Guy Boston singled out Jarred Kelenic's under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs prop, highlighting a strong value despite heavy juice (-160 at MGM). He noted the potential advantage due to pitcher Schwellenbach's ability to limit hitters with his specific pitch arsenal. Although hesitant given high juice, he acknowledged a roughly 10-cent betting edge compared to other books, making this prop appealing for consideration despite bankroll management caution.

Guy Boston highlighted Ernie Clement under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs as a recommended prop play. Clement has shown weaknesses against Schwellenbach's primary pitch types, notably struggling against sliders and cutters, which directly align with Schwellenbach's arsenal. Despite previous mixed results betting Clement's under prop, Guy Boston remains confident this specific pitching matchup strongly favors the under total.

Adam Burke advocates playing the Over 4.5 strikeouts (-115) for Atlanta starter Spencer Schwellenbach against the Blue Jays. Despite Toronto's exceptional contact rates, Schwellenbach's elite two-strike finish rate (19 Ks on 40 two-strike counts in 2025 and a 43.9% strikeout rate in two-strike counts last season) presents good value. Schwellenbach's improved strikeout effectiveness this season, indoor stadium conditions at Rogers Centre, and his ability to get ahead of hitters makes this prop attractive.

B Wade strongly advises fading Matt Olson on over 1.5 total bases. Olson's recent offensive production has been stagnant, failing to achieve multiple bases in eight consecutive games. In addition, he carries unfavorable numbers against Kevin Gausman, hitting just .231 lifetime. Aside from his poor recent form, Olson bats just .240 against right-handed pitching over the past year and a half. Gausman enters this contest in excellent form, recently pitching eight strong innings against the Red Sox. Given these factors, fading Olson at 1.5 bases is B Wade's recommended play.

Kingpin sees value in backing Kevin Gausman over 6.5 strikeouts, highlighting his dominant splitter and Atlanta's slumping, strikeout-prone lineup. Gausman is projected to work deep into the game thanks to his recent effectiveness and durability, which means he has a solid floor to rack up at least 7 Ks.

Andrew Brennan likes Spencer Schwellenbach to go Over 4.5 strikeouts against Toronto tonight. He noted Schwellenbach's current decline in strikeouts is primarily due to an increased reliance on ground balls (58.3% GB rate this year compared to 41.6% last year). However, Brennan points out Schwellenbach's impressive 15.2% swinging-strike rate and improved CSW%, both indicating strikeouts will soon increase. Brennan's projection model expects 5.55 strikeouts, making Over 4.5 a valuable bet at odds closer to -182. He suggests current odds (-115) are favorable for this prop.

Mike Noblin advised taking the Over 5.5 strikeouts for Kevin Gausman against the Braves. Noblin cited Gausman's recent dominant 10 strikeout performance against Boston, emphasizing that his splitter looked particularly sharp. He also referenced Gausman's career strikeout rate of 27.3% against the current Braves roster, his typically deep outings averaging at least six innings per start, and outstanding early-season command reflected by a mere 4.4% walk rate. Noblin noted Atlanta's significant vulnerability, ranked third-highest in strikeouts against right-handed pitching, along with five hitters in their lineup who possess over 26% strikeout rates.

Greg Peterson is keen to back Kevin Gausman and the Blue Jays at plus-money odds against the Braves. Despite strong pitching from Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach (one run allowed in 20 innings this season), Atlanta's offense has been extremely lackluster, averaging only 2.5 runs per game on the road and under 3.3 overall. Gausman, meanwhile, has been solid with just five earned runs allowed thus far through three starts while maintaining excellent control (only 0.9 home runs and 1.4 walks per nine innings). Peterson handicapped Toronto as favorites at -126, indicating clear betting edge at the current price of +115.

MLB analytics expert Derek Carty's projections highlight Vladimir Guerrero Jr's home run prop over 0.5 at impressive +550 odds, estimating a 19% chance of success and a projected +$26.43 expected value. The reasoning is that Guerrero Jr consistently hits fly balls towards center field, and he benefits greatly from facing Atlanta in a stadium featuring the game's 10th-shallowest center-field fences.

Chris Welsh recommended betting the Toronto Blue Jays money line through the first five innings against Atlanta, leveraging Toronto pitcher Easton Lucas' left-handed advantage. Welsh cited Atlanta's struggles versus lefties and their recently sluggish offense as strong reasoning behind his recommendation, framing this as a confident bet on Monday's slate.

Joe Pisapia strongly advocated for Spencer Strider's immediate fantasy impact upon returning from injury. He highlighted Strider's stellar rehab performance, throwing five and a third innings with 13 strikeouts, as proof that he is fully recovered and ready to pitch at his usual elite level. According to Pisapia, there is 'nothing left to prove,' making Strider a must-start for his scheduled debut Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Kenny G strongly suggests betting the under 8.5 runs between the Braves and Blue Jays, emphasizing Spencer Schwellenbach's dominant start (0.45 ERA) and Kevin Gausman's impressive recent outing (eight strong innings vs. Boston). He acknowledged minor concerns on Gaussman possibly being fatigued from his last start but expects limited offensive production. Key injury update adds to the taek’s strength towards the under, as Braves' slugger Marcell Ozuna is heading back to Atlanta for an MRI on his hip, seriously limiting the Braves' offensive upside. Kenny leans Braves with Schwellenbach’s strong early-season showing despite Ozuna's absence.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommends betting the under in the Braves-Blue Jays’ matchup, citing impressive early-season pitching from both Spencer Schwellenbach and Toronto's Kevin Gausman. Schwellenbach has allowed only one earned run in 20 innings, while Gausman threw eight scoreless innings with ten strikeouts last start. Furthermore, offensive struggles for both lineups underline this bet. The Braves rank near the league bottom in OPS and Toronto recently faced an offensive drought against the Mets. Historically, head-to-head matchups between these two clubs have frequently been low-scoring—another sign pointing towards an under play.

