Peter Dewey is betting Logan Webb will record over 17.5 outs against the Yankees, citing Webb's excellent start to the season with a 1.89 ERA and 1.94 FIP through 19 innings. Webb has pitched at least seven innings in back-to-back starts, surrendering only one earned run and nine hits across these outings. Despite facing an intimidating Yankees offense, currently leading MLB in OPS, Dewey argues that asking Webb to complete six innings is reasonable, underscoring last season's consistency where Webb went six frames or longer in 24 of his 33 starts. This strong form makes Webb a solid target in the outs recorded market for this matchup.

Kenny G emphasized fading Carlos Rodon at this juncture, highlighting his recent struggles to maintain effective outings. Rodon's early-season ERA stands at a disappointing 5.19, with his control issues, including seven walks in his last two starts, making him vulnerable against a solid Giants lineup currently ranking in the top 10 in runs scored and slugging. Rodon previously gave up five earned runs on four hits to Detroit, a performance Kenny cited explicitly to illustrate Rodon's ongoing trouble. Given the unreliability of Rodon and an inconsistent Yankees bullpen, Kenny believes betting against Rodon presents promising value moving forward.

Kenny G identified the Giants as good betting value with Logan Webb starting against the Yankees at slightly plus odds (-105). Webb enters this matchup with impressive form, boasting a 1.89 ERA to start the season, highlighted by his recent outing against the Reds where he threw seven shutout innings, allowing only four hits and striking out ten without a walk. Kenny noted the Giants bullpen is an emerging strength, holding the second-best bullpen ERA in the majors at 1.79. The Giants lineup has also been productive, currently top 10 in both runs scored and slugging percentage, driven by Wilmer Flores' torrid early performance (six homers, 19 RBIs). Conversely, the Yankees have struggled with pitching consistency; Carlos Rodon has been shaky recently with a 5.19 ERA, including a rough outing against Detroit (five earned runs given up) and poor command, evident in his high walk totals. The Yankees bullpen ERA around four also hasn't inspired confidence. Kenny views this matchup as a prime opportunity for the Giants to rebound after yesterday's loss, providing solid value betting the Giants at -105.

It's The Final Round provided strong backing for Aaron Judge against Logan Webb, highlighting a favorable hitting matchup today. Judge historically hits Webb's primary sinker pitch (.326 average last year, .714 average this year) extremely well, and Webb throws this pitch 53% of the time. Recent and historical statistics back Judge's matchup—two hits, both home runs, in seven career at-bats versus Webb. Judge remains hot recently, with at least one hit in 10 of his last 13 games, and notably maintains an outstanding launch-angle sweet spot percentage (40%), further cementing him as a promising pick in today's game.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised betting on the Giants money line against the Yankees, pointing to Logan Webb's exceptional recent performance as key. Webb has allowed just four earned runs through 19 innings pitched, racking up 21 strikeouts while demonstrating excellent command. This contrasts sharply with Yankees starter Carlos Rodon, who has struggled allowing ten earned runs, 11 hits, and seven walks over his last outings spanning 17.1 innings. The Yankees have also been notably faltering, losing five straight games and struggling significantly against National League West teams, while the Giants have been hot, winning nine of their last 11 overall and staying undefeated in their last five road games and last 10 against the American League. Given Webb’s hot streak and the Giants' sharp play in contrast to Rodon’s struggles and New York's slide, the Giants are a strong pick.

Chris Morgan recommended stacking Giants hitters Heliot Ramos, Willy Adames, and Tyler Fitzgerald against Yankees starter Carlos Rodon, due to Rodon's struggles continuing from two shaky seasons, notably allowing over 1.5 homers per nine innings. Ramos notably had an outstanding 1.189 OPS versus lefties last season while Adames consistently delivers significant power (30+ homers last season, four straight years of at least 24 HR). Fitzgerald has also been highly productive versus lefties with a career .925 OPS and demonstrated power-speed combos. Morgan sees this matchup as highly advantageous for the Giants' right-handed trio facing Rodon's vulnerability to the long ball.

Kingpin pointed out that New York Yankees starter Carlos Rodon has struggled recently, allowing 9 runs across his last two outings for a 5.19 ERA. Despite his historical success against his former club (striking out 12 Giants hitters back in 2023), consistency has been an issue. Considering the Giants' offense is currently hot, led by Wilmer Flores (.302 average and 19 RBIs), Rodon could find himself in trouble once again. Kingpin believes these recent struggles coupled with San Francisco's potent lineup make Rodon vulnerable today.

