JD Bets hammered San Francisco over 4.5 runs at –130, calling German Marquez "probably the worst pitcher in baseball right now." Marquez has surrendered 5, 7, 6 and 7 earned runs in four straight outings while giving up double-digit hits twice. JD’s prop sheet shows an 80 % hit rate on Marquez allowing 3.5+ earned runs, and Oracle Park features a 14 mph wind blowing straight out to center, further juicing fly-ball distance. Giants bats have several strong historical matchups: Matt Chapman (6-for-12, HR) and Mike Yastrzemski (5-for-8, HR) headline a lineup that owns a .300+ collective average against struggling right-handers. Even if Marquez exits early, JD trusts Colorado’s bottom-five bullpen to cough up additional damage. He passed on the steep –350 money line and Logan Webb props, but is convinced San Francisco reaches five runs, "probably by the fifth inning."

The simulation sees a comfortable 5-3 Giants win and pairs Giants –350 with the Under 7.5. Logan Webb (3-2, 2.83 ERA) sports a 55% ground-ball rate that plays perfectly at Oracle Park, while German Marquez drags in a 9.82 ERA and .356 opponent average amid velocity woes. Colorado’s league-worst 6-27 record and an anemic 63 road wRC+ further tilt the matchup. With San Francisco’s bullpen fresh after an off-day, the model expects the Rockies’ offense to stay quiet, making a run-line lean or parlaying with the Under viable angles.

Brad Francis took Rockies team total over 2.5 runs. Colorado has cleared this number in three of its last four meetings with San Francisco, and Francis believes Jordan Hicks’ sinker-slider mix is vulnerable to elevation in Coors-like conditions at Oracle Park’s afternoon start. Even with the Rockies owning MLB’s worst record, Francis thinks three runs are well within reach against Hicks and a Giants bullpen that ranks 25th in ERA.

Perrault paired San Francisco with Boston in his two-team money-line parlay, largely because Colorado is a team he plans to ‘fade a ton’ on the road. The Rockies are 6-27 overall and an abysmal 2-16 away from Coors Field. German Marquez has been a disaster outside Denver, lugging a 10.57 road ERA (18 ER in 15.1 IP) with opponents batting .368. Overall he’s 0-5 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.06 WHIP. Logan Webb counters with a steady 3-2 record and 2.83 ERA for San Francisco, and the Giants’ lineup is ‘capable of mashing’ according to Perrault. Rockies’ lone road win in this series came in the opener; the next two games went 4-0 and 6-3 to San Fran. With the Rockies pacing for just 28 wins, Perrault feels comfortable laying −300 in a parlay, turning the combined Red Sox/Giants ticket into a manageable −115 price.

Dan Servodidio hammered the Giants -1.5 runline (full-game at -155 and 1st-five at -105) because every underlying metric screams blow-out. Logan Webb owns a 2.83 ERA, 1.75 FIP and personal-best 29.9% strikeout rate (86th percentile) while keeping walks to 6.6% and barrels to 4.7%. He has historically dominated at Oracle Park with a 2.69 career home ERA and now faces a Rockies lineup that is comically inept away from Coors: .242 wOBA, 49 wRC+, .187 AVG and 28.1% K rate vs RHP on the road. Colorado as a club is 2-16 on the road in 2025, dropping 13 of those games by multiple runs. On the other side, German Marquez drags a 9.82 ERA through six starts, allowing 6+ runs in four straight, and sports a 6.62 career ERA vs San Francisco, 5.32 at Oracle. Opponents average 7.3 runs in his outings this year. Even though the Giants' offense is only league-average vs righties (.309 wOBA, 101 wRC+), Servodidio views this as a pure fade of Marquez coupled with Webb’s ace form and Colorado’s historically bad road trend, making the runline the preferred play in both the full game and first five innings.

