JD Bets locked in the Dodgers money line at –135 for Sunday Night Baseball. His rationale centers on Los Angeles owning MLB’s number-one offense across virtually every metric and carrying a seven-game winning streak into the matchup. He highlighted that starter Dustin May has historically stifled Atlanta’s bats—holding the lineup to a .161 average in limited but meaningful plate appearances, with Marcell Ozuna’s lone homer the only real blemish. Although Bryce Elder has handled some Dodger hitters, JD noted the Braves bullpen and average-plus offense cannot match L.A.’s depth. With no trustworthy pitcher props (his spreadsheet shows yellow across the board), JD prefers the straightforward play: back the hotter, deeper roster at a modest price and avoid parlays or derivative markets.

Spector grabbed Marcell Ozuna Over 0.5 RBIs at +170 despite a four-game RBI drought. He noted the tiny but loud track record against Dustin May: 4-for-6 with a homer and two RBIs. Ozuna sits third in MLB in on-base percentage and is one of just six hitters batting at least .300/.400/.500 since July 20 of last year (min. 400 PA). Ozuna’s only RBI dry spell longer than four games all season is a single five-game stretch, so Spector expects positive regression in a matchup he has handled before and is happy to take the generous price.

Spector laid ‑120 on Max Muncy Under 0.5 total bases, grading it four stars. Muncy opened the season homer-less through 89 ABs and has been held without an extra-base hit in 10 of his last 11 contests, going hit-less outright in eight of those. The matchup is no get-right spot: in 10 career at-bats versus Braves starter Bryce Elder he owns a meek .200/.200/.500 line with two strikeouts. Given Muncy’s current power outage and Elder’s prior success, Spector expects another zero in the total-bases column.

Mike Spector took the plus money on Dustin May to stay Under 3.5 strikeouts at +130. He pointed out that Atlanta’s lineup has slashed its strikeout rate to 16.9% over the last two weeks while ranking 10th in wRC+, a big reason the Braves have won nine of their last 13 after an 0-7 start. May, meanwhile, is still ramping up after throwing fewer than 48 innings in any season from 2021-23 and already sitting at 27.1 IP this year. His 7.2 K/9 shows the whiffs have not returned, and Spector doubts the Dodgers will push his workload much further in early May. Facing a disciplined, in-form offense, May’s path to four punch-outs looks thin.

Kenny G said Los Angeles is still a bet at –155 because every underlying edge leans Dodgers. L.A. ranks 4th in runs, 5th in batting average, 4th in OBP and 3rd in slugging (.457). He expects that lineup to rough up Bryce Elder, who owns a 5.30 ERA, just surrendered three earned and a homer in Colorado, and was tagged for three runs (two long balls) in only four innings when these clubs met on April 2. Atlanta’s relief corps has regressed to a 3.88 ERA and the offense has fallen to 17th in runs while scoring 3-1-1-8-6 their last five. Conversely, Dustin May is coming off a quality outing and draws an Atlanta order that is scuffling. With the Braves sitting 14-18 overall and the Dodgers facing a shaky starter, Kenny predicted a Sunday-night statement and hinted this could land in his pinned comment.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised betting the full-game OVER in Dodgers-Braves, arguing that both starting pitchers are far more vulnerable than the betting market implies. He highlighted Dustin May’s brutal road splits (0-1, 6.55 ERA, .283 BAA across just 11 road innings) and Bryce Elder’s middling home line (0-0, 4.09 ERA, 1.55 WHIP in 11 IP at Truist Park) as evidence that neither arm is likely to stifle these offenses. Los Angeles owns a .457 team slugging percentage (3rd in MLB) and an eye-popping .902 OPS with runners in scoring position, while Atlanta sits a respectable 13th in slugging at .391 and can still punish mistakes. With both clubs featuring deep, power-heavy lineups and each hurler searching for form, he expects plenty of crooked numbers before the bullpens even get involved. Play: OVER the projected total.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the Dodgers money line on Sunday Night Baseball. L.A. has swept all four meetings in 2025 and rides a six-game win streak against Atlanta. Dustin May has surrendered more than three runs just once all season, while Bryce Elder has done so twice, making May the steadier option. Offensively the gap widens: the Dodgers lead MLB with a .902 OPS w/RISP; the Braves sit 12th at .731. Atlanta is 14-17, and Elder remains the rotation’s soft spot. Until the Braves prove otherwise, the tout is sticking with the hotter, deeper Dodgers. Play: Dodgers ML.