Chris Morgan recommended Wilmer Flores as an economical DFS bat, noting his surprising start of six home runs this season and impressive .875 road OPS. Flores benefits from facing Carlos Rodon, whose dramatically diminished fastball velocity (down 2.3 mph from last year) and problematic home run rate (over 1.5 HR/9 since joining the Yankees) create an ideal scenario for DFS upside at a minimal salary commitment.

Jimmy Adams backs the San Francisco Giants as underdogs, highlighting Giants starter Logan Webb, who's coming off 7 shutout innings with 10 strikeouts and no walks last appearance. Webb, known for inducing ground balls, has allowed only one run in his last two starts. Conversely, Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon has struggled, giving up 9 earned runs and walking 7 batters in his past two outings. Adams emphasizes the significant pitching advantage for the Giants, making them an appealing play at +107 odds to leave New York with a win.

Austin Swaim highlights Mike Yastrzemski (+480 to hit a home run) due to favorable hitting conditions against Yankees pitcher Will Warren, who struggled last season giving up 1.99 HR/9 and continues to allow substantial hard-hit rate (50%) this year. Yankee Stadium, MLB's second-best stadium for home runs, is especially beneficial for lefties such as Yastrzemski, who is crushing right-handers (.310 ISO, 1.252 OPS, and 38.1% hard-hit rate). Though his flyball rate is slightly below ideal (33.3%), the park conditions notably enhance his home run upside. FanDuel's home run projection model ranks Yastrzemski fourth most-likely (0.27 median home run) to homer today, making the posted odds highly appealing.

Wilmer Flores is positioned as a strong prop play by Data Skrive, citing attractive odds (+480) versus the Yankees. With 6 homers in just 14 contests (42.9%), Flores has quietly become one of baseball's top power threats early on in 2025. Current home run odds for Flores provide incredible value compared to his elite-level slugging production, making him a viable option for fantasy and betting markets.

Data Skrive identified Aaron Judge's home run prop bet (+230) versus the Giants as particularly favorable given his dynamic slugging output so far. Despite shorter odds, Judge has hit 6 home runs in 14 games (28.6% frequency), validating these odds considering his confirmed history and current elite form. Bettors are encouraged by these odds even with lower returns because of Judge's high floor and strong early-season production.

Greg Peterson highlighted significant home-road ERA splits for Giants pitcher Logan Webb, noting Webb's career 2.73 ERA at home dramatically worsens to 4.05 on the road. Meanwhile, Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is selectively struggling with walks—issuing nine free passes in just 17 1/3 innings—but maintains a strong 10.4 strikeouts per nine ratio. Additionally, Rodon benefits from a Yankees lineup currently leading MLB in runs and home runs per game. As a result, Peterson makes the Yankees moneyline at -110 a strong value, given his handicap of Yankees -143.

Austin Swaim identified Mike Yastrzemski as a valuable home run prop target, pointing out the advantageous condition of playing in Yankee Stadium, ranked MLB's second-best park for home runs, particularly favorable to left-handed hitters. Yastrzemski has thrived against right-handed pitching this year with a stellar 1.252 OPS and .310 ISO, alongside a healthy 38.1% hard-hit rate. Despite some concerns over a lower 33.3% flyball rate, park conditions can encourage more loft. Yankees pitcher Will Warren continues experiencing homer issues with a mediocre 4.92 xERA and a troubling 50% hard-hit allowed rate. FanDuel projection models give Yastrzemski a 0.27 median expected home run rate, placing him among Saturday's most likely home run bets, making the current odds of +480 particularly enticing.

MLB Picks and Predictions recommended taking the New York Yankees to cover the run line against the San Francisco Giants. The recommendation was based on New York's hot hitting streak, averaging over 6 runs per game in their recent homestand, contrasted with San Francisco's pitching struggles on the road, sporting a team ERA of over 5.00 away from Oracle Park this season.

Data Skrive identifies Wilmer Flores as a powerful sleeper option in the HR betting market. Flores boasts 5 HRs through 13 games this season, a remarkable 38.5% home run rate. Given the attractive +560 odds, it represents outstanding value worth considering against the Yankees.

