Guy Boston said the safest way to attack Dodgers-Marlins is the Los Angeles team-total OVER. He pointed to Cal Quantrill’s career numbers versus the current Dodger roster: 138 plate appearances, an ugly 10.1 % strike-out rate, 12.3 % walk rate, .322 batting average allowed and a .363 expected wOBA. Boston added that Quantrill’s below-average stuff plays even worse against a lineup that punishes mistakes and already owns the league’s second-best walk rate. While Tony Gonsolin is a quality arm, this is his first start off the IL, so Boston will not rely on him to suppress Miami scoring—another reason he prefers a Dodgers team angle rather than full game under. With Los Angeles totals often shaded like Atlanta’s, he still feels the market is short given the above matchup data and Miami’s bullpen that ranks 24th in xFIP the last two weeks. He suggested laddering 5+ runs at plus money if books hang a 4.5 baseline.

Adam Rosenberg targeted a Shohei Ohtani stolen-base prop, noting Miami’s complete inability to control the run game. Rosenberg rattled off three straight Marlins starters—Edward Cabrera, Sandy Alcantara and Cal Quantrill—who "can’t hold runners" and said catcher Ramirez’s pop-time is "atrocious." Ohtani already swiped a bag earlier in the series against Cabrera, and Rosenberg expects him to keep running because no Marlins battery member has posted above-average caught-stealing numbers this season. With books still hanging prices around +235 and Underdog offering an attractive multiplier, Rosenberg called the steal prop a high-upside add to any betting card or Underdog ‘higher/lower’ entry.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed Miami to cover as road underdogs, arguing Los Angeles’ edge in overall talent is offset by context. Tony Gonsolin is making his first start after Tommy John surgery, so his workload and velocity are complete unknowns. Miami has been scrappy—15-13 ATS—and already roughed Gonsolin up for a 10.38 ERA across two prior meetings. The Marlins’ bullpen ERA (4.41) is closer to the Dodgers’ 3.64 mark than perception suggests, and Miami’s .771 OPS with runners in scoring position ranks eighth league-wide. Because the game is likely tight late and L.A. is still heavily favored, the analyst called the run-line value on Miami “the smarter bet.”

Dylan Rockford volunteered Jazz Chisholm Jr. as his preferred home-run dart for Wednesday’s slate. Rockford bypassed the obvious Kyle Schwarber chalk and zeroed in on Chisholm because he expects the free-swinging Marlin to see a very attackable Cade Povich. Povich has already coughed up a .494 slugging percentage in limited big-league work and showed the same long-ball issues in Triple-A (1.7 HR/9). Chisholm’s road OPS is lagging this month, yet he still owns a 46% hard-hit rate and carries the kind of pull-side loft that plays against Povich’s low-90s four-seam fastball. Rockford trusts Chisholm’s pure raw power to overcome the lefty-lefty matchup and said any number north of +450 is worth a sprinkle in the dinger market or as a one-off in DFS showdown builds.

Malcolm Bamford is on the over 9.5 in Marlins-Dodgers. Cal Quantrill enters with a 1.78 WHIP and has been torched in every road outing, yet Miami has weirdly scored 11, 10 and 8 runs in his turns. The Marlins bullpen owns a bottom-five ERA, so late-inning gas cans are likely. Los Angeles finally gets Tony Gonsolin back after 20 months, but Bamford doubts he goes more than four innings, leaving a patchwork relief corps that has already used 12 different IL-eligible arms. Monday’s 7-6 score is the template, and both clubs trend over (Miami 19-9, LAD 16-11). He expects double-digit runs again.

Dylan Rockford agrees on the over, pointing to Quantrill’s four-plus runs allowed in every road start and the fact that four of his five appearances have crushed the total. The Dodgers offense has poured in 7, 8 and 9 runs their last three games and should see a shortened Tony Gonsolin after a 20-month layoff. Miami is an over machine (19-9 overall, 9-3 on the road) and has been pesky at the plate, ranking mid-pack in runs per game. Rockford thinks both clubs reach at least four, making anything 9.5 or lower a play toward the over.