Shubham Soni pegged Marcell Ozuna as a value play at +390 to go deep. Ozuna is batting .276 with five homers and 12 RBIs, and he’s already 2-for-4 with a long ball against today’s starter Dustin May. May owns a 3.95 ERA but has struggled with hard contact to right-handers, something Ozuna excels at punishing. Given the Braves’ stacked lineup creating protection and Ozuna’s previous success off May, Soni believes the odds underrate his chance for a souvenir.

Bettor Mark grabbed the Dodgers at ‑104 in Saturday’s showdown with Atlanta, calling it a “bet on principle” when L.A. is priced like a coin flip. The Dodgers held a 2-0 lead in Friday’s rain-shortened game and, despite a bullpen hiccup that cost run-line bettors, showed they can handle the Braves’ lineup. With Sasaki facing rookie Spencer Schwellenbach, Mark gives the starting-pitching edge to Los Angeles and trusts the Dodger bullpen more in a high-leverage spot. He views the matchup as nearly pick’em talent-wise but believes the Dodgers’ deeper lineup makes them the sharper side whenever the price hovers near even money.

Dylan Rockford pounced on Los Angeles –104 at FanDuel, calling it a ‘buy-the-dip’ spot. He acknowledged mixed feelings on both starters but trusts the Dodgers’ red-hot lineup (15, 12, 7 and 9 runs in four straight) to overcome any Sasaki wobble. Schwellenbach’s stuff plays, yet his 45% hard-hit rate the last two outings suggests hitters are adjusting. The Braves are already an under team offensively and have not seen pitching close to the Dodgers’ bullpen, which sports MLB’s third-best xFIP. Rockford made the Dodgers –125 and said any number south of –110 is an autoplay, especially given their 13-6 record versus right-handers.

Scott Reichel swallowed his unease about rookie Kenta Sasaki’s inconsistency and took Los Angeles –115 because the number rarely dips that low on a 20-win team. Sasaki’s road ERA is a tidy 2.77 and he has finally cleared five innings in three straight, while Allan Schwellenbach has regressed—three runs or more allowed in three consecutive starts despite an overall 1.29 home ERA. Reichel added that Atlanta’s offense still ranks 24th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching, whereas the Dodgers just erupted for 43 runs in a four-game set. With even the full-season projections making L.A. a –130 favorite, Reichel felt compelled to grab the bargain.

Mike Maher positioned Ben Casparius as a sneaky FAAB target for deep-league managers who need short-term innings. Maher noted that the rookie right-hander has been "untouchable" outside one early blow-up against the Cubs, and the Dodgers are now stretching him from multi-inning relief into the rotation. The first start is projected to come in spacious LoanDepot Park against a bottom-five Marlins offense—exactly the kind of low-pressure matchup you want for a streamer. Because it is no longer a two-start week (Arizona was taken off the docket), Maher actually prefers the single Miami turn, eliminating Diamondbacks risk while still giving you Dodgers win equity. He expects Casparius to cost roughly 25 % of FAAB in NFBC 15-teamers but only 8–10 % in standard formats and urged listeners to bid proactively before the "collect Dodgers" crowd drives up the price.

Mike Maher urged managers to scoop up Tony Gonsolin off waivers before a full week of fab chatter drives the price. Gonsolin’s first start back from the IL was a gem, and he’s available in 68 % of Yahoo and 88 % of ESPN leagues despite a locked-in rotation spot thanks to the Dodgers’ never-ending injury carousel. Maher expects both ratio help and win potential given Los Angeles’ run support; he reminded listeners that preseason strategy 101 is simply ‘collect Dodgers.’ Even conservative projection systems have Gonsolin in the mid-3s ERA range with a solid 1.15–1.20 WHIP, which plays everywhere in the current pitching climate. Maher warned that you’ll likely need a non-trivial bid this Sunday but still advised bidding only up to the value he provides your roster, not to block the room—he grabbed him last week for a song and wants listeners to do the same before the herd catches up.

