It's The Final Round said Lawrence Butler is a go-to prop option against Zebby Matthews. Matthews has only three big-league appearances but is already surrendering a .310 average to left-handed bats and an ugly 38.9% sweet-spot launch angle that ranks 314th of 368 qualified pitchers. Butler is destroying right-handers over the last 10 days with a .435 average on 29 plate appearances and has cashed his single-hit prop in 8 of those 10 games. He has also cleared hits+runs+RBIs, runs, and total-bases props in at least 70% of that span. The tout plans to play whichever of those markets open at a reasonable juice (he drew the line at anything worse than –175), noting the matchup provides ceiling across the board.

Lonte Smith plans to attack the yet-to-be-lined Twins–Athletics matchup by taking Oakland in both the first-three and first-five innings behind Jeffrey Springs. Springs was torched for six earned his last time out but had allowed only seven total runs across his previous five starts and still flashes a swing-and-miss changeup that plays up early in games. Opposing rookie Zebby Matthews has been shaky—ten earned runs in his first three MLB outings and an 8.71 ERA the second time through the order—prompting Smith to fade him before Minnesota’s hot lineup can dig in a third time. The A’s are hitting .250 over their last ten and profile better versus right-handers, while Springs owns a 3.30 ERA the first two trips through a lineup despite a bloated 5.88 mark at home overall. Lonte expects Oakland to be leading 2-1 or 3-1 by inning five and prefers isolating the early frames to avoid the A’s shaky bullpen.

Razzle is eager to roster Zebby Matthews, highlighting a juiced-over 5.5 strikeout prop and Oakland’s current freefall at the plate (27 % K rate, .280 wOBA last two weeks). Matthews’ fastball/slider combo has produced a 31 % whiff rate since his call-up, and he is regularly cleared for 95+ pitches. Target Field can surrender homers, but the A’s rank bottom-5 in ISO against righties, mitigating that risk. Razzle sees 6-8 strikeouts and a path to 20 DK points at mid-tier salary, making Matthews one of his core GPP exposures.

Zerillo grabbed Over 9.5 (would play Over 10 to –105) in Twins-A’s at Sutter Health Park, making the game 10.3 runs once he layers in hitter-friendly variables. Sacramento’s minor-league yard is already inflating power numbers and Tuesday brings 83-degree temps with a 10-mph breeze out to left. Umpire Alfonso Marquez is another boost; his career 53% over rate and +3% run-environment delta nudged Zerillo’s projection up almost a half-run. The pitching matchup screams offense too. Oakland opener/long-man Jacob Lopez owns no pitch above a 93 Stuff+ and carries a 3.90 xERA across two starts plus relief work; Stuff-model grades label him a “gas can.” He rarely tops five innings, meaning an early-door bullpen game for an A’s relief corps that ranks bottom-five in xFIP. On the other side, Pablo Lopez is surrendering more air contact than ever (ground-ball rate below 40%) and historically struggles in heat and humidity, evidenced by the homer spike he showed in Tampa. Zerillo believes the market is still hanging outdated 9.5s at a park whose totals routinely close 10. He will keep ‘banging the over’ until books adjust, recommending Over 9.5 to –120 or Over 10 to –105.

Mills Young targeted Pablo Lopez over 6.0 strikeouts because the Athletics add an extra K to almost every power pitcher they face. He pointed out that hurlers typically exceed their season average by roughly one strikeout against Oakland’s league-high 27 % whiff rate. With Lopez already carrying a 29 % strikeout clip, Young projects 7+ Ks and trusts the matchup more than bettors leaning to the under.

Beermakersfan added Carlos Correa as the third — and most important — piece of his Twins core. Correa leads Minnesota with a near-.500 wOBA and a .400+ ISO against left-handed pitching, numbers that rank among MLB’s leaders. Beer emphasized that Correa is only $3,900 DK / $2,900 FD despite top-shelf power, and Oakland’s bullpen (6.00+ ERA) neutralizes any concern about opener Lopez being pulled quickly. With wind blowing out and temperatures up, Beer believes Correa has a multi-RBI ceiling at bargain pricing.