Kenny G said the only playable angle in Marlins-Dodgers is the over 9.5. He noted Miami is starting Cal Quantrill, whose last two outings were ugly (5.2 IP, 4 ER vs SEA after being shelled by PHI) and whose club bullpen owns a 4.41 ERA. Offensively the Marlins are middling—13th in runs, 16th in slugging—but he reminded listeners they have cashed the over in 19 of 28 games (19-9, MLB-best). On the other side Tony Gonsolin is making his first start of the season off a back injury, so Kenny doubts he works deep. The Dodgers relief corps is merely average (3.64 ERA), but their offense can cover the number alone: 7th in runs, 4th in slugging, fresh off a 15-run explosion and riding a 13-3 home record with a 16-13 over mark. With L.A. laying –295 and the Marlins just 4-8 on the road, Kenny passed on the side and played the total, saying the Dodgers could “cover this nine-and-a-half all by themselves.”

Freddie Freeman is 8-for-15 (.533) lifetime off Cal Quantrill and has hits in nine of his last 12. The tout recommends riding Freeman’s hit or total-bases props given Quantrill’s poor command and Freeman’s elite track record.

Andy Pages (referred to as Andy Paez) is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Cal Quantrill and riding a six-game hit streak. The tout lists him among the best BvP spots of the slate for a hits prop.

Shohei Ohtani has a .313 average vs Cal Quantrill and has logged hits in five of his last six games. With Quantrill giving up big numbers on every pitch, the tout suggests Ohtani’s hit or home-run props are in play.

Ron recommended Dodgers –1.5 because Tony Gonsolin’s season debut comes against a Miami lineup that, while competent versus righties, is unlikely to keep pace if Cal Quantrill repeats his shaky command (four runs and two homers in 5.2 IP last start). L.A. has provided run support all season and should exploit Quantrill’s 40% hard-hit rate. Romanelli noted the Marlins have won three of Quantrill’s last four, but he thinks Dodger Stadium is the wrong spot to keep that run going.

Lindquist laid the –1.5 with the Dodgers because he views the afternoon matchup as a severe pitching mismatch. Tony Gonsolin is finally healthy, whereas Cal Quantrill is “still the luckiest pitcher in baseball” whose contact profile has cratered: sub-13 % K-rate, 10.5 % BB-rate and three straight seasons above a 5.00 expected ERA. The Dodgers’ left-right power mix plus a mid-day hitter’s environment at Chavez Ravine should punish Quantrill’s sinker/slider combo. Lindquist added that L.A.’s lineup can run on Quantrill’s high walk rate, creating extra scoring chances and making the short run-line price “way too cheap.”

Croucher also endorsed the game total Over 9. He cited the Dodgers’ offensive surge (OVER 4-0 in their last four, capped by Tuesday’s 15-spot) and Cal Quantrill’s bloated 7.83 ERA as primary drivers. On the other side, Tony Gonsolin makes his first MLB appearance since August 2023 following arm surgery, introducing rust concerns that could lead to early traffic before the bullpen takes over. Day-game weather at hitter-friendly Dodger Stadium (temperatures projected mid-70s with a light breeze out to left) further boosts run expectancy. With both bullpens already heavily used in the series and L.A. posting a 59% OVER rate in home games versus right-handed starters since last season, Croucher’s model projects 10.3 combined runs and flags the Over as the best total angle.

Croucher advised bettors to play the Dodgers -1.5 after the club covered that margin in each of the last four games. The handicap leans on the same mismatch that favors the moneyline: Miami’s slumping offense against a Dodgers lineup averaging 8.3 runs during the win streak. With Quantrill’s 1.79 WHIP and shaky command (zero walks last start but 10 free passes in his previous 15 innings) and a Marlins bullpen that was forced to soak up 5.2 innings Tuesday, Croucher expects Los Angeles to build a multi-run cushion. He added that the Dodgers have cashed the run line at a 67% clip (14-7) when favored by -180 or more since Opening Day 2024, making the -1.5 an attractive alternative to the steep moneyline.