Kelly Kirby urged fantasy managers to cash out on Dodgers rookie Andy Pages while the stat line still glitters. Pages is slashing .292/.375/.521 with six homers and has even driven in more runs than Shohei Ohtani, but the underlying metrics scream "sell": his expected batting average is just .233 and his expected slugging percentage is a middling .401. Kirby warned that Los Angeles is rumored to be chasing a Luis Robert trade, and Pages would be the first everyday bat to lose plate appearances if that deal materializes. Between the looming playing-time crunch and the massive gap between actual and expected production, she advised flipping Pages for a mid-rotation arm—ideally a strikeout pitcher—before the inevitable summer correction torpedoes his value.

Kyle Purviance said he is locking in the Braves moneyline at –105 and laddering alternate run-lines because, in his words, “Schwellenbach is better than Sasaki right now.” Purviance is a self-proclaimed Schwellenbach believer and thinks the rookie’s fastball/slider combo has looked sharp every outing. By contrast, he called Roki Sasaki a “time bomb,” noting the Japanese ace has not transitioned smoothly to the MLB ball and could easily surrender a crooked number early — “he can also go give up six in the first.” Given that volatility, Purviance loves the Braves –1.5 at +175 and is even sprinkling –2.5 at +267, arguing the market should not make Atlanta a slight dog when the more reliable arm is on their side.

Algorithm projects Dodgers 5-4 and recommends LA -115. Rookie phenom Roki Sasaki (3.55 ERA) squares off with Spencer Schwellenbach (2.87), but the Dodgers’ 22-10 record and MLB-best wRC+ tilt the edge westward. Truist Park forecasts light winds, supporting the Under 8.5 directive.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the OVER, noting both offenses are stacked. Los Angeles leads MLB in wRC+ over the past week (184) with a .440 wOBA, and Atlanta ranks 10th in both categories. The Dodgers average 5.39 runs per game, the Braves 4.23, and the tout expects that pair of high-octane lineups to capitalize on any slip-ups from Sasaki or Schwellenbach and push the total past the posted number.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the Los Angeles Dodgers on the moneyline, pointing out their six-game winning streak and explosive lineup that averages 5.39 runs (3rd in MLB). Although Atlanta’s Schwellenbach is the steadier starter compared to rookie phenom Roki Sasaki, the tout believes the Dodgers’ depth and current form outweigh the marginal pitching edge, especially with the Braves only recently climbing out of a 5-13 start.

Peterson played Under 8.5 (projected 8.2) because both young aces have been stingy. Roki Sasaki has allowed three runs or fewer in all six MLB starts and has tamed his early walk issues (two or fewer BB in three of past four). Spencer Schwellenbach owns a 2.87 ERA, 3.25 FIP and has given up only one homer all season. Atlanta’s lineup is only 16th in runs per game, and Dodger Stadium’s night-time marine layer further suppresses power.

Collin Whitchurch is on Grant Holmes over 2.5 walks at plus money. Holmes sports a 13% BB-rate through his first big-league innings and now faces a Dodgers lineup that leads MLB in walk rate and sees the third-most pitches per plate appearance. Holmes leans heavily on a four-seam/curveball combo that frequently misses arm-side, and Los Angeles ranks top-2 against both offerings. With the Dodgers’ patient stars forcing long at-bats, Whitchurch projects Holmes for 3-4 free passes and believes the plus price does not reflect the matchup-driven risk.

Razzle highlighted Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s extreme ground-ball tendencies (60% rate) plus three outings of 9+ strikeouts in his last five. The Dodgers are –180 favorites with the game total at 9.0 (juice to the under) and a 5.5 K prop leaning to the over. Despite Atlanta’s dangerous bats, Razzle trusts Yamamoto’s deep pitch count—he has eclipsed 100 pitches twice—to rack up 6-7 Ks and reach the quality start bonus, making him a strong SP1 pivot off the obvious chalk.

