 12 touchdowns in 2023 and led the entire offense in red-zone targets (12). Brasco believes the arrival of George Pickens will draw away some CB1 attention and create more single-coverage looks for Lamb, while Brian Schottenheimer’s scheme historically peppers its WR1. Although Jake Ferguson still siphons some low-aDOT looks near the goal line, Brasco trusts Lamb’s established chemistry with Dak and his proven red-zone chops to eclipse the modest 6.5 line.

Joey B passed on Saquon Barkley and Bijan Robinson at pick 1.03 and insisted on taking CeeDee Lamb instead. He said that Underdog drafts routinely create a wide-receiver avalanche, wiping out the position by the mid-second round. By anchoring his Best Ball Mania team with Lamb—Dallas’s clear target-share leader—he believes he secures irreplaceable weekly ceiling at a position that becomes scarce fastest, while running-back points can be back-filled later in the draft.

Greg Brainos argued that CeeDee Lamb is worth the 1.03 pick in Best Ball Mania because Dallas could morph into one of the league’s most pass-heavy teams under new offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer. Brainos cited Schottenheimer’s introductory press conference in which he took pride in "letting Russ cook" in Seattle and stressed his intention to lean on pre-snap motion—something beat writers have already noticed at OTAs. Dallas also invested further in receiving talent (he mentioned the George Pickens addition) rather than spending big at running back, reinforcing a shift toward Dak Prescott airing it out. With an ambiguous backfield and Schottenheimer’s public commitment to putting his players "in the best position to win," Brainos expects Lamb to dominate targets and views him as a safer, higher-upside bet than early-round running backs like Saquon Barkley or Bijan Robinson.

Building off his Prescott volume take, Sigmund Bloom said CeeDee Lamb could "easily lead the NFL in targets, receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns." Bloom noted that Dallas finally has a credible WR2 to deflect coverage but still projects to be a pass-first offense because of its threadbare backfield. Lamb will live on three-wide sets, benefit from the anticipated 700-attempt script, and retain his red-zone dominance in a Brian Schottenheimer system that historically funnels looks to alpha receivers. In half-point PPR best-ball formats Bloom considers Lamb worth the No. 2 overall selection.

Andy Holloway said he would instantly accept CeeDee Lamb over Ashton Gentry in dynasty. Holloway argued that Lamb, still only 26, already is the player drafters hope Gentry might become: a perennial top-five producer who has cleared the scary second-contract hurdle at a fantasy-friendly position. He reminded listeners that wide receivers retain value and production longer than running backs—Lamb projects for at least four more elite seasons—whereas even ‘generational’ backs flame out quickly once the rookie deal ends (he cited Todd Gurley’s sudden collapse and Saquon Barkley’s bumpy ride as cautionary tales). Holloway framed Gentry’s profile as exciting but inherently fragile because RB shelf life is unpredictable and second contracts are never guaranteed. In startups he would still select Puka Nacua, Malik Nabers, Brian Thomas Jr. and Amon-Ra St. Brown before considering any back, including Bijan Robinson, reinforcing his belief that trading Gentry for Lamb is an easy win for contenders and rebuilders alike.

Erik Beimfohr labeled CeeDee Lamb the best first-round value. Lamb’s 2024 eruption—highlighted by two most-efficient games with backup quarterbacks—proved he is QB-proof and matchup-proof. Despite running mates like Jalen Tolbert, KaVontae Turpin and Ryan Flournoy, Lamb still soaked up elite usage and refused to leave the field even while injured. Beimfohr loves the bankable floor/ceiling combo and notes that Lamb’s ADP is a tick cheaper than Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase, sometimes sliding past them entirely. He even prefers Lamb over Chase in certain builds, calling him an easy click in early best-ball drafts.

Jason Moore projected that CeeDee Lamb will remain an elite WR1 even after Dallas added George Pickens. Moore adjusted Lamb’s target share from 31 % down to 28-29 %, but believes the efficiency gains from cleaner coverage will offset the minor volume loss. With defenses now forced to honor Pickens’ boundary speed, Lamb can live in the slot and underneath, areas where he averaged 2.77 yards per route and a league-best 653 yards after catch last season. Expect fewer doubles, more yards-after-catch opportunities, and continued high-value red-zone work. Moore still ranks Lamb inside his top-5 season-long wideouts and compares the situation to A.J. Brown/DeVonta Smith in Philadelphia—two top-10 receivers co-existing because the defense cannot focus on one.