Reichel played the game over 8 runs despite Oracle Park’s pitcher-friendly reputation. Jordan Hicks (6.12 ERA) has surrendered five earned in three of his last four outings, while Karl Feltner owns a 4.75 ERA and has already been tagged for five runs in two of his past three. The Giants’ bullpen remains volatile and Colorado’s relief corps is even worse. Add in a 14-mph wind blowing straight out to center and Reichel projects double-digit scoring even if the Rockies’ punchless road lineup chips in only three or four. He prefers the full-game over to the San Francisco run line because both starters are liabilities.

Mike Maher flagged Jordan Beck as the most exciting widely-available bat on waivers. Through 21 big-league games the 24-year-old is slashing .267/.362/.535 with five homers and four steals while hitting in the top half of the Rockies order. Maher likes the across-the-board category juice—especially the double-digit walk rate that boosts OBP and points formats—and pointed to Beck’s Statcast page: 94th-percentile barrel rate, 98th-percentile sweet-spot %, elite hard-hit and bat-speed metrics. The warts are obvious (33 % K-rate, 1st-percentile whiff, 8th-percentile squared-up rate) so the floor is “back in Triple-A,” but Maher would rather chase Coors-field upside than a lukewarm replacement-level outfielder. He noted the roster splits (Yahoo 26 %, ESPN 9 %, CBS 44 %) as a tell that sharper leagues are already moving, and recommended grabbing Beck now in any 12-team, five-OF roto league before the CBS crowd forces the rest of the market to react.

Prediction: Giants 6-4. Despite Jordan Hicks’ 6.12 ERA, the model loves San Francisco -275 because Colorado counters with Bradley Blalock, who has surrendered a 10.29 ERA in limited action. Add in the Rockies’ 6-26 record and Oracle Park’s pitcher-friendly dimensions, and the play is Giants moneyline and over 8 runs.

Erik Halterman advised picking up Jordan Beck immediately, especially with Colorado set to play two full home weeks in the next three. Since being recalled, Beck owns a 1.216 OPS with five homers over 12 games while batting second every day for the Rockies. Contact is still a concern (33 % K-rate in that span), but Halterman noted his minor-league strikeout rates of 25 % and 23 % suggest he can settle around league average. Even middling contact skills play at Coors, and Beck brings enough raw power and a bit of speed to offset the whiffs during this favorable schedule.

Cash Out Sports Picks also played the full-game OVER, citing two shaky starters and hitter-friendly weather. Jordan Hicks’ ERA has ballooned to 7.52 across his five April turns, and Colorado owns a .258/.303/.581 slash in 31 career at-bats against him. The Rockies counter with rookie Bradley Blalock, saddled with a 10.29 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in just seven innings, now facing a Giants lineup that averages 4.52 runs per game. A steady 16-mph wind blowing straight out to center further boosts home-run potential in Oracle Park. With both pens likely needed early—despite San Francisco’s strength—Cash Out Sports Picks projects enough crooked numbers from each side to sail past the posted total.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the -1.5 with San Francisco, saying the matchup is lopsided on several fronts. The Giants have won seven of their past nine at Oracle Park while Colorado has dropped nine of ten on the road and owns MLB’s worst overall mark at 6-26. Ryan Feltner’s road woes continue—eight earned in three away starts—and he has been torched for nine runs in his last three outings versus San Francisco. The Rockies’ bullpen offers no relief, ranking near the bottom in consistency metrics, whereas the Giants’ pen sits second in MLB with a 2.47 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and the league’s lowest opponent average. Even if Jordan Hicks’ 6.12 ERA surfaces, that relief corps can slam the door. Add in Colorado’s 12-20 record against the run line and Cash Out Sports Picks expects a multi-run Giants victory to cash the spread.

Garofolo’s Saturday card rounds out with Under 8.5 runs at -122 in the same Rockies–Giants clash. The Dimers engine assigns a 58.2% probability to the under, 3.3% higher than the 55% break-even rate. Simulations expect heavy marine layer conditions at first pitch and project both offenses for sub-300 wOBA marks against left-handed pitching. Factor in Oracle Park’s league-second-lowest HR Park Factor (0.71) and two bullpens ranking top-10 in hard-hit suppression over the last month, and the model leans toward a low-scoring afternoon.