Chris Ruffolo said Teoscar Hernandez is worth a +400 home-run stab on Friday against Atlanta rookie Grant Holmes. Ruffolo pointed out that Holmes has already coughed up 5 long balls to right-handed hitters in only 58 plate appearances, a gaudy 12% HR rate. Hernandez has previously taken Holmes deep and owns the kind of pull-side power that can punish another mistake. Even though Ruffolo leans Braves on the full-game line, he believes Holmes' homer issues create a high-upside prop for Hernandez investors.

JD Bets laid the juice on the Dodgers ‑170 moneyline against Atlanta. He pointed out that Los Angeles has turned the spreadsheet almost entirely green: five straight wins, seven runs and double-digit hits per game over that span while ranking first or second in every major offensive category except strikeouts. By contrast, the Braves are merely holding their own and now send Grant Holmes—tagged for 6, 3 and 4 earned runs in his last three outings—into Chavez Ravine. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed just 0.67 earned runs per start this season, giving L.A. a massive mound edge. With Freddie Freeman slashing .396/.421/.642 versus righties and the rest of the lineup batting .280-.320, JD said every indicator screams Dodgers and locked in the ML rather than messing with a potentially volatile nine-run total.

Joe Raineri advised grabbing Atlanta on the first-five line even though Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Dodgers are laying –180 on the full-game side. Raineri noted Bryce Elder replacement Allan Winans—listed as ‘Holmes’ at some books—has quietly kept Atlanta in every start, limiting damage long enough for the Braves’ lineup to strike. He pointed out Yamamoto’s gaudy 1.06 ERA and 2.21 xFIP but reminded listeners the Dodgers are merely .500 on the road and are opening a 10-game East Coast swing that is traditionally a flat spot for L.A. With 76-degree temps, a mild cross-wind and Atlanta’s offense historically hotter at Truist Park, Raineri expects the Braves to be leading after five innings before bullpen variance kicks in.

Millz Young’s lone hitting prop is Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 total bases, a spot that has cashed 80 percent recently. He even sprinkled a home-run ticket because of Ohtani’s .322 ISO against right-handed pitching and Truist Park’s 15 percent HR boost to left-handed power. Late-night West Coast lean makes it a bankroll-builder play in his card.

Millz Young is on Max Fried over 4.5 strikeouts—willing to play 5.5 but prefers buying down to 4.5 on PrizePicks because the matchup with the Dodgers is tough. Fried has hit 6 Ks in three of his last five outings (60 percent success rate) and still owns a 26 percent strikeout rate when facing right-heavy lineups like L.A.’s.

Millz Young recommended Yoshinobu Yamamoto over 4.5 Ks against the Braves. The prop has cashed at a 60 percent clip per the Sports Chat Place tools, and Millz believes the rookie can reach 6 strikeouts if his splitter is working. Despite Atlanta’s low team K-rate, Yamamoto’s 30 percent whiff rate and Dodgers’ willingness to let him reach 90 pitches give the over value.

Beermakersfan labeled Andy Pages the slate’s sneaky value. Over his last 10 games the Dodger rookie is batting .462 with four homers and sports a .404 wOBA / .246 ISO against right-handed pitching—second best on a star-studded roster. Pirates right-hander Quinn Priester? No, Beer referenced Holmes, who has surrendered a .400+ wOBA, .340 ISO, 63 % hard-hit rate and 14 % barrel rate to righties while somehow carrying a .200 BABIP that screams negative regression. The profile gifts Pages double-dong upside at a bargain price.

Guy Boston closed the parlay with Freddie Freeman over 0.5 hits at –295. Freeman has a six-game hitting streak and has cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 outings (1.2 hits per game) and 14 of 20 on the year (70%). Against his former club he went 5-for-7 on the prop last season (71%). Boston added that Freeman’s batting average, BABIP, hard-hit rate, and wRC+ all spike dramatically versus right-handed pitching, which he’ll see tonight. With multiple multi-hit games during the streak and a friendly handedness split, Boston labeled the Dodgers star a reliable anchor leg despite the heavy juice.