Mattek argued that adding George Pickens is an overall plus for CeeDee Lamb rather than a threat. Lamb already posted a 29 percent target share when Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup were on the field; Mattek expects a similar alpha share with better overall offensive efficiency now that defenses can’t bracket-cover Lamb on every critical down. He predicts the market will overreact and nudge Lamb from the 1.04–1.05 range to 1.06–1.07, creating a small buying window. Mattek stressed that Pickens will raise Dallas’ passing floor and red-zone trips, giving Lamb more scoring chances even if his raw share dips by a point or two.

Hayden Winks pushed CeeDee Lamb ahead of early-round running backs, noting the Cowboys’ depth chart leaves him ‘competing with nobody’ for targets after the team failed to add meaningful receiver help. Lamb already led the NFL in target share over the final eight weeks of 2023 and now pairs with an affordable Dak Prescott–Jake Ferguson stack that rarely costs premium picks. Winks likes Lamb even more in May drafts because rounds two through seven are loaded with running-back values, allowing drafters to start WR-anchor with Lamb and still scoop discounted backs later. He expects Lamb’s ADP to solidify inside the top four once projection models highlight a potential 190-target season.

Billy Jones urged drafters not to fade CeeDee Lamb despite the recent ADP bump into the top-5 picks. Dallas exited the draft without adding a single pass-catcher, leaving Lamb’s 31% 2023 target share almost uncontested. Jones’ value chart shows Lamb’s pick-to-pick "worth" rising from 78 to 82 after a modest four-spot climb, an 11.6% increase that he believes still understates Lamb’s ceiling. With running backs like Bijan Robinson falling, Jones expects continued wide-receiver thirst to push Lamb ahead of Robinson and possibly even into the No. 3 overall slot. He recommended staying aggressive on Lamb in Best Ball builds, especially when stacking with Dak Prescott.

Erik Beimfohr moved CeeDee Lamb up to the 1.02 slot in his Best Ball ranks, trailing only Christian McCaffrey. Dallas ignored pass catcher in both free agency and the draft, meaning Lamb returns to a target vacuum after already leading the league in receptions (143) and finishing second in fantasy points per game. Beimfohr also noted that Lamb proved quarterback-proof during Dak Prescott’s injury stretch—he averaged 20.5 PPR points with Cooper Rush under center in 2023—so the floor remains intact even if Prescott misses time. With unparalleled volume on a proven superstar, Beimfohr prefers Lamb over Tyreek Hill and Justin Jefferson and views him as the safest non-RB selection on the board.

Jason Moore hammered the over on 185 targets for CeeDee Lamb, predicting Dallas will funnel roughly 200 looks to its franchise receiver. The Cowboys failed to land a wideout during the first three rounds, left the draft with only Jaden Blue at running back, and currently list Jalen Tolbert, Jonathan Mingo and a rumored Amari Cooper trade target as Lamb’s running mates. Moore pointed out that Lamb already commanded 181 targets last season—sixth-most since 2010—and Dallas is projected to throw even more after replacing 338 vacated touches from Pollard and Dowdle with less efficient backs. With Mike McCarthy historically peppering a true WR1 (Davante Adams averaged 11.1 targets per game under McCarthy in Green Bay), Moore slotted Lamb at WR1 overall in early redraft rankings and labeled him a mandatory first-round anchor in best-ball tournaments.

Andy Holloway ranked CeeDee Lamb as his WR2 and called 2024 a "best‑case bad year." Lamb missed one game, gutted through a recurring shoulder issue in several others and still finished as the WR8. His fantasy points per game plunged from 19.7 to 14.2 almost entirely because his touchdowns were cut in half, something Holloway expects to normalize with a healthy Dak Prescott. Lamb led all wideouts in broken tackles last season, underscoring his after‑catch upside, and he has virtually no target competition: the Cowboys’ backfield and secondary pass‑catchers are unsettled. Holloway framed Lamb as a locked‑in first‑round pick whose TD regression should push him back into top‑five overall territory, making him a priority in both redraft and best‑ball formats.