Jay Croucher recommended laying the juice with the Dodgers at ‑295, noting multiple edges that still make the favorite playable despite the hefty price. Los Angeles is riding a four-game winning streak and has already taken the first two games of this set, including Tuesday’s 15-2 demolition in which Shohei Ohtani homered on the first pitch he saw and Teoscar Hernandez went 4-for-5 with four RBI. Miami counters with Cal Quantrill, who owns a 7.83 ERA and just allowed 4 ER over 5.2 IP in Seattle, while the Dodgers get a jolt from Tony Gonsolin’s return. Croucher pointed out that the Marlins have dropped four straight and the model gives L.A. a clear win probability edge even at the inflated number.

Zachary Roberts recommended Freddie Freeman at +380 to go yard, leaning on the same Cal Quantrill fade that boosts Teoscar Hernandez. Freeman owns four homers through his first 19 games and carries a strong overall batting line despite a modest recent power drought (no HR in over a week). Roberts argued that Quantrill’s 7.83 ERA and below-average strikeout rate create an ideal environment for Freeman’s elite bat-to-ball skills to translate into lofted contact. While Freeman is known more for doubles than tape-measure shots, Roberts sees the combination of hitter form, friendly opponent, and Dodger Stadium conditions as enough to justify an aggressive homer prop play.

Zachary Roberts tabbed Teoscar Hernandez as a +400 home-run prop after noting several green lights. Hernandez smashed 30+ HRs last season and won the Home Run Derby, and he is already tied for third in MLB with nine bombs in 2025. Four of those have come during the last seven days, signaling a hot streak. Roberts emphasized today’s matchup with Marlins right-hander Cal Quantrill, whose 7.83 ERA makes him one of the softest targets on the slate. Given Hernandez’s current power form and Quantrill’s propensity to allow hard contact, Roberts believes the slugger is one of the best long-ball bets on a 16-game card.

Data Skrive projected a 6-3 Dodgers victory and advised playing Over 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have cashed the over in six of their last 10, scoring 6.2 runs per game with 14 homers during that stretch. Miami games have been even wilder—eight of their last 10 have gone over thanks to a shaky pitching staff posting a 7.44 ERA. Both lineups are producing power (Dodgers 14 HR, Marlins 12 HR in their last 10), and Dodger Stadium is yielding a 1.17 park factor for runs so far this season. Combined with a bullpen game likely for Miami and Los Angeles’ implied total north of 5 runs, the model’s 9-run median pushes the Over into playable territory at -116.

Data Skrive recommended laying the 1.5 runs with Los Angeles at -101. Their model gives the Dodgers a 64-67.7% win probability and projects a 6-3 final score. Los Angeles has been money as a big favorite all year, going 19-8 overall when favored and 10-2 (83.3%) when the moneyline is at least -210. Miami, meanwhile, has won only 10 of 27 games as an underdog and just 3 of 11 when priced +175 or longer. Recent form backs the play: the Dodgers are 6-2 on the moneyline in their last eight as favorites, averaging 6.2 runs with a 3.54 ERA, while the Marlins’ staff has been torched for a 7.44 ERA over their last 10. Los Angeles’ lineup is red-hot—Teoscar Hernandez is on an eight-game hitting streak (.349, 4 HR, 15 RBI in that span) and Shohei Ohtani carries a .368 clip over his last five. The underlying numbers and current form point to a comfortable Dodgers win that covers the run line.