Zarpentine backed under 1.5 earned runs for Yoshinobu Yamamoto at +128. The Dodgers ace tops MLB with a 1.06 ERA and has held opponents to one or zero earned in five of six starts. His lone blemish was two runs over five frames versus Detroit. In April he surrendered just one earned run across 24 innings (15 H, 29 K). Meanwhile, Atlanta mustered only one run on three hits Wednesday before an off-day, suggesting their bats remain cold. Zarpentine believes Yamamoto's command and strike-mix will keep the Braves quiet again.

Zarpentine faded Grant Holmes by taking over 2.5 earned runs at -130. The Dodgers have erupted for 10.2 runs per game during a five-game winning streak, with Andy Pages, Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez, and Shohei Ohtani all locked in. Holmes sports a 4.50 ERA and has allowed 3+ earned in three of his last five starts, including four runs in four innings against Los Angeles in late March. Given LA's current tear, Zarpentine expects more of the same.

Zarpentine recommended the plus-money Under 1.5 Earned Runs on Yoshinobu Yamamoto (+128). The Japanese ace leads MLB with a 1.06 ERA and has limited opponents to one earned run or fewer in five of six starts, the lone exception being a two-run, five-inning outing against Detroit. In April he allowed only one earned run across 24 innings (0.38 ERA). Atlanta’s bats are cooling off—just one run on three hits Wednesday at Coors Field followed by an off-day—so Zarpentine expects the Braves to struggle making hard contact. Given the dominance and current opponent form, he sees value in the plus-odds ceiling on Yamamoto’s run prevention.

Calling it easier to fade one pitcher than dissect the entire Dodgers lineup, Zarpentine advised betting Grant Holmes Over 2.5 Earned Runs at -130. Los Angeles has erupted for 51 runs during a five-game winning streak (10.2 per game) with Andy Pages, Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez and Shohei Ohtani all scorching hot. Holmes has already surrendered 3+ earned in three of his last five starts and was tagged for four runs in four innings by these same Dodgers in late March. With LA locked in at the plate, Zarpentine expects Holmes to get battered again.

Bettor Mark played Teoscar Hernandez over 1.5 total bases at +110, leaning on the outfielder’s red-hot form. Hernandez has cleared this number with room to spare in five straight games, logging 4+ total bases each time and compiling recent hits-runs-RBI lines of 6, 3, 4, 10, and 5. Mark likes the matchup in Atlanta, noting Truist Park is homer-friendly and the Braves are starting a pitcher with a 5.00 ERA. With Yoshinobu Yamamoto keeping the game close and Shohei Ohtani heating up behind Hernandez in the order, he expects the Dodgers’ right fielder to see plenty of hittable fastballs and at least two bags worth of production. Mark called the plus-money price "too good to pass up" given Hernandez’s current tear.

Bettor Mark laid the juice with the Dodgers on the run line, calling ‑1.5 at ‑105 his "best bet" for L.A.–Atlanta. He acknowledged Los Angeles has failed to cash many road run lines this season but believes the matchup breaks in their favor: Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound with a sub-3.00 ERA while the Braves counter with a starter sitting on a 5.00 ERA. Mark emphasized how the baseball carries in Truist Park and pointed to a surging Dodger lineup that now features a locked-in Shohei Ohtani and a blistering-hot Teoscar Hernandez. With the full lineup finally healthy and Yamamoto suppressing runs, he expects L.A. to win by multiple runs and is comfortable skipping the heavier ‑170 moneyline in favor of the discounted run-line payout.

The tout still likes the over despite Yamamoto’s brilliance because LA hitters own a .350/.500/.550 line in 20 ABs versus Grant Holmes and are averaging 10.2 runs during their five-game streak. On the season the Dodgers rank 3rd at 5.39 runs per game, and Atlanta has been respectable, sitting 9th in wRC+ over the last two weeks. Cash Out Sports Picks expects Atlanta to scratch out a couple against LA’s bullpen, while the Dodgers do most of the heavy lifting to clear the posted total.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the Dodgers money line behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s league-best 1.06 ERA. Los Angeles is 4-2 in his starts, winning each by 3+ runs. Atlanta’s active roster owns just a .133/.235/.200 slash against him in 15 at-bats. The Dodgers have won five straight overall, four by at least four runs, while the Braves scored just once in their previous outing and now face the hottest pitcher in baseball.