Kenny G is notably down on the Atlanta Braves due to their poor 4-11 early season record, severe offensive underperformance (29th in runs scored, 21st in slugging), and bullpen struggles (4.44 ERA). He especially highlights starter Grant Holmes's inability to consistently command his pitches (eight walks across two starts) as a specific vulnerability. Despite Holmes' recent start (four scoreless innings vs Phillies), Kenny remains unimpressed by his consistently shaky control, further supporting fading Atlanta as they hit the road against Toronto.

Kenny G enthusiastically supports betting on Toronto Blue Jays' starting pitcher Easton Lucas, impressed by Lucas' outstanding start this season—zero earned runs allowed through two starts and dominant outings against Washington (five innings, one hit allowed) and Boston (5.1 innings, three hits, no runs, eight strikeouts). Kenny describes Lucas as 'really coming into his own at the moment,' making him a strong betting option based on his current momentum and Toronto's improving bullpen situation.

Kenny G advises taking Toronto Blue Jays with confidence at -110 against Atlanta Braves. He points to Easton Lucas' spectacular early-season form, highlighting Lucas hasn't allowed an earned run over his first two outings—five innings of one-hit baseball vs. Washington and a dominant 5+ inning, eight-strikeout performance at Boston. Kenny contrasts this with Braves' starter Grant Holmes who, despite a decent last start (4 innings, no runs versus Phillies), continues to struggle seriously with control issues (four walks in each of his first two appearances). Kenny G expresses major concerns about Atlanta's weak bullpen (4.44 ERA), and their dismal offense, ranked 29th in MLB in runs scored and 21st in slugging percentage. With Toronto's bullpen ERA steadily improving (down to a respectable 3.86 after early-season struggles), and offense showing promise (third in batting average, sixth in OBP), Kenny sees significant value in backing the Blue Jays at home. He also notes Atlanta's dismal 1-9 road record, further motivating this play.

Scott Reichel favored betting Toronto Blue Jays first-five money line against Atlanta, explicitly citing the emerging form of newly discovered Toronto starter Lucas, who has thrown zero-earned-run baseball across his first two starts. Contrasting Lucas' clean performances (10.1 innings, no runs), he pointed to Holmes (Braves starter) struggling with control, walking four batters in consecutive outings and rarely lasting deep into games (four innings max). Reichel expresses skepticism over Atlanta's perceived value as he notes their rough 1-9 road record to start the season. Given Lucas' strong start and Atlanta's poor offense recently outside of a singular Ozuna walk-off homer, Reichel confidently suggests betting the Jays first five innings.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommends placing a bet on the Toronto Blue Jays money line at home against Atlanta, mainly due to Kevin Gausman’s successful history pitching against the Braves. Gausman has recorded a great 2.29 career ERA against ATL across roughly 20 innings pitched, putting Toronto in a strong position on the mound. Coupled with Atlanta's struggles this season—sitting at just 4-11 after a rough start—and their inconsistent offensive production (just 2.44 runs per road game), Toronto appears heavily favored. Toronto is also in better form overall, having won three of their last five and boasting one of MLB's top pitching staffs with a collective ERA of 3.21. All these factors lead Cash Out Sports Picks to confidently back Toronto's money line.

Bettor Mark recommended betting Blue Jays money line at minus 110 at home against the Atlanta Braves, pointing to Toronto’s decent 9-7 start to the season while observing Atlanta’s ongoing struggles. He specifically mentioned liking the pitching matchup with Holmes on the mound for Toronto along with attacking the Braves’ current weaknesses. He saw the price of minus 110 as a particularly appealing value for a favorable matchup at home.

Kosty Safir recommends betting the Toronto Blue Jays at home against the Atlanta Braves, highlighting Toronto's strong home performance (five home wins already) compared to Atlanta's struggles on the road (only one road win so far). Safir emphasizes a distinct pitching advantage for Toronto. Braves starter Grant Holmes has struggled badly in his first two appearances this year and matches up poorly against Toronto's hitters, who tend to perform strongly against right-handed pitchers (hitting .259 and averaging 3.5 runs per game against righties despite slightly below their overall rate). On the other side, Toronto starter Easton Lucas has impressed in his transition from reliever to starter, posting strong five-inning performances already this season against both the Nationals and Red Sox. Given Atlanta's serious batting woes versus left-handed pitching (.183 average and averaging just 2.5 runs per game), Safir expects Toronto to capitalize on this mismatch.

Data Skrive sees the Toronto Blue Jays as a sound betting choice (-115) to beat the Atlanta Braves. Toronto's starter Easton Lucas is off to an immaculate start, going 2-0 with a spotless 0.00 ERA, while Braves starter Grant Holmes has struggled more notably (0-1, 4.00 ERA). The model projects a tight 3-2 Toronto win, suggesting Lucas' early-season excellence, combined with a pitching advantage, makes the Blue Jays a strong betting option at home.

Data Skrive notes Sean Murphy as an intriguing home run bet against Toronto, given his remarkable early-season power performance. Murphy boasts 3 home runs in just 5 games thus far, homering in 40% of his appearances and offering appealing value with +420 odds to hit a home run in this matchup.