Greg Peterson grabbed Miami at +247, arguing the number is far too generous given the uncertainty around Tony Gonsolin. Gonsolin is making his first MLB start since 2023, when he posted a 5.43 FIP, 4.98 ERA, 1.7 HR/9 and 3.5 BB/9. Peterson noted that rust plus continued walk and homer issues make the Dodgers vulnerable. Cal Quantrill has not been lights-out (5.50 FIP, at least three runs allowed in four of his last five), yet Miami has still won three of those games, suggesting the lineup and bullpen can paper over average starting pitching. Peterson’s own line was Marlins +239, creating enough edge to fire on the big underdog moneyline.

The tout backed the Dodgers money line, pointing to Sandy Alcantara’s 6.56 ERA and nine runs allowed over his last two starts. Still not fully back from Tommy John, Alcantara now faces a lineup that ranks 2nd in homers and owns a 12-3 record at Chavez Ravine. Los Angeles is 18-10 overall, carries the league’s 9th-best run differential, and presents far more offensive firepower than Miami (12-15) can match if its ace is off again.

Bettor Mark suggested grabbing the Dodgers at +112 on the –1.5 run line (or using the popular "home team will not bat in the 9th" market). He argued Miami’s offense is toothless—outside of one five-run frame the night before—and called the Marlins "a bad team, simply put." Los Angeles will piece together a staff game, but Mark trusts their depth more than Sandy Alcantara’s shaky 1.52 WHIP and 41% hard-hit rate. With Dodger Stadium’s marine layer keeping balls in play, he expects LA’s lineup to grind Alcantara early, turn it over to a rested bullpen, and cruise to a multi-run victory.

Malcolm Bamford said the cleanest way to back Los Angeles is their team-total OVER rather than guessing which emergency starter Dave Roberts will roll out. He pointed out that Sandy Alcantara has made only one road start all year—and it was ugly: two innings, six earned runs at Philadelphia. Alcantara’s ERA has spiked to 4.88 over his last four outings and Miami’s bullpen owns a 5.02 ERA away from LoanDepot, giving the Dodgers nine full innings of plus matchup. Bamford also noted the turmoil in the L.A. rotation (Glasnow shoulder scare, Gonsolin still ramping up) makes a full-game moneyline or run-line less attractive, but those injuries do not affect a wager on Mookie Betts & company scoring 5+ runs. With the Dodgers ranking top-3 in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching and leading MLB in hard-hit rate, he expects them to “absolutely dismantle” Alcantara and a thin Marlins pen, projecting six or seven runs by the seventh inning.

Lonte Smith echoed Malcolm’s confidence but opted for the Dodgers –1.5 run line and a matching team-total over. Smith reminded listeners that Alcantara’s velo is down a tick and his swinging-strike rate has fallen to 9.4%, both career lows, an ominous sign heading into Chavez Ravine. He likes Miami’s lineup in a vacuum but does not trust the Marlins bullpen (bottom-eight FIP) to keep things close once Sandy exits. With the Dodgers averaging 5.7 runs per game at home and still top-5 in OPS despite recent injuries, Smith feels anything south of –115 on the run line is “print and pray.” His script is a 7-3 Dodgers victory fueled by a pair of crooked innings against Alcantara and two more off relievers Anthony Bender and Andrew Nardi.

Chris Welsh backed Dustin May to clear his 5.5-strikeout prop Monday, citing both matchup and bounce-back narrative. May fanned only four in his last outing but still flashed a 31 % CSW, and his sinker/curve combo should play against a Miami lineup that sits bottom-five in contact rate and strikes out 9.7 times per game. The Marlins’ projected order features six hitters with K-rates north of 25 %, while May has topped a 30 % whiff rate in two of his past three starts. Welsh pointed to the BettingPros EV tool, which flags the over as one of the day’s highest-edge props with a 58 % probability and plus-110 available at several books. He expects Dave Roberts to let May push past 90 pitches after a lighter workload last time out, giving the right-hander enough runway to rack up six or more punch-outs.