Peterson fired on Under 9 (model 8.4). Yoshinobu Yamamoto has adjusted to MLB in a hurry with a 1.07 ERA, 11.4 K/9 and just 0.5 HR/9. Grant Holmes is a different pitcher at Truist Park (2.57 ERA, one HR allowed in 42 IP) and gets to face a Braves lineup that is only 16th in runs (4.2 per game). Atlanta’s pen is seventh in ERA, while Los Angeles sits fifth, giving Peterson confidence that late innings will not unravel the Under.

Kenny G recommended laying –170 with the Dodgers in Atlanta. Yoshinobu Yamamoto brings a 1.06 ERA and double-digit strikeout potential; Kenny forgave his four-walk hiccup versus Pittsburgh, pointing to the dominant seven-inning, 10-K gem against Texas the start before. Grant Holmes counters with a 4.05 ERA and was blasted by L.A. earlier this year (4 IP, 4 ER, 4 BB). The Braves bullpen is slipping (4.00 ERA), whereas the Dodgers pen holds at 3.71. Offensively it’s a mismatch: Los Angeles is third in runs and has posted 12, 15, 7, 9 and 8 in its last five; Atlanta ranks 17th in runs and just dropped a game to Colorado. Kenny thinks the only path for the Braves is an unlikely Yamamoto meltdown, so he’s comfortable eating the road juice and even considered an alt-run-line if you want plus money.

Lindquist jumped on Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s strikeout prop Over 5.5 at ‑110. The Japanese ace owns a 1.06 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and has allowed just one earned run across his last four starts while sitting down 24 hitters in that stretch. Atlanta’s bats have looked lifeless—posting a middling 22.3% K-rate and 104 wRC+—and just suffered an embarrassing series in Colorado. Lindquist expects manager Dave Roberts to let Yamamoto work deep (six to seven innings) because the Dodgers bullpen is taxed, projecting 90-plus pitches and 6–8 strikeouts most of the time.

Mike Maher predicted that fantasy managers should treat Shohei Ohtani as a hitter-only asset for the entire 2024 season. He pointed out that every time the Dodgers inch toward a throwing program, they pull back, suggesting the organization prefers to protect Ohtani’s surgically repaired elbow and keep his focus on batting—where he remains elite. Maher added that rushing the two-way ramp-up would sap practice reps from his swing and introduce unnecessary risk just to patch a rotation already down to "SP15 or 16." Even if L.A. makes a World Series push, Maher doubts they expose a $700-million investment to playoff debut nerves on the mound. His actionable advice: do not stash Ohtani in pitcher slots, ignore speculative fab bids predicated on dual eligibility, and value him strictly for his top-5 offensive output in season-long formats.

Kelly Kirby said Tony Gonsolin should be scooped up everywhere after his six-shutout-inning return against Toronto. She is not chasing the nine strikeouts from that outing, stressing that Gonsolin’s true K-rate will settle closer to his career 22% mark. What excites her is a projected 1.00–1.15 WHIP built on elite command and a deep Dodgers lineup that turns quality starts into wins. Kirby reminded listeners that Los Angeles gives its starters the third-highest run support in baseball since 2022 and that Gonsolin’s 51-game career record (31-7) is proof that win equity matters. As long as fantasy managers treat him as a ratio stabilizer rather than a strikeout anchor, she believes he is a rest-of-season SP3 who can be streamed confidently in virtually every matchup.

Just A Bet Outside laid ‑1.5 with the Dodgers at ‑104, calling it a clear mismatch between ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto and converted reliever Grant Holmes. Yamamoto owns a 0.92 WHIP and has surrendered only four earned runs all season; even his ‘bad’ outing produced a single run. Holmes, meanwhile, sports a 14.5% walk rate and rarely works past five frames. Los Angeles ranks ninth in walk rate, a profile that should punish Holmes’ shaky command. The Dodgers’ bats have erupted for 8, 9, 7, 15 and 12 runs the last five games, and eight of their last eleven wins have come by two or more. Steven dismissed Atlanta’s recent hitting surge as Coors-field-inflated and noted both bullpens are rested after Thursday’s off day. With the road team guaranteed a ninth-inning plate appearance, he priced the fair line in the ‑130/-140 range and grabbed the ‑104 number for a half-unit play.