Garofolo’s model also recommends a smaller stake on the Rockies moneyline at +240. The simulations give Colorado a 32.9% win probability; the betting market implies only 29.4%, yielding a 3.5% positive expected value. The edge stems from the model projecting Giants starter Tristan Beck for just 4.1 innings after a recent velocity dip, forcing an over-taxed bullpen to carry the load. With Rockies rookie southpaw Carson Palmquist owning a 29% strikeout rate at AAA and a favorable ground-ball profile for spacious Oracle Park, the algorithm finds enough upset equity to justify a plus-odds stab.

Dave Garofolo said the Dimers predictive analytics model fired on Rockies +1.5 at +114. After thousands of simulations the algorithm gives Colorado a 51.7% chance to cover, versus an implied 46.7% probability at the posted odds—creating a 4.9% expected value edge. The play is strictly numbers-driven: the model grades San Francisco as overvalued on the run line in a neutral-park matchup and expects the Rockies’ bullpen improvements (3.62 ERA over the last two weeks) to keep them within a run more than half the time.

In the same matchup Peterson also grabbed Over 8 (projected 8.3). Hicks’ better peripherals (3.67 FIP) mean the Giants should supply runs, while Blalovk’s wildness and a thin Colorado bullpen give San Francisco blow-up potential. Even a punch-less Rockies offense can chip in against a Giants pen that entered Friday only 18th in ERA, helping push the game past the modest total.

Peterson laid -110 on Giants -1.5 because Rockies emergency starter Bradley Blalovk brings a career 6.69 ERA, 5.5 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 into Oracle Park. Even though Jordan Hicks has a surface 6.12 ERA, his 3.67 FIP and only two homers allowed in six starts signal sharp positive regression. Colorado’s lineup is the league’s worst on the road at just 2.2 RPG, giving San Francisco a clear path to win by multiple runs.

Bryan Leonard advised playing the San Francisco Giants first-half team total over 2.5 runs versus Colorado. He wants to attack Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela, who owns a 5.22 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, and only 13 strikeouts in 29.1 innings while ranking in the 20th percentile or worse in most run-prevention metrics. Colorado is 2-14 on the road, sports a league-worst –76 run differential, and carries an anemic 64 WRC+—36% below league average. The bullpen is stretched after substitute closer Zach Agnos worked two straight nights and has managed just one strikeout across 7.1 scoreless innings. Despite playing 28 of their 32 games against winning clubs, the Giants are 19-13, and Leonard expects their lineup to jump on Senzatela early. Fading a shaky starter and tired ‘pen, he projects San Francisco to score at least three runs before the sixth inning.

Jim Turvey likes Antonio Senzatela over 2.5 strikeouts at -132, calling the right-hander’s current single-digit K-rate comically unsustainable. His swinging-strike, called-strike and O-swing percentages all mirror his career norms (13% K-rate historically), velocity is intact, and overall Pitching+ is unchanged, with a bump in Location+ offsetting a small dip in Stuff+. Turvey believes the tiny early-season sample is masking true talent. The matchup sweetens the play: San Francisco strikes out at a top-10 clip versus righties and owns a bottom-10 wRC+ in that split. Three punch-outs should come naturally if Senzatela simply regresses to his norm.

Collin Whitchurch is grabbing Colorado at +230 (and will wait for +240+ if the public pumps it higher). He framed the bet as a pure numbers play: his projection shows value on the Rockies despite their awful record because the market habitually discounts them. Giants left-hander Robbie Ray is as volatile as they come, especially with his spotty command, and that introduces high-end upside for Colorado in any given start. Collin noted that taking big underdogs with legitimate price edges is a long-term winning strategy—even if you enter each individual game expecting to lose more often than not.