Data Skrive projected the Dodgers–Marlins game to clear the 8.5-run total, calling for a 6-3 final. Their model leaned Over because both offenses are humming—Los Angeles is averaging 5.5 runs with 14 homers across its last 10 games while Miami is at 5.1 runs with 13 long balls in the same span. Recent betting trends also support fireworks: the Over has cashed in 6 of the Dodgers’ last 10 and 8 of the Marlins’ last 10. Miami’s pitching is reeling with a 6.72 ERA over that stretch, and the Dodgers haven’t been stingy either (4.04 ERA). Add in hot bats from Teoscar Hernandez (seven-game hit streak, four HR in his last 10) and Shohei Ohtani (.350 over his last five), and Data Skrive advises bettors to hit the Over at ‑105 before the line nudges higher.

Data Skrive recommended backing Los Angeles at ‑191 on the moneyline, assigning a 63% win probability that closely mirrors the book’s implied 65.6%. The Dodgers have been a profitable chalk play, winning 18 of 26 games as favorites (69.2%) and posting a dominant 10-2 record when the price has been ‑191 or shorter. Miami, meanwhile, owns just a 38.5% success rate as an underdog in 2025 and is 4-8 when priced at +159 or longer. Recent form widens the gap: L.A. is 6-2 in its last eight as a favorite, whereas the Marlins’ staff carries a 6.72 ERA over the past 10 games. With the Dodgers’ lineup locked in—Hernandez leading MLB with 27 RBI and Ohtani riding a three-game hit streak—Data Skrive’s model projects a comfortable 6-3 victory and sees value in eating the chalk rather than chasing the +159 dog.

Matt LaMarca recommended playing Dustin May for fewer than 5.5 strikeouts on PrizePicks. The FantasyLabs simulation set projects May well below the posted line, showing just a 39.6% chance he reaches six Ks. That translates to a 60.4% probability for the under and a 6.1% expected value edge, making it a plus-EV pick in their model. LaMarca noted the pick is projection-driven and should be monitored for weather or lineup changes, but at publication the data pointed firmly toward the under.

Brad Francis backed the YES-Runs-First-Inning (YERFI) in Dodgers–Marlins. The betting tools show the YERFI has hit in Los Angeles’ last five games as a favorite against National League opponents. He expects the trend to continue with Edward Cabrera—who owns a 12.7% walk rate and has been tagged for a first-inning run in two of his last three starts—opposite Dustin May, who looked shaky in his season debut. Francis thinks the Dodgers can strike early, and a Cabrera walk plus a Freddie Freeman double could cash the ticket before Miami even bats.

Adam Pelletier advised taking Griffin Canning UNDER 15.5 outs recorded (essentially betting he fails to complete six innings) at even money. Pelletier noted that Canning has been stretched for high pitch counts recently but still is not missing bats—his strikeout rate sits below league average—making it tough for him to record quick outs. Washington’s lineup is a particularly bad matchup for a low-whiff pitcher; the Nationals rank near the bottom of MLB in strikeout percentage and have been swinging the bats much better of late, as evidenced by Sunday’s late offensive explosion. Pelletier added that Saturday’s rain-delay game forced some funky bullpen usage for L.A., meaning manager Ron Washington is likely to be cautious with Canning’s workload and bridge to the pen once he gets through five frames. All told, Pelletier expects Canning to throw roughly 80–85 pitches and exit in the fifth, making the under 15.5 outs a solid plus-EV play.

Guy Boston recommended Freddie Freeman over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at ‑135 (BetMGM), saying the underlying numbers dwarf his 0-for-10 career line against Edward Cabrera. Freeman has cleared this prop in seven of his past ten, averaging 2.7 H/R/RBI in that stretch, and holds a 59 % season hit rate (10 of 17, 2.35 per game). He has been especially lethal at Dodger Stadium, hitting the over in six straight home games with 3.3 H/R/RBI on average. The matchup metrics lean Freeman’s way: he mashes right-handed pitching at a .341 clip with a 187 WRC+, while Cabrera’s stats balloon against left-handed bats (6.03 ERA, .276 AVG, 1.8 HR/9, .370 wOBA). Outlier’s model grades every major split—average, ISO, wOBA—in bright green for Freeman. Boston acknowledged the zero hits in ten plate appearances versus Cabrera but framed it as an ‘extreme small sample’ outweighed by current form, park factor, and Cabrera’s worsening command. He labeled it a strong half-unit to full-unit play anchored by Freeman’s elite floor at home.