B Wade backed Max Fried to stay under 2.5 earned runs at home against Tampa Bay. Fried has allowed just five earned runs through six starts, never yielding more than two in any outing, and is coming off back-to-back shutouts. He sports a 1.20 ERA, ~1.00 WHIP, and a 5-0 record. The Rays are slumping badly, scoring only three total runs while being swept by Kansas City earlier in the week. With Fried in dominant form and Tampa’s bats cold, Wade considers three earned runs against him highly improbable.

Eric Pathy advised taking the Atlanta Braves moneyline at roughly +150 as his complimentary play for May 2. Pathy framed it as a pure situational angle: the Dodgers just had a five-game winning streak halted by a travel day, and he believes fading a road favorite whose streak gets interrupted is 'one of the best bets in all of baseball.' Because it is strictly a system play, he dismissed pitching data, noting that even Yoshinobu Yamamoto's ERA is irrelevant to the spot. The key factors, according to Pathy, are the Dodgers’ cooled momentum and Atlanta being a home underdog, a combination he routinely auto-bets.

Ron Romanelli advised taking the Braves money-line because Grant Holmes has been a different pitcher at Truist Park. Holmes’ last two home outings added up to 9.2 innings of one-run baseball with 13 strikeouts, a stark contrast to his April appearance at Dodger Stadium where he was tagged for four runs in four frames. Romanelli thinks the day off after a taxing Coors Field series will help Atlanta’s bats, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto arrives off his worst MLB start—four walks in five innings and a 3-0 loss to Pittsburgh. With Holmes’ home splits, Atlanta’s rested lineup, and plus money on the board, Romanelli called the Braves the best price play of Friday’s slate.

Lonte Smith pushed back, calling Atlanta a juicy home underdog and linking it with the full-game under. He noted the Dodgers are only 6-7 on the road and have padded a five-game win streak against weak clubs (Pirates, Marlins). Though Yoshinobu Yamamoto owns a sparkling ERA, Smith stressed his creeping command issues—nine walks in his last three turns—and believes Atlanta’s patient lineup, now 7-3 over its past 10, can capitalize. Holmes has surrendered fewer than five hits in four of his last five starts, so Smith envisions a 3-2 or 4-3 type game. With Atlanta’s bullpen sitting fourth in ERA and temps in the mid-60s suppressing carry, he will grab Braves +140 or better and play the under 9 expecting both starters to work deep.

Scott Reichel recommended Dodgers –0.5 in the first five innings behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Despite four walks in Pittsburgh, Yamamoto still boasts a 1.06 ERA and 31% strikeout rate, and Reichel expects an immediate bounce-back against a Braves lineup with just a .310 wOBA versus right-handed pitching. Atlanta counters with rookie left-hander Darius Holmes (4.50 ERA), who has yielded five-plus hard-hit balls in three of the last four outings and now faces the league’s highest-scoring offense. Because Yamamoto routinely gives Dave Roberts six clean frames and L.A. has beaten Atlanta five straight times, Reichel believes the Dodgers will be leading at the break and would lay the half-run up to –120.

Joe Pisapia urged managers to flip Tony Gonsolin immediately after the flashy return. Pisapia acknowledged the nine strikeouts, but noted it came against a Marlins team that whiffs at the second-highest rate in baseball. He reminded listeners that, outside of brief spurts, Gonsolin has been “just a jag” for most of his career. With Giolito also available in many leagues and carrying a higher ceiling, Pisapia suggested packaging Gonsolin while his value is inflated and targeting a more stable hitter or arm in return before regression hits.

Welsh called Tony Gonsolin a priority add after the Dodger righty’s nine-strikeout, 17-whiff 2025 debut against Miami. The Marlins are a strikeout-prone lineup, but Welsh emphasized the skills: four secondary pitches (slider, splitter, curveball, non-fastball mix) EACH generated at least a 40 % whiff rate, and Gonsolin located both the slider and four-seamer inside the zone while burying the splitter for chases. Welsh put him in the same pickup tier as Giolito, saying managers can comfortably stream Gonsolin in most matchups and expect above-average K totals so long as the newfound health holds.