Kenny G sees value in backing the San Francisco Giants as road underdogs at +115 versus the Yankees. He pointed out that despite Jordan Hicks not having a great last start against Seattle (5.1 innings, three earned runs allowed), Hicks was outstanding against the Astros, suggesting potential for a bounce-back. The Giants bullpen has been stellar this season with an elite 1.75 ERA, and their offense ranks top-10 in runs. They dismantled Yankees starter Marcus Stroman in Game 1, chasing him in the first inning after five runs. Yankees starter Will Warren has struggled notably (6.00 ERA, four earned runs in four innings vs. a weak Pirates lineup), combined with a shaky Yankees bullpen (4.29 ERA). Kenny G also emphasized the Giants' MLB-best 5-1 road record, strengthening his conviction that the Giants at plus money offers great betting value.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the Giants at plus-money against Yankees starter Will Warren, whom he described as not good in recent fill-in starts. The Giants have started strongly, are 5-1 on the road, and their pitcher Jordan Hicks has turned in steady performances despite limited innings. Warren's ineffectiveness, combined with Giants' early-season form and road resilience, indicate value in San Francisco as short underdogs. Reichel also considered a first-five inning bet but ultimately likes the Giants' full-game moneyline at plus odds.

The SportsLine Projection Model likes the Yankees to secure a win Saturday over the Giants, largely due to their potent offense at Yankee Stadium, where they have outscored opponents 53-32 this season. New York ranks third in MLB with a .265 team batting average and their 26 home runs are second only to the defending World Series-champion Dodgers. Despite recent inconsistent results, the Model views their home-field advantage as pivotal and recommends betting the Yankees at -134 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The SportsLine Projection Model strongly backs Jazz Chisholm to record at least one hit versus the Giants. While Chisholm is in a recent five-game hitless slump, the model highlights his previous performance at home when favored, where Chisholm has exceeded his total bases prop in eight of the last twelve games averaging 1.5 bases per contest. Given these trends, SportsLine predicts a return to form and rates this a high-confidence, five-star selection.

Mike Maher pointed to Mike Yastrzemski as a temporary solution on waiver wires amidst a thin hitting market. Although not exciting long-term, Yastrzemski is currently producing and represents a viable week-to-week option for teams in urgent need of outfield help. Maher emphasized this recommendation was purely pragmatic due to limited depth on fantasy waiver wires, citing Yastrzemski as someone worth adding immediately to serve primarily as a short-term bandaid for batting lineup deficiencies.

Mike Maher recommended Ben Rice as a compelling waiver wire target due to his recent uptick in playing time and favorable batting order placement with the Yankees. Rice is batting .306 with three home runs and two stolen bases so far, showcasing a nice balance of power and speed. Maher highlighted Rice's impressive minor league track record last season, where he delivered 24 home runs, 10 stolen bases, and hit .273 across just 79 games split between Double-A and Triple-A. Even acknowledging some regression may occur from his fast MLB start, Maher emphasized Rice's solid skill set and appealing home park factors at Yankee Stadium, making him an excellent waiver addition given the offensive scarcity on current fantasy baseball waiver wires.

Kyle Purviance strongly likes the Giants as wagerable underdogs against the Yankees, citing doubt around Yankees young starter Will Warren. He praised Giants starter Jordan Hicks' early-season improvement and performance. Purviance emphasized the Giants' consistent, undervalued production despite limited star power, executing effective platoon usage and situational offense, comparing them to past Cardinals teams. He is confident Giants offer great betting value as dogs.

It's The Final Round singled out Aaron Judge facing Jordan Hicks, who relies heavily on throwing sinkers (57% usage). Judge is hitting .714 against sinkers this year with five hits in seven at-bats and has historically excelled versus Hicks, batting .500 including two home runs in six career at-bats. Judge consistently finds the optimal launch angle sweet spot 41.2% of the time, among league leaders, which pairs nicely against Hicks, who allows that optimal launch angle 33.3% of the time. Given this strong matchup history and favorable hitting metrics, Judge appears poised for a strong performance.

Greg Peterson recommends betting against Yankees rookie pitcher Will Warren, who has struggled significantly since joining the majors. Warren owns a dismal 9.09 ERA and has allowed at least three runs in six of his eight career MLB appearances. On the other side, Giants pitcher Jordan Hicks, while experiencing some underlying concerns (4.40 fielding independent and elevated walk rate), has only given up three runs across 11 1/3 innings this season. Peterson recommends betting Giants moneyline at +120, finding significant value against his own handicapped line of Giants -104. Additionally, due to pitching concerns, Peterson also sees value in betting over 8 total runs, with his own projected total sitting at 9.3.