Martin is barking with Miami at +275 behind Edward Cabrera. The 27-year-old Dominican flamethrower touches 100 mph and has 18 strikeouts in 14 innings; his bloated 6.00 ERA stems from a single blow-up start. The fish are already acclimated to the West Coast after a series in Seattle, eliminating harsh travel. On the Dodgers side, Dustin May sports a solid 3.60 ERA but just threw his worst game of the year (5 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 3 BB) in Chicago, and Martin flagged a slight velo dip that could signal an underlying issue. He concedes L.A.’s 18-10 record and lineup quality but believes the true price should be far lower than –320/ +275, especially with May potentially compromised. A 4-3 Miami upset would cash nearly three-to-one, making the fish a value ‘big dog’ play.

Kingpin acknowledged –300 is steep for a straight moneyline and instead steered bettors to Dodgers –1.5. Dustin May has been ‘solid,’ while Edward Cabrera faces the unenviable task of navigating Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman in Chavez Ravine. With Los Angeles ‘loaded’ throughout the order, Kingpin projects a comfortable multi-run victory and noted Over 8.5 has merit if bettors want additional exposure.

Kingpin advised wagering on Mookie Betts 1+ hit. The perennial All-Star leads off for a juggernaut lineup, virtually guaranteeing four plate appearances against Cabrera and a mediocre Miami bullpen. Betts’ contact profile and ability to sprinkle doubles give this prop one of the highest floors on the entire slate.

Guy Boston leaned toward playing the Dodgers ‑0.5 first-five run line rather than laying –320 on the full game or paying –150 for the full-game ‑1.5. His case: Los Angeles dominates right-handed pitching (top-3 in wRC+ vs RHP) and should jump on Edward Cabrera, whose 6.14 ERA comes with a 13% walk rate and a .365 wOBA allowed to left-handed bats—bad news against Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and three more lefties up top. Cabrera relies on a four-seam/curve combo the Dodgers rate +18 runs above average against since Opening Day. Boston prefers isolating the first five innings because Dustin May’s 1.98 ERA and 0.93 WHIP at Dodger Stadium give L.A. a pronounced mound edge early, yet bullpen volatility or the Dodgers forfeiting their ninth-inning AB could burn a full-game ticket. He added that he may sprinkle on the L.A. team-total OVER 4.5 if the market opens there, but the first-five run line is his primary recommendation.

Greg Peterson said the only playable angle in a likely Dustin May-Edward Cabrera matchup is Dodgers –1.5 as long as it is –137 or better. He hung L.A. –300 on the moneyline and made the run-line –137 because the underlying numbers point to a comfortable Dodgers win: May has allowed just one homer in 22 IP while working back toward his pre-injury strikeout form (8.0 K/9) and still owns an elite ground-ball rate that neutralizes Miami’s station-to-station offense. Cabrera, by contrast, continues to have no idea where the ball is going—5.0 BB/9 for his career, three homers already in 14⅔ innings this season, and a 6.00 ERA that is only partially bad luck (4.85 FIP). Peterson stressed that Miami’s bullpen is gassed after Ronnie Enriquez soaked up multiple innings Sunday and long men Calvin Faucher and Anthony Bender have both been underperforming. The Dodgers can still mix and match with Tanner Scott, Kirby Yates, Evan Phillips, and rookie Ben Kasparius despite Brusdar Graterol and Blake Treinen being shelved. Offensively, even with Max Muncy below the Mendoza line, L.A. is rolling—Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani are carrying OBPs north of .400, Teoscar Hernandez has rediscovered his power stroke, and Kike Hernandez provides pop versus lefties. Peterson also leaned under 8½ because he doubts the Marlins help the total, making the game 8.3 runs, but the stronger edge is riding the Dodgers to win by multiple runs.