Beermakersfan recommended Ryan Jeffers as a salary-saving catcher who still carries double-dong upside in tournaments. Jeffers is just $3 k on FanDuel and under $4 k on DraftKings yet produced a .392 wOBA and .256 ISO against lefties last year. Even if opener Lopez exits early, Beer isn’t concerned because Oakland’s bullpen sports an MLB-worst 6+ ERA while surrendering the most runs and hits in baseball. Combined with hitter-friendly weather, Jeffers is Beer’s favorite way to fill the toughest DFS roster spot while correlating with a Twins stack.

Beermakersfan said Byron Buxton is a priority tournament play because he’s locked-in at the plate and draws a dream matchup with Oakland’s opener Hogan Harris (a lefty) and the league-worst A’s bullpen. Buxton owns a .453 wOBA and .346 ISO versus southpaws this season and his underlying batted-ball data is even louder: 72 % hard-hit rate and 16.8 % barrel rate against left-handed pitching. With warm temperatures and the wind blowing out in Sacramento, Beer expects Buxton’s power upside to spike and views him as the cornerstone of a Twins stack on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Jordan Cooper said Pablo Lopez is the most under-owned pitcher on the slate. RotoGrinders sims give Lopez a 28 % chance of landing in the optimal lineup, yet his projected ownership sits around 20 %. That 9-point gap makes him the best leverage arm in large-field DFS tournaments. Cooper likes that Lopez faces an Oakland lineup striking out 24.8 % of the time and carrying just a 3.28 implied total. At 9.3 K salary, Lopez lets you capture ace-level strikeout upside without eating Spencer Strider–level chalk.

Guy Boston bypassed an expensive Minnesota moneyline and instead looked to the offensive side, advising a play on the Twins’ team-total over. He respects Pablo Lopez on the mound but worries the right-hander’s heavy four-seam/changeup combo can allow a few Oakland runs, nudging the full-game total upward. On the flip side, he sees little chance Jacob Lopez quiets a Minnesota lineup that ranks top-10 in xSLG and is fresh off a 10-run explosion. Boston expects the Twins to force Lopez into hitters’ counts where his mid-90s heater gets hammered (.392 xwOBA allowed), projecting 5–6 Minnesota runs. He is comfortable at 4.5 (–120 or better) or a full-game over if team totals are unavailable.

Razzle called Pablo Lopez a near-automatic roster. Oakland is 1-18 in its last 19 and sports a 27% K rate versus right-handers during that span. Lopez’s 6.5 K prop reflects the mismatch, and the tout reminded listeners that Lopez has flashed slate-winning upside all year (three games with double-digit Ks). Coming off an ugly outing, Lopez should be low-owned yet carries one of the safest paths to the quality start bonus on the slate.

Romanelli leaned Twins moneyline because Oakland is rolling out Jacob Lopez, who was torched for seven runs in his last start and owns a 6.54 ERA over his past four. Even if Pablo Lopez coughs up a homer or two in homer-happy Sacramento, Minnesota’s lineup should feast on Jacob plus a bullpen ranking bottom-five in WHIP. The Twins carry a sizable late-inning advantage and have plated 15 runs over their last two games, making the current road price palatable for Ron.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Twins moneyline. Pablo Lopez has historically owned Oakland and now faces an A’s squad inventing new ways to lose. Jacob Lopez has struggled, and the Athletics’ 6.17 bullpen ERA/1.67 WHIP offers little late-game resistance. Minnesota’s offense is near full strength with Byron Buxton back, and even on the road the tout expects the Twins to jump out early and cruise.

Jeff Fox made Minnesota -157 on the moneyline his best bet for Monday’s matchup in Sacramento. He pointed to a massive form and talent gap: the Twins are 20-10 over their last 30 games and rate +0.5 runs per game better than league-average by advanced metrics (9th in MLB), while the nomadic Athletics sit at 9-19 in their temporary minor-league home with a league-worst –1.8 run differential. Fox highlighted Joe Ryan’s career year—5-2 record, 2.57 ERA, 0.83 WHIP (third-best in MLB)—against an Oakland lineup that has struggled to score at Sutter Health Park. Although Luis Severino owns strong surface numbers for the A’s, the club is just 1-? in his starts, underscoring Oakland’s lack of run support. With Minnesota’s recent surge and a clear pitching edge, Fox argued the current price still offers value despite laying juice.

Derek Carty recommended betting Carlos Correa OVER 0.5 HR at +700. THE BAT X gives the slugger a 14% chance to go deep (EV +$11.84). Carty highlighted the forecasted 85-degree heat—hottest on Monday’s slate—pointing to the well-established link between higher temperatures, increased carry, and more homers.

Todd Zola recommended streaming Luis Severino despite the right-hander’s 6.20 ERA at Sutter Health Park. Severino’s home xFIP is actually lower than his road mark, and the visiting Twins own a below-average offense versus righties—especially away from Target Field. With park-adjusted metrics suggesting positive regression, Zola put Severino 'in play' for Monday spot-starts in standard leagues.

Zerillo grabbed the Athletics at +140 (good to +130) even though Oakland has dropped 15 of 16. He prices Minnesota at only -119. Joe Ryan owns the better underlying numbers (3.18 xERA, 26% K-BB) but remains homer-prone (career 1.40 HR/9) in a park boosting runs by 25% and homers by 18%. Luis Severino’s new sinker has curbed his own long-ball issues, a key fit for the Coliseum. Oakland’s offense is quietly legitimate—7th in MLB wRC+—while the Twins sit 19th. Minnesota’s bullpen is superior, but overall projection and matchup factors (park, offensive splits, Ryan’s fly-ball profile) make the home dog attractive at +130 or better.

Reichel is laying the short chalk with Minnesota because Luis Severino has been two different pitchers: a microscopic 0.87 ERA on the road but a gruesome 6.20 at home in Sacramento, where the ball absolutely flies. Oakland has dropped four straight Severino starts—three by multiple runs—and now faces Joe Ryan, whose 3.26 FIP and 26% K-rate profile far better than the A’s league-worst .283 OBP. Reichel dismissed Minnesota’s quiet weekend in Seattle, pointing out Oakland’s offense has cratered during a 2-11 slide. He made the Twins closer to ‑180 and would scale to the run line if the price creeps.

Eric Lindquist said he is leaning toward both the Oakland moneyline and the full-game Over 9.5 runs in Monday’s neutral-site matchup being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field. He reminded viewers that the spring-training/AAA yard plays as a launching pad, just like other minor-league parks that have produced crooked scores all season. With books still hanging totals and sides as if the game were in a standard MLB stadium, Lindquist expects mis-pricing. The smaller dimensions and generally hitter-friendly backdrop should juice offense, adding variance that favors the underdog Athletics. He hinted that anything +120 or better on Oakland and any 9.5 total juiced to the under will land on his official card, telling listeners to watch his X feed and premium Discord for the final post.

Just A Bet Outside’s second leg of the parlay is Twins over 3.5 runs. Minnesota has hammered right-handed pitching on the road since May 1, ranking 11th in WRC+, seventh in slugging, 10th in ISO, eighth in lowest K-rate and tied for second with 18 road homers versus righties. The lineup just erupted for 17 runs in Seattle. They now face Luis Severino, whose bizarre splits include a 6.20 ERA and .274 average against at home in Oakland’s hitter-friendly park versus a sub-1.00 ERA on the road. All four homers he has allowed have come at home, where recent outings yielded eight, four and three earned runs. With another 9-plus run total and good weather, the actual full team total is juiced over 4.5, so the tout loves getting four-plus at reduced juice.

Kenny G gave a modest endorsement to Minnesota at −160, citing a pronounced pitching edge. Joe Ryan has rattled off four premium starts in his last five (2.57 season ERA) and hands the ball to a bullpen that sits fifth in MLB at 3.25 ERA. Luis Severino has looked sharp for Oakland in three straight turns, but the A’s are 0-4 in those outings and will eventually expose the league’s worst bullpen (6.17 ERA). Offensively, Kenny admitted neither team inspires confidence—the Twins sit 22nd in runs and 21st in average, while the A’s have cooled to mid-pack in scoring—but he trusts Ryan to out-duel Severino long enough for Minnesota’s vastly superior relief corps to secure a win. Because the Twins struggle to score and own a 13-19 road record, he labeled it the “smallest of small leans” rather than a full-unit play.

Steven said Joe Ryan is his top K target Monday in Oakland. The A's have the ninth-highest strike-out rate versus right-handed pitching over the last three weeks (22.8%). Ryan has 72 strikeouts in 63 innings this season and logged seven or more Ks in five of his previous six starts before a two-game dip. Although his strike-out rate is lower on the road (26.3% vs 34.3% at home), Ryan still boasts a massive 38.4% K-rate against right-handed hitters, and Oakland’s lineup is predominantly righty. Steven recommended betting the over on Ryan’s strike-out line and building DFS lineups around him.