Just A Bet Outside advised taking the Padres money-line at −107 in Tuesday’s game at Yankee Stadium, laying out several edges. He highlighted a pronounced starting-pitcher mismatch: Michael King has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of seven outings, owns a 29.5 % strike-out rate, and has surrendered only 27 hits across 38⅔ innings, never more than four in any start. King also carries the revenge narrative of facing the club that traded him. On the other side, Clarke Schmidt has worked only 14⅔ innings across three starts versus weak offenses (Royals, Guardians, Blue Jays) while issuing nine walks, giving up 3, 5, and 1 earned runs respectively, and generating a meager 34 % ground-ball rate—ill-suited for homer-friendly Yankee Stadium against a healthy Padres top of the order that is expected to regain rookie sparkplug Jackson Merrill. With the Padres holding the superior arm and a lineup advantage, the host projected San Diego to win outright and recommended a 0.5-unit wager.