Razzle pegged Robbie Ray as a volatile tournament flier. Colorado owns the league’s 2nd-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching away from Coors, and Ray’s slider can exploit that despite his control hiccups. The Giants are moderate favorites, and Ray’s K prop is expected around 6.0 once posted. Razzle warns of the walk/homer risk but believes the path to eight strikeouts at sub-5% ownership justifies sprinkling him into MME builds.

JD Bets hammered Antonio Senzatela OVER 5.5 hits allowed in Friday night’s tilt at Oracle Park. The Rockies right-hander has been a walking batting-practice machine, surrendering 10, 8, 9, 6 and 8 hits in his last five turns—an 8.3 average that dwarfs the posted line and makes him 5-for-5 to the over this season. While San Francisco’s offense has been middling (7.5 hits per game), JD argued that Senzatela’s 100 percent over rate and 4.1 ERA mean even a lukewarm lineup can push him past six safeties. Historical data backs the fade: Senzatela finished 2023 allowing at least six hits in three straight and has never shown an out pitch to lefties (.324 AVG against this year). JD admitted he does not "trust the Giants bats" but said the matchup is "target practice" and expects Kapler to leave the veteran in long enough for the damage to pile up.

Beermakersfan highlighted Mike Yastrzemski as a low-priced tournament hammer. Yaz owns a .442 wOBA and .265 ISO against right-handers this year, both top-10 marks in baseball, and comes in hot with four multi-hit games in his last seven. He now faces Antonio Senzatela, arguably the slate’s softest target: 6.6 % K-rate vs LHB, near .400 wOBA allowed, 47 % hard-hit rate. With virtually no strikeout risk and a park bump at Coors-adjacent conditions, Yastrzemski profiles as a mid-tier bat who carries elite ceiling at sub-5 K salary.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the run-line with San Francisco, arguing the matchup tilts heavily toward the Giants. Robbie Ray owns a 2.50 ERA in six starts and has yielded only five earned over 18 Oracle Park innings this season. Colorado’s lineup has been helpless versus southpaws lately, slogging to a 56 WRC+ against left-handed pitching during the last ten days. On the flip side, Antonio Senzatela has never fooled this roster—current Giants hitters are 9-for-29 (.310) with three doubles and a homer off him—and his 4.88 road ERA since 2023 does not inspire confidence. The handicapper also pointed to recent dominance in the rivalry: San Francisco has won seven of the last ten overall and was 6-0 in its previous six home games against the Rockies before Thursday’s late collapse, a result he labeled a fluke. With the Giants bullpen ranking top-10 in FIP and the superior starter on the mound, the tout expects San Francisco to win comfortably and cover the spread.

Bettor Mark built a plus-100 same-game parlay built around a 4-1 type Giants victory: 1) San Francisco to NOT bat in the 9th, 2) Colorado to score over 0.5 runs, and 3) Giants to score 4+ runs. He trusts Robbie Ray to keep the Rockies in check while expecting at least a token run from Colorado’s bats. Meanwhile, the Giants offense should have no trouble plating four against MLB’s worst pitching staff. If San Francisco holds a late lead, avoids a bottom-of-the-ninth at-bat, and the final lands in the 4-1 neighborhood, all three legs cash. Mark sees this as a creative way to turn a lopsided matchup into an even-money ticket.

Peterson laid -1.5 with San Francisco at -120 (he priced it -148) because Colorado is averaging a miserable 2.1 runs at home and now heads to a tougher run environment. Antonio Senzatela has been shelled in three of his last four starts, giving up 2.1 HR/9 with only 4 K/9. Robbie Ray’s 3.73 ERA is serviceable, and the Giants are 6-0 in his outings despite his 5.5 BB/9. San Francisco’s bullpen ERA is nearly two runs better than Colorado’s, making the two-run cushion more attainable.