Kenny G leaned toward laying the hefty –315 with Los Angeles, calling it the play he ‘thinks will hit’ on a short slate. His confidence stems from a lopsided matchup: Miami hands the ball to Edward Cabrera (6.14 ERA, a homer allowed in every start) and drags a 4.54 bullpen ERA that sits bottom-10. The Dodgers counter with Dustin May, whose lone blow-up versus Chicago masks three quality starts and just one homer surrendered all season. Even if May is merely average, L.A.’s offense—10th in runs, 4th in slugging and riding outputs of 9-8-0-6-10—figures to break Cabrera early. Kenny noted the Marlins’ gaudy team batting average is propped up by BABIP luck and expects regression against Dodger arms. With Los Angeles 18-10 overall and 9-6 at home, he conceded the juice is scary but argued the probability of a Dodger win still makes the moneyline playable or usable as a parlay anchor.

Dylan Rockford laid out a full-throated case for attacking the alternate run line and grabbed Dodgers –2.5 at +114. He called Edward Cabrera “a complete fade” because the right-hander cannot control the running game (multiple steals allowed in every start), hands out free passes (2-plus walks in all four outings) and now makes his first road appearance of the season. The matchup gets even uglier in Dodger Stadium where Los Angeles has scored 6-plus runs in back-to-back games and owns a .355 wOBA at home. Rockford expects Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani to be active on the basepaths, further punishing Cabrera’s slow delivery. He is not worried about Dustin May, noting the Dodgers have won both of May’s home starts by multiple runs while he has surrendered just one earned run over 11 Dodger-Stadium innings. With Miami’s offense ranking bottom-five in road OPS and a taxed Marlins bullpen behind Cabrera, Rockford labeled the plus-money –2.5 his favorite underdog play of the slate.

It's The Final Round recommended backing Shohei Ohtani’s offensive props against Edward Cabrera. Cabrera’s most-used pitch is a change-up (36 %) that opponents hit .250 on, while Ohtani sits .333 with a homer off that pitch. Cabrera’s curve (31 %) and sinker (15 %) also grade as merely average (.250 and .167 allowed), but his four-seam – though thrown only 13 % – is a disaster (.667 allowed). Ohtani is 7-for-22 (.318) with 2 HR on four-seamers this season and owns a lifetime 2-for-5 (.400) mark versus Cabrera. With hits in five of his last eight games, the tout expects Ohtani to out-perform recent lukewarm form and clear his hit or hits+runs+RBIs lines, or slot into a hit parlay.

Romanelli advised grabbing the Marlins +1.5 or even sprinkling the moneyline because Miami has been a top-six moneyline profiteer in 2025 whereas the Dodgers are down a few units despite their record. He argued Edward Cabrera is far better than his 6.14 ERA thanks to elite strikeout stuff, and Miami’s offense has shown real improvement versus right-handed pitching. Conversely, Dustin May owns sparkling surface numbers but carries regression flags: low strikeout rate and extremely low BABIP. Given the price disparity and profitability trends, Romanelli feels the value sits squarely with Miami.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed Los Angeles to win and cover the run line, pointing to Edward Cabrera’s 6.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and at least two walks plus one homer surrendered in every start. Miami is 1-2 when he pitches and sports a 4-7 road record. The Dodgers snapped their skid and now sit just a half-game out of first, with their lineup scoring six-plus in four of the last five contests. Even if Dustin May’s walk rate (three free passes in three of four outings) remains elevated, the tout trusts L.A.’s top-five offense and a bullpen that ranks seventh in ERA to handle a Marlins club coming off a 14-10 slugfest loss and sitting 6.5 games out in the NL East.