Joe Pisapia confidently highlighted Aaron Judge as a strong home run pick throughout the weekend series at home, recommending taking his prop at +230 odds for Friday. Pisapia emphasized Judge's ideal hitting environment and favorable splits at home as factors that make the prop particularly appealing and a sensible wager today.

Chris Ruffolo recommends betting Aaron Judge to hit a home run at +210 odds, identifying a favorable matchup against Giants pitcher Robbie Ray. Judge went 6-for-10 with three homers against the Giants last season, and specifically, he's 3-for-8 lifetime versus Robbie Ray with all three hits being home runs. This season, Ray has already surrendered three home runs in two starts. Ruffolo also highlights that Judge has excelled against left-handed pitching this year, hitting four of his six homers against lefties.

Guy Boston favors either a Yankees first-five bet or the full game money line despite poor weather. He notes Yankees hitters effectively matching up with Robbie Ray's repertoire of fastballs and sliders, highlighting hitters like Anthony Volpe, Jazz Chisholm, and Paul Goldschmidt as key matchup advantages. Though he expresses concern over Marcus Stroman’s recent decline and challenging weather conditions (cold, windy, rainy), he still believes Yankees hold an offensive advantage over Giants hitters struggling with East Coast bad-weather conditions.

Scott Reichel strongly notes Robbie Ray's historical dominance over the Yankees lineup, highlighting their collective struggles, batting just .184 against him. Despite noting Ray tends to allow walks—which raises his on-base percentage against—he emphasizes the Yankees' inability to consistently find hits and their vulnerability to strikeouts. With a lofty strikeout prop at 6.5, Reichel still sees value in Ray based on this past dominance over the current Yankees roster, despite his tendency to labor through innings at times.

JD Bets recommends taking Aaron Judge for a home run today. Judge has impressive historic performances against pitcher Robbie Ray, batting .375 (3 for 8), with all three hits being home runs. JD mentioned his trend of success, noting the favorable home run odds at +230, and pointed out it's been five days since Judge's last homer, predicting today as an ideal situation for him to go deep again.

Guy Boston recommends betting Jung Hoo Lee to record over half a hit tonight, highlighting Lee's strong recent form (90% success in last 10 games, averaging 1.5 hits per game). Lee boasts an 82% hit rate this season with 1.36 hits/game. He especially thrives against right-handed pitchers, batting .277 (compared to his overall .262) last year with a high BABIP of .290. His opponent, pitcher Marcus Stroman, struggled significantly versus left-handed hitters last season, allowing a .296 batting average and .323 BABIP. Coupled with Lee's impressive road performance (10 of last 11 road games with at least one hit), Guy Boston confidently expects Lee to capitalize on this favorable matchup.

Derek Farnsworth advises caution on rostering New York Yankees hitters in DFS lineups due to their challenging matchup against Robbie Ray. Despite Ray experiencing control issues (11% walk rate), he still holds a strong 32% strikeout rate and an attractive 3.55 SIERA. Yankees hitters projected to bat are prone to high strikeout rates, particularly against left-handed pitching, severely capping their upside. Farnsworth suggests the low expected run total (4.26) and unfavorable handedness splits vs Ray (.284 wOBA allowed vs RHB) warrant fading Yankees batters at current DFS salary levels.

Scott Reichel recommended taking the Giants in the first five innings against the Yankees, directly due to Marcus Stroman's ongoing poor performance and negative mindset. Stroman has struggled heavily since last season's second half and has been ineffective in both starts this year, giving up three-plus runs each time. Reichel cited Stroman's public displeasure with the organization over being left off postseason rosters and suggested Stroman likely does not want to be there, further negatively affecting his performance. Robbie Ray was highlighted as the superior pitcher in this matchup despite one rough outing against the Reds early in the year, making Giants first-five at even money an appealing bet.

Cash Out Sports Picks liked the Giants money line against the Yankees, highlighting Robbie Ray’s strong early-season form and command for San Francisco against a struggling Marcus Stroman pitching for New York. Stroman has started slow, posting a 7.27 ERA and allowing four earned runs in just four innings in his most recent game. Ray has pitched confidently and effectively, recently finding success against Yankees hitters. Additionally, the Giants have impressed recently against pitchers with higher WHIPs, holding a 4-0 record in their last four games against starters with WHIPs over 1.3, a category in which Stroman falls this season. Given Yankee Stadium's hitter-friendly nature and Stroman's struggles, San Francisco holds a significant advantage on the mound, making the Giants a strong pick on the money line in this matchup.