Kelly Kirby said Jung Hoo Lee still profiles as a reliable batting-average asset but warned that the early-season power spike is unsustainable. When Lee was running a .526 slug Kirby considered a sell-high, yet two weeks later she remains bullish on the floor because Lee’s bat-to-ball skills are elite. His whiff rate sits comfortably below league average and his spray chart shows hard contact to all fields, supporting a .300+ average. The Statcast page, however, has cooled from "all red" to merely solid, and Kirby doubts he can maintain a 25-homer pace in Oracle Park. Her plan: hold or buy if the market is scared by the recent dip, but price him as a batting-average/stolen-base contributor who finishes closer to 15–18 homers than 25.

Romanelli’s favorite total is the under at Oracle Park. He expects Robbie Ray—fresh off a 7-IP, 8-K gem—to handle a Colorado offense that just struck out 12 times against Chris Sale. Ray’s swing-and-miss profile plays in spacious Oracle, and Antonio Senzatela brings a solid 3.02 road ERA to face a Giants lineup with worrisome underlying metrics. Given two strikeout-prone offenses, a marine layer–friendly park, and bullpens he trusts more than the bats, Romanelli projected a low-scoring game and bet the under.

Joe Pisapia recommended betting the over on Justin Verlander’s 6.5 strikeout prop against Colorado. The Rockies lead MLB in team strikeout rate, and Oracle Park gives the veteran a roomy backdrop to attack hitters with his rising four-seamer. Pisapia framed the matchup as a "way-back machine" game where even a 42-year-old Verlander can pile up Ks thanks to Colorado’s league-worst contact ability.

Joe Pisapia said managers looking for a streamer should fire up Justin Verlander against Colorado. The Rockies have yet to score 100 total runs this season and rank near the bottom of every major offensive category. With San Francisco’s park working in Verlander’s favor and Colorado’s bats ice-cold away from Coors, Pisapia believes this is the perfect soft landing spot while the veteran builds up. He framed it as a low-risk, high-reward start that could help in both ratio and strikeout categories for weekly leaguers and DFS players alike.

Johnny Venezia said fantasy managers should keep Chase Dollander rather than panic-sell despite his ugly 7.91 ERA and 1.71 WHIP through his first month at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Venezia highlighted the rookie’s still-impressive 23.3% strikeout rate and electric four-to-five-pitch arsenal. The problem, in his view, is tactical: Dollander is leaning on his fastball 53% of the time, even in 0-2 and 1-2 counts, letting hitters sit on it and square it up—eight long balls so far—ballooning his ERA and pitch counts. Venezia expects the right-hander to rebalance his pitch mix as he gains experience, smoothing out the ratios. Calling him a pre-season Rookie-of-the-Year dark horse with eventual Cy Young upside, Venezia urged fantasy players to ride out the bumps and not move the rookie at a low point in perceived value.

Joe Pisapia’s top strikeout prop of the day is Justin Verlander over 6.5 punch-outs against Colorado. The Rockies lead MLB in strikeout rate on the road (24.8%) and have yet to reach 100 total runs, producing a 60 wRC+ away from Coors. Verlander’s pitch count climbed to 92 last time out and his four-seam velocity ticked up to 94.3 mph, suggesting the veteran is stretched to go 6-7 innings. Pisapia forecasted a vintage K day—projecting 7-8 strikeouts given Colorado’s 30% whiff rate versus four-seamers and curveballs—and labeled the over playable to –130 juice.

Joe Pisapia recommended streaming Justin Verlander in all season-long formats and rolling him out in DFS for his start versus Colorado. Pisapia pointed out that the Rockies have yet to score 100 total runs this season – dead last in MLB – and their wRC+ away from Coors sits near the 60 mark. Facing a punchless lineup that strikes out 24% of the time on the road, Verlander should have a soft landing to build length and rack up Ks as he rounds into form. Pisapia framed it as the ideal ‘spot start’ for managers who have been holding Verlander on the wire or bench, projecting 6–7 strong innings with quality-start upside.