Kenny G is skeptical about Robbie Ray's strong 2-0 start with a 3.18 ERA given soft matchups so far against weaker offenses of Cincinnati and Seattle. Ray yielded a few home runs in those starts despite the favorable matchups. Now facing an elite Yankees offense ranked second in total runs and first in slugging percentage, Kenny G believes Ray is in line for significant regression, suggesting potential struggles against more formidable competition. He advises caution before trusting Ray, as he expects him to have trouble maintaining his strong start against the Yankees.

Kenny G expects a strong bounceback offensive performance for the Yankees against San Francisco after a disappointing series in Detroit, where they scored just six runs over three games. Prior to that, they had been dominant—second in MLB in runs scored and first in slugging percentage. Despite Marcus Stroman’s mediocre early starts, he hasn't taken any losses due to ample run support from the Yankees' explosive offense. Kenny G sees the Yankees being motivated and primed for a rebound at home, recommending bets on Yankees at -125 and the over 8 total in anticipation of heavy offensive production.

Kenny G views the Giants as primed for offensive regression after an unexpectedly strong beginning to the season. Although currently top 10 in runs scored, the Giants rank poorly in underlying metrics, sitting 18th in batting average and 26th in on-base percentage. He believes their strong run-scoring start is unsustainable. He also notes their recent series loss to a weak opponent, Cincinnati, suggesting regression is already underway. Facing the potent Yankees lineup and pitcher Marcus Stroman who has received significant run support so far, Kenny G recommends being cautious with the Giants, implying they’re due to struggle soon.

Kyle Purviance recommends betting on the Giants strictly for the first five innings against Marcus Stroman and the Yankees. His reasoning centers on recognizing the Yankees bullpen as highly dominant, thus creating significant risk when betting full-game lines against New York. Consequently, Purviance explicitly limits backing the Giants as a live underdog to the first five innings to avoid facing a strong Yankees bullpen late in the game.

Kyle Purviance likes Willy Adames to perform well against Marcus Stroman, supported by Adames' strong head-to-head numbers: in 23 career at-bats he has compiled a .474 average, hit multiple home runs, only four strikeouts, and six singles. Purviance specifically noted Stroman's strikeout decline and the Giants' lineup tendency to make consistent contact, which should further boost Adames' opportunities. Purviance clearly stated he'll closely consider Adames' player props for this matchup, particularly total bases.

Brian Howard expressed strong reservations about Marcus Stroman's effectiveness against the Giants offense. Howard pointed out Stroman's declining ability to escape jams, highlighting a diminished strikeout rate, making him vulnerable against the Giants who have a contact-oriented lineup. Having seen several Giants games already, Howard mentioned the lineup is better than public perception, capable of capitalizing on Stroman's tendency to pitch to contact. Consequently, he identified solid betting value on the Giants as live underdogs in this matchup.

B Wade favors Francisco Lindor over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs due to his recent strong form and historical dominance against JP Sears. Lindor has exceeded this prop in 6 of his last 8 games and has started heating up after a slow start. He is 3-for-6 lifetime with a home run and three RBIs against Sears. Having Juan Soto in the lineup is another factor Wade cites as beneficial to Lindor's production chances.

Bryan Zarpentine recommends wagering on Aaron Judge to record at least one RBI against the Giants. Judge has 20 RBI through the first 12 games of the season and has produced an RBI in seven of those 12 games. Additionally, Judge has strong career success against Giants' pitcher Robbie Ray, going 3-for-8 with three home runs and four walks, making him a strong bet for RBI production in this matchup.

Bryan Zarpentine recommends betting under 3.5 strikeouts for pitcher Marcus Stroman against the Giants. Stroman has had a rough start to the season, failing to pitch past the fifth inning in either of his first two starts and striking out only three batters per outing. The Giants have shown average strikeout discipline thus far, and with Stroman struggling to find form, Zarpentine sees low strikeout production continuing.

ESPN Fantasy strongly urged fantasy managers to avoid Yankees hitters in Friday's matchup against Giants left-hander Robbie Ray. Not only does Ray pose difficulties as a high-level pitcher, but the forecasted cold and uncomfortable playing conditions in the Bronx amplify the downside. ESPN noted that there's also a strong possibility for weather-related postponement, advising fantasy managers to seek backup plans for Yankees batters aside from the elite Aaron Judge.