Guy Boston advised taking Patrick Bailey under 1.5 hits-runs-RBIs in tonight’s home tilt with Colorado. Bailey has stayed below this line in eight of his last ten (0.7 H+R+RBI per game) and 17 of 25 on the season (68 % under). He is batting just .160 overall and an even worse .136 versus left-handed pitching, producing a feeble 20.4 WRC+ in that split. Opposing starter Kyle Freeland gives up only a .161 average and .211 wOBA to right-handed bats—Bailey will hit right-handed as a switch-hitter—while Bailey’s limited six-PA sample against Freeland has yielded no extra-base hits or RBI. Although Freeland’s numbers balloon versus lefties, the tout trusts Bailey’s own struggles to keep him quiet, pricing the under at –160 on BetMGM and slotting it as the second leg of the ladder-challenge parlay.

Scott Reichel laid the Giants –1.5 at even money, calling Colorado a "fake baseball team" worth fading until further notice. Reichel noted Justin Verlander appears to have righted the ship, surrendering only three earned runs over his last 12 innings and dragging his ERA below 5.00. On the other side Kyle Freeland sits at 0-4 with a 5.97 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and has been shelled for six runs in two of his last three outings. Freeland’s two road starts have produced eight runs in 11⅔ innings, and Colorado’s bullpen was forced to cover extra frames Wednesday after starter Dollander left injured. The Rockies are a league-worst 1-14 on the road while San Francisco is 9-4 at Oracle Park. Reichel added that Colorado opponents have plated at least six runs in four of the last five games (run totals of 8-6-8-6-8), so getting even money to lay a run and a half with the clearly superior lineup, pitcher, and pen was “a gift.”

Dylan Rockford recommended attacking the same matchup through the Giants’ team-total over, projecting at least five runs on Thursday night. Rockford pointed out that Colorado pitchers have been gas-canning for over a week—allowing run totals of 8, 6, 8, 6, and 8 in their last five—and that Kyle Freeland has coughed up 5-plus runs in three of four April starts. Freeland’s overall 6.00-ish ERA is backed by a 1.45 WHIP and miserable road splits (8 ER in 11⅔ IP). Oracle Park will feature an 11-mph wind blowing toward center, and San Francisco owns a .250 team average at home. With Colorado’s bullpen overworked after covering extra innings Wednesday, Rockford sees no path to suppressing the Giants’ bats and expects six or more runs, making any team-total 4.5 or lower “an autoplay.”

Lindquist is flirting with the Rockies money-line at +200 or better in San Francisco. Oracle Park suppresses run variance, and he does not trust Justin Verlander’s current profile—just a 21 % K rate and a .430 expected slugging allowed. With some pop at the top of Colorado’s lineup and the Giants’ offense scuffling versus lefties, he thinks anything in the +230 range is worth a stab despite Kyle Freeland’s own warts.

Bettor Mark expects ‘runs, runs, runs’ in Giants–Rockies and is surprised the total opened at only 7.5 (+110). Justin Verlander is still on a limited pitch count after returning from the IL, and Kyle Freeland’s 6.02 xERA plus 43% hard-contact rate figures to give San Francisco multiple crooked innings. Colorado’s left-heavy lineup owns a .346 wOBA in Coors against righties, so Mark projects both clubs to reach at least three runs apiece by the seventh. If bettors want a side, he prefers the Giants to win outright—Colorado just upset Atlanta yesterday and rarely strings together back-to-back victories—but the cleaner play is the over at plus money.

Cash Out Sports Picks doubled down on a full-game under for Giants–Rockies, stacking fresh evidence on top of the earlier Oracle Park opener call. He noted that four of the last six meetings have finished below the total and only 19 runs have crossed in the previous three contests in San Francisco. Colorado’s bats look hopeless: the Rockies hit just .224 with a .374 slug in 13 games against the Giants last season and now own MLB’s second-worst team average at .213. San Francisco is hardly an offensive juggernaut either, sitting in the bottom half of most key hitting categories and scoring three or fewer runs in three of its past four. The upside is on the mound—Giants pitchers sport a 3.60 ERA (top-10 leaguewide) and have held opponents to two runs or fewer in three of their last four. With one club incapable of sustained rallies and the other leaning on stingy pitching but limited pop, the tout expects another low-scoring slog and recommends playing under the posted total again.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the chalk with San Francisco, noting the Giants have taken seven straight from Colorado at Oracle while scoring at least four runs in each. The Rockies have lost 93 % of their road games and ride a seven-game skid. Kyle Freeland was shelled for six runs in four innings his last time out, whereas the Giants just won three of four from Milwaukee and earlier swept Seattle at home. All signs point to another comfortable cover by the home side.

Eric Pathi advised taking the Colorado Rockies +1.5 runs at +110 (listed as +10 cents) and splitting action 50-50 between the run line and moneyline (+235 early, +159 closer to first pitch). Pathi’s ‘Rule of 10’ system triggers whenever a heavy underdog finally wins after a double-digit losing streak and is priced as a big dog again the next day. He calculated the Rockies’ preseason win total of 60.5 translates to a 37% expected win rate, while their actual start (4-21) reflected only 16%. The 21-point gap and basic probability theory suggest regression toward the mean, making any plus-money line playable. Pathi intentionally ignored pitcher matchups (Kyle Freeland vs Justin Verlander), ERAs, or park factors, stressing that the edge comes from the mathematical rarity of teams losing or winning 10 straight games rather than traditional handicapping. His syndicate fires on these situations automatically and he recommends bettors do the same whenever the setup appears.

Four of the last six Giants-Rockies clashes have stayed under, and only 19 runs total were scored in their previous three in San Francisco. Colorado owns the league’s second-worst batting average (.213) and struggled to a .224/.374 slash in 13 games against the Giants last season. San Francisco’s offense is merely league-average, but the pitching staff has tightened up, making a shootout unlikely. Cash Out Sports Picks therefore played the full-game under in the series opener.

Although he admitted the price is steep, Kenny G said it “feels crazy to take anything except San Francisco –240 or the run line” against Colorado. The Rockies are 5-25 overall and a league-worst 1-14 on the road, have scored three or fewer runs in five of their last six, and sit 29th in both runs and OBP. Starter Kyle Freeland is 0-4 with a 5.93 ERA and the club is 0-5 in his appearances. San Francisco counters with Justin Verlander, whose last two outings (6 IP, 2 ER vs Texas; 6 IP, 1 ER vs LAA) suggest the 42-year-old has plenty left for another soft matchup. When Verlander exits he hands the ball to a bullpen Kenny rates as one of the two best in MLB. While the Giants’ offense has cooled (three to four runs in each of the past four and middling 24th in AVG, 22nd in SLG), Kenny is confident their pitching edge overwhelms a punch-less Colorado lineup. He prefers the moneyline for parlays but is comfortable with –1.5 given the Rockies’ historic road futility.

Zola suggested dusting off Justin Verlander for a spot start. Although the future Hall of Famer owns an ugly 5.36 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over his last 23 starts (121 IP, 102 K), he has logged back-to-back quality starts against weak opponents. Thursday he gets another cupcake: the Rockies travel to Oracle Park with the fourth-worst team wOBA and the single highest strikeout rate in baseball. Park and opponent put Verlander on the short list of streaming targets who could deliver six strong innings and a win.

Peterson laid -1.5 at -105 with San Francisco because the Rockies average only 2.1 runs per road game and are 5-25 overall, tracking for a 27-135 season. While Justin Verlander’s 4.99 ERA looks shaky, his 4.12 FIP and uptick to 8.2 K/9 point to imminent positive regression. Colorado counters with Kyle Freeland (5.93 ERA, at least 5 runs allowed in 3 of last 4), giving the Giants a pronounced pitching edge. Peterson made the run line -142, so he’s happy to grab the